Typhoon Ioke Thread #2

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Epsilon_Fan
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ioke

#61 Postby Epsilon_Fan » Sat Aug 26, 2006 10:24 pm

Looks like the eye is shrinking and the storm is getting broader... maybe an ERC?
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#62 Postby Weather Watcher » Sat Aug 26, 2006 11:02 pm

Anyone know if there is people on Wake Island? :eek: :eek: :eek:

Also what does ERC mean?
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#63 Postby El Nino » Sat Aug 26, 2006 11:03 pm

Eye Replacement Cycle
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#64 Postby JonathanBelles » Sat Aug 26, 2006 11:04 pm

how long until it is out of the ERC? the advisory mentioned many ERC's, how many?
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#65 Postby Weather Watcher » Sat Aug 26, 2006 11:07 pm

El Nino wrote:Eye Replacement Cycle


oops i should have thought that. thanks for the answer. :D
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#66 Postby Weather Watcher » Sat Aug 26, 2006 11:12 pm

heres the link about Wake Island...

http://geography.about.com/library/cia/blcwake.htm
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#67 Postby CrazyC83 » Sat Aug 26, 2006 11:16 pm

What was the last storm to go from hurricane to typhoon?
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#68 Postby WindRunner » Sat Aug 26, 2006 11:23 pm

I'm pretty sure that was John . . . but let me check.
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#69 Postby HurricaneBill » Sat Aug 26, 2006 11:27 pm

I think it was Huko in 2002.
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#70 Postby wxmann_91 » Sat Aug 26, 2006 11:27 pm

Definitely not John.

Huko and Ele in 2002, and Oliwa and Paka in 1997.
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#71 Postby WindRunner » Sat Aug 26, 2006 11:28 pm

Nope. Since John:

Hurricane to typhoon: Dora 1999

Other crossings: Jimena, 2003, TD
Paka, 1997, TS
Oliwa, 1997, TS

And add wxmann_91's above as well, I accidentally skipped 02.

I really don't think that well this late at night. :roll:
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#72 Postby wxmann_91 » Sun Aug 27, 2006 1:33 am

New GFDL out...

Slightly stronger.

860 mb and 191 kt.
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#73 Postby Normandy » Sun Aug 27, 2006 1:34 am

LOL 860!
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#74 Postby Ptarmigan » Sun Aug 27, 2006 1:43 am

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:Just think if the 06z run of the Gfdl took Ernesto to that strengthen. This board would go crazy!


That would be horrible! :eek:
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#75 Postby mtm4319 » Sun Aug 27, 2006 1:52 am

Doesn't really look like a cat 5 anymore, but here it is... Typhicane (or Hurriphoon) Ioke at the International Date Line:

Image

At this point, it is both the westernmost and easternmost category 5 (Saffir-Simpson scale) storm in recorded history.
Last edited by mtm4319 on Sun Aug 27, 2006 1:55 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#76 Postby Cyclenall » Sun Aug 27, 2006 1:52 am

wxmann_91 wrote:New GFDL out...

Slightly stronger.

860 mb and 191 kt.

Sweet. I hope that really does happen to see how the tropical cyclone would appear. How large would the eye be at that strength? How cold and how thick of a deep convection ring would appear? It would truely be weather history in the making. 191 knots?? :eek: If that made landfall somewhere and someone had live video of it coming in, that might just be priceless. I'd go in a underground cave to ride that one out.

That would be horrible!

If there is a Wilma type strong hurricane making landfall on a large city, this board would not run at all.
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#77 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Sun Aug 27, 2006 2:02 am

I can tell you that that soild red cdo in that eye about ready to come out. I think its about ready to bomb. I think its still 140 knots right now....In before its done it will be 160 knots.
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#78 Postby Cyclenall » Sun Aug 27, 2006 2:05 am

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:I can tell you that that soild red cdo in that eye about ready to come out. I think its about ready to bomb. I think its still 140 knots right now....In before its done it will be 160 knots.

I have to totally agree with that. You don't see soild red cdo's like that very often. If there was a clear tiny eye then this would be 155 knots or higher.
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#79 Postby Cyclenall » Sun Aug 27, 2006 3:15 am

The NRL has Super Typhoon Ioke at 140 knots with a pressure of 900 mb. I'm I missing something here?
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#80 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Sun Aug 27, 2006 3:17 am

Most likely what it was all along. You don't get a perfect cdo like that with out pressure like that. Also remember the pressures are lower in the western Pacific then the Atlatnic. I think this sucker is about ready to bomb into 160 knot cane.
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