Hurricane Ernesto - Cat. 1

[cycloneye]

262320
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 26/23:06:00Z
B. 16 deg 25 min N
072 deg 01 min W
C. 850 mb 1422 m
D. NA kt
E. NA deg nm
F. 188 deg 038 kt
G. 107 deg 010 nm
H. 997 mb
I. 18 C/ 1526 m
J. 22 C/ 1508 m
K. NA C/ NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 1345 / 8
O. 0.02 / 3 nm
P. AF304 0405A ERNESTO OB 13
MAX FL WIND 56 KT NE QUAD 21:31:00 Z



Storm has not strengthen at all....

That was from this afternoons mission.

[clfenwi]

old message Matt..26/23:06:00Z is 7:06 PM Saturday night... plane won't be near the center for another hour or so.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Yeah I noticed it was old a second ever I posted it....We will find out what happen at 2am.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

006
URNT11 KNHC 270500
97779 04024 10167 6790/ 54900 16024 5660/ /4590
RMK AF303 0505A ERNESTO OB 01

[SouthFloridawx]

947
UZNT13 KNHC 270500
XXAA 77047 99166 70680 04368 99013 28643 09519 00115 27439 10022
92801 21819 10522 85533 18450 13524 70173 09237 14522 88999 77999
31313 09608 80403
51515 10190 50588
61616 AF303 0505A ERNESTO OB 02
62626 SPL 1665N06804W 0411 MBL WND 10021 AEV 20604 DLM WND 14021
012514 WL150 09520 081 =
XXBB 77048 99166 70680 04368 00013 28643 11936 22412 22892 20456
33850 18450 44837 18259 55825 17250 66716 10246 77567 01111 88506
05550
21212 00013 09519 11998 10022 22944 10020 33916 11025 44850 13524
55754 14523 66716 13522 77676 16523 88554 18025 99506 16525
31313 09608 80403
51515 10190 50588
61616 AF303 0505A ERNESTO OB 02
62626 SPL 1665N06804W 0411 MBL WND 10021 AEV 20604 DLM WND 14021
012514 WL150 09520 081 =

[clfenwi]

RECCO Observation
Storm Name: ERNESTO (05L)
Mission Number: 05
Flight ID: AF303
Observation Number: 01
Time: 0402Z
Latitude: 16.7°N
Longitude: 67.9°W
#NAME?
Turbulence: None
Flight condition: Unknown
Pressure Altitude: 18000 feet
Flight level wind: SSE (160°) @ 28 mph
Temperature: 21°F
Dewpoint: 14°F
Weather: Unknown
500mb height: 19400 feet
Surface Wind: N/A
Remarks: None

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

SXXX50 KNHC 270500
AF303 0505A ERNESTO HDOB 07 KNHC
0353. 1654N 06708W 05486 0328 156 019 057 099 020 05897 0000000000
0354 1653N 06710W 05486 0328 161 021 055 103 021 05896 0000000000
0354. 1652N 06713W 05487 0327 157 020 055 097 021 05897 0000000000
0355 1651N 06715W 05486 0328 158 020 055 093 021 05897 0000000000
0355. 1651N 06718W 05487 0329 155 018 055 077 019 05899 0000000000
0356 1650N 06720W 05486 0328 145 018 055 083 019 05896 0000000000
0356. 1649N 06723W 05487 0327 143 022 059 079 023 05897 0000000000
0357 1648N 06725W 05486 0326 144 022 059 069 023 05894 0000000000
0357. 1648N 06728W 05486 0325 145 022 059 067 022 05894 0000000000
0358 1647N 06730W 05487 0326 149 024 059 071 025 05895 0000000000
0358. 1646N 06733W 05486 0324 152 024 061 095 025 05893 0000000000
0359 1645N 06735W 05487 0324 153 025 065 085 025 05894 0000000000
0359. 1644N 06738W 05486 0324 151 024 063 089 024 05893 0000000000
0400 1644N 06740W 05486 0325 153 024 065 087 024 05893 0000000000
0400. 1643N 06743W 05487 0324 152 023 061 099 024 05894 0000000000
0401 1642N 06745W 05486 0325 155 024 055 109 024 05894 0000000000
0401. 1641N 06748W 05486 0324 156 024 055 109 024 05893 0000000000
0402 1640N 06750W 05487 0324 160 024 053 109 025 05893 0000000000
0402. 1640N 06753W 05485 0320 159 024 061 103 024 05811 0000000000
0403 1639N 06755W 05487 0309 159 025 061 101 025 05812 0000000000
;

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

SXXX50 KNHC 270503
AF303 0505A ERNESTO HDOB 13 KNHC
0453. 1539N 07143W 01465 0044 177 038 180 142 038 01509 0000000000
0454 1539N 07144W 01463 0045 179 036 180 142 036 01507 0000000000
0454. 1538N 07146W 01464 0045 183 034 182 152 035 01509 0000000000
0455 1538N 07147W 01466 0044 182 034 178 158 035 01509 0000000000
0455. 1537N 07149W 01464 0042 184 034 172 164 035 01505 0000000000
0456 1537N 07150W 01463 0044 182 036 176 164 038 01507 0000000000
0456. 1536N 07152W 01464 0043 184 035 178 162 035 01507 0000000000
0457 1536N 07153W 01464 0043 184 034 178 166 035 01506 0000000000
0457. 1535N 07155W 01464 0045 186 034 176 164 034 01509 0000000000
0458 1535N 07156W 01464 0046 187 034 176 166 034 01509 0000000000
0458. 1534N 07158W 01465 0044 186 034 176 166 035 01509 0000000000
0459 1534N 07159W 01464 0043 186 034 176 166 035 01507 0000000000
0459. 1533N 07201W 01461 0046 185 033 178 164 033 01508 0000000000
0500 1534N 07202W 01466 0050 185 035 176 174 036 01517 0000000000
0500. 1535N 07203W 01462 0046 186 038 174 172 038 01507 0000000000
0501 1537N 07205W 01462 0043 184 038 160 160 039 01505 0000000000
0501. 1538N 07206W 01471 0043 184 037 166 166 038 01514 0000000000
0502 1539N 07207W 01459 0042 187 037 172 172 038 01500 0000000000
0502. 1541N 07209W 01465 0041 186 037 164 164 037 01506 0000000000
0503 1542N 07210W 01465 0042 189 035 164 164 037 01508 0000000000
;

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

URNT11 KNHC 270507
97779 04584 10156 7200/ 14700 18034 18169 /2500
RMK AF303 0505A ERNESTO OB 04

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

058
SXXX50 KNHC 270501
AF303 0505A ERNESTO HDOB 09 KNHC
0413. 1627N 06848W 05487 0309 163 029 061 077 030 05810 0000000000
0414 1626N 06851W 05486 0310 166 030 061 077 030 05811 0000000000
0414. 1626N 06853W 05486 0310 166 030 061 079 030 05812 0000000000
0415 1625N 06856W 05486 0310 168 031 061 081 031 05812 0000000000
0415. 1624N 06858W 05486 0309 165 031 057 095 031 05811 0000000000
0416 1624N 06901W 05487 0309 168 032 057 081 033 05811 0000000000
0416. 1623N 06903W 05486 0309 166 033 055 075 034 05811 0000000000
0417 1623N 06906W 05487 0308 170 033 057 071 033 05811 0000000000
0417. 1622N 06908W 05487 0308 176 031 061 065 032 05811 0000000000
0418 1622N 06911W 05486 0308 178 030 061 063 030 05809 0000000000
0418. 1621N 06913W 05487 0308 177 031 061 061 031 05811 0000000000
0419 1621N 06916W 05487 0308 176 031 061 061 031 05810 0000000000
0419. 1620N 06918W 05486 0308 177 032 061 061 033 05809 0000000000
0420 1619N 06921W 05487 0307 174 036 061 063 036 05810 0000000000
0420. 1619N 06923W 05487 0307 174 033 061 061 035 05810 0000000000
0421 1618N 06926W 05486 0306 174 033 059 059 034 05807 0000000000
0421. 1618N 06928W 05487 0305 174 034 055 061 035 05808 0000000000
0422 1617N 06931W 05486 0304 175 034 055 061 034 05806 0000000000
0422. 1617N 06933W 05486 0304 175 034 055 061 034 05805 0000000000
0423 1616N 06935W 05487 0304 174 035 055 059 036 05806 0000000000
;

[clfenwi]

Crikies, I gooned the math up when I calculated arrival time. 1.5 hours after 11:30 PM is 1 AM, not 2... doh doh doh doh doh .... had I thought only in zulu time I may have not had that problem...

[clfenwi]

RECCO Observation
Storm Name: ERNESTO OB 04 (05L)
Mission Number: 05
Flight ID: AF303
Observation Number:
Time: 0458Z
Latitude: 15.6°N
Longitude: 72.0°W
Turbulence: None
Flight condition: Unknown
Pressure Altitude: 4800 feet
Flight level wind: S (180°) @ 39 mph
Temperature: 64°F
Dewpoint: 61°F
Weather: Thunderstorm
850mb height: 4900 feet
Surface Wind: N/A
Remarks: None

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

728
SXXX50 KNHC 270502
AF303 0505A ERNESTO HDOB 12 KNHC
0443. 1549N 07110W 03337 0174 203 033 082 013 035 03516 0000000000
0444 1547N 07111W 02998 0154 191 033 094 046 034 03156 0000000000
0444. 1547N 07113W 02674 0133 191 034 116 082 036 02810 0000000000
0445 1546N 07115W 02441 0119 177 035 130 100 036 02563 0000000000
0445. 1546N 07117W 02149 0102 172 035 142 132 036 02253 0000000000
0446 1545N 07119W 01908 0087 163 035 154 136 036 01996 0000000000
0446. 1545N 07121W 01741 0074 167 035 168 140 036 01816 0000000000
0447 1545N 07123W 01603 0062 172 036 176 140 036 01666 0000000000
0447. 1545N 07124W 01475 0052 171 035 180 142 035 01527 0000000000
0448 1544N 07126W 01465 0049 171 035 180 138 036 01514 0000000000
0448. 1544N 07127W 01465 0051 172 035 180 142 036 01515 0000000000
0449 1543N 07129W 01464 0050 172 036 180 144 036 01513 0000000000
0449. 1543N 07130W 01465 0049 173 036 174 160 036 01513 0000000000
0450 1542N 07132W 01464 0047 175 034 178 154 035 01510 0000000000
0450. 1542N 07134W 01464 0047 176 034 174 164 036 01512 0000000000
0451 1541N 07135W 01464 0047 177 036 176 158 036 01511 0000000000
0451. 1541N 07137W 01465 0045 177 037 180 150 040 01509 0000000000
0452 1540N 07138W 01465 0044 176 040 180 154 042 01509 0000000000
0452. 1540N 07140W 01462 0042 179 038 186 132 039 01504 0000000000
0453 1540N 07141W 01466 0043 178 040 184 130 040 01509 0000000000
;

[Aquawind]

Hmm.. Ernesto is looking healthy.. Guess is 994MB 65mph ? maybe not.. VDM..VDM..VDM..

[stormspotter]

My quess 993mb ; winds 65 mph

[dwg71]

Hmm.. Ernesto is looking healthy.. Guess is 994MB 65mph ? maybe not.. VDM..VDM..VDM..

Well we haven seen him in over an hour and half...

[Aquawind]

Hmm.. Ernesto is looking healthy.. Guess is 994MB 65mph ? maybe not.. VDM..VDM..VDM..

Well we haven seen him in over an hour and half...

Yea I know but the last IR were looking healthy..

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

851
SXXX50 KNHC 270523
AF303 0505A ERNESTO HDOB 15 KNHC
0513. 1608N 07237W 01462 0021 207 035 186 182 036 01483 0000000000
0514 1610N 07238W 01466 0018 207 036 188 178 037 01484 0000000000
0514. 1611N 07240W 01462 0018 210 039 194 162 039 01479 0000000000
0515 1612N 07241W 01465 0017 211 039 198 156 039 01482 0000000000
0515. 1613N 07242W 01464 0016 215 038 192 164 038 01479 0000000000
0516 1614N 07243W 01464 0013 215 036 192 168 037 01477 0000000000
0516. 1616N 07245W 01466 0011 215 036 188 170 038 01477 0000000000
0517 1617N 07246W 01460 0012 226 028 180 180 033 01472 0000000000
0517. 1618N 07247W 01462 0011 243 023 174 174 025 01505 0000000000
0518 1619N 07248W 01473 0007 247 019 174 174 021 01514 0000000000
0518. 1621N 07248W 01458 0003 238 016 174 174 018 01495 0000000000
0519 1622N 07249W 01465 0000 227 020 176 176 021 01501 0000000000
0519. 1624N 07250W 01463 5002 232 025 186 182 026 01496 0000000000
0520 1625N 07250W 01466 5002 236 020 192 178 025 01498 0000000000
0520. 1627N 07251W 01447 5009 268 017 206 170 019 01473 0000000000
0521 1629N 07251W 01477 5012 317 017 206 170 019 01500 0000000000
0521. 1630N 07251W 01523 5013 314 022 220 158 026 01545 0000000000
0522 1632N 07250W 01454 5028 311 033 244 148 040 01460 0000000000
0522. 1633N 07249W 01465 5042 281 032 258 140 034 01458 0000000000
0523 1634N 07248W 01456 5052 314 027 238 156 029 01439 0000000000
;

[Droop12]

Hmm.. Ernesto is looking healthy.. Guess is 994MB 65mph ? maybe not.. VDM..VDM..VDM..

Well we haven seen him in over an hour and half...

Yea I know but the last IR were looking healthy..

Yep, there was a big blowup of convection right over the center. I'd say he's between 995 and 992mb.

[clfenwi]

Center pass (southeast quadrant into the northwest) just happened.