WTNT35 KNHC 281734
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 16A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052006
200 PM EDT MON AUG 28 2006
...ERNESTO OVER EASTERN CUBA...THREAT OF HEAVY RAINS AND
FLOODING CONTINUES...
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NEW SMYRNA BEACH SOUTHWARD
ON THE FLORIDA EAST COAST...AND FROM SOUTH OF CHOKOLOSKEE SOUTHWARD
ALONG THE WEST COAST...FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE...AND FOR ALL OF THE
FLORIDA KEYS...FROM OCEAN REEF TO THE DRY TORTUGAS. A HURRICANE
WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR ANDROS ISLAND...THE BIMINIS...AND GRAND
BAHAMA ISLAND IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS
THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF
THE HURRICANE WATCH AREAS LATER TODAY.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES
OF GUANTANAMO...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...GRANMA... HOLGUIN...LAS
TUNAS...AND CAMAGUEY.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR RAGGED ISLAND AND GREAT
EXUMA IN THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ERNESTO.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 200 PM EDT...1800Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM
ERNESTO WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.1
WEST OR ABOUT 15 MILES...25 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HOLGUIN CUBA.
ERNESTO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER SHOULD EMERGE OFF THE NORTH COAST OF CUBA
LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS IN A FEW SQUALLS. ERNESTO IS FORECAST TO BEGIN
RE-STRENGTHENING WHEN THE CENTER MOVES OVER THE WATERS TO THE NORTH
OF CUBA LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED AMOUNTS
OF UP TO 20 INCHES...ARE EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF HISPANIOLA AND
CENTRAL AND EASTERN CUBA. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING
FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES
ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE SOUTHERN BAHAMAS.
REPEATING THE 200 PM EDT POSITION...20.7 N...76.1 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 PM EDT.
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
Hurricane Ernesto - Cat. 1
Moderator: S2k Moderators
CrazyC83 wrote:Surprised they held the 40mph...they must have land data in Cuba to back it up.
Its more likely the NHC expects Ernesto to quickly regain tropical storm strenght once it exits cuba and doesn't want to give anyone an excuse to let their guard down due to a tropical depression downgrade
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StormsAhead
- Category 5
- Posts: 1447
- Joined: Thu Jul 14, 2005 6:38 pm
- Location: Cape Cod, Massachusetts
TS Ernesto Recon Reports
SXXX50 KNHC 281709
AF309 1005A ERNESTO HDOB 04 KNHC
1700 1900N 06832W 06705 0409 126 009 131 131 009 07139 0000000100
1700. 1901N 06835W 06706 0410 118 009 129 129 009 07140 0000000100
1701 1902N 06838W 06706 0410 123 009 131 131 009 07140 0000000100
1701. 1903N 06840W 06705 0410 121 009 129 129 010 07139 0000000000
1702 1904N 06843W 06706 0410 123 010 131 255 010 07140 0000000000
1702. 1905N 06846W 06705 0409 126 011 131 241 012 07139 0000000000
1703 1906N 06849W 06707 0410 127 012 131 237 012 07141 0000000000
1703. 1907N 06852W 06706 0410 127 012 131 243 012 07140 0000000000
1704 1907N 06854W 06705 0410 130 012 131 255 012 07139 0000000000
1704. 1908N 06857W 06705 0412 131 011 131 267 011 07142 0000000000
1705 1909N 06900W 06706 0412 138 012 131 267 012 07142 0000000000
1705. 1910N 06903W 06705 0411 145 012 127 271 012 07141 0000000000
1706 1911N 06905W 06706 0411 146 012 127 255 012 07141 0000000000
1706. 1912N 06908W 06705 0414 149 011 127 235 011 07143 0000000000
1707 1913N 06911W 06706 0412 149 012 131 241 012 07142 0000000000
1707. 1914N 06914W 06706 0412 149 012 131 247 012 07142 0000000000
1708 1914N 06917W 06705 0412 146 013 131 233 013 07142 0000000000
1708. 1915N 06919W 06706 0412 151 013 127 241 014 07143 0000000000
1709 1916N 06922W 06705 0412 144 015 129 253 016 07142 0000000000
1709. 1917N 06925W 06707 0414 145 015 131 233 015 07145 0000000000
SXXX50 KNHC 281719
AF309 1005A ERNESTO HDOB 05 KNHC
1710 1918N 06928W 06706 0415 141 015 131 237 016 07145 0000000000
1710. 1919N 06930W 06705 0414 144 015 131 221 015 07143 0000000000
1711 1920N 06933W 06706 0412 145 016 135 217 016 07142 0000000000
1711. 1921N 06936W 06707 0411 150 016 133 239 017 07143 0000000000
1712 1921N 06939W 06705 0411 149 015 133 249 016 07140 0000000000
1712. 1922N 06942W 06706 0412 153 015 131 229 016 07142 0000000000
1713 1923N 06944W 06706 0412 156 015 131 275 015 07142 0000000000
1713. 1924N 06947W 06705 0412 157 015 129 297 016 07141 0000000000
1714 1925N 06950W 06704 0412 161 015 131 275 016 07140 0000000000
1714. 1926N 06953W 06703 0412 165 015 131 293 016 07140 0000000000
1715 1927N 06956W 06705 0413 168 015 129 291 016 07142 0000000000
1715. 1927N 06958W 06706 0413 173 016 129 301 016 07143 0000000000
1716 1928N 07001W 06708 0413 173 016 131 305 017 07145 0000000000
1716. 1929N 07004W 06703 0414 172 015 131 287 016 07142 0000000000
1717 1930N 07007W 06705 0413 178 014 133 281 015 07142 0000000000
1717. 1931N 07009W 06706 0415 182 014 131 301 014 07146 0000000000
1718 1932N 07012W 06706 0416 179 015 131 285 015 07146 0000000000
1718. 1933N 07015W 06707 0417 180 015 133 293 016 07148 0000000000
1719 1933N 07018W 06707 0419 182 015 135 307 015 07150 0000000000
1719. 1934N 07020W 06705 0418 183 014 131 291 014 07147 0000000000
SXXX50 KNHC 281729
AF309 1005A ERNESTO HDOB 06 KNHC
1720 1935N 07023W 06704 0418 186 013 135 295 014 07147 0000000000
1720. 1936N 07026W 06707 0419 189 013 135 233 013 07150 0000000000
1721 1937N 07028W 06705 0417 188 013 135 203 013 07146 0000000000
1721. 1938N 07031W 06707 0416 183 012 135 189 012 07146 0000000000
1722 1938N 07034W 06705 0416 185 011 135 183 012 07145 0000000000
1722. 1939N 07037W 06706 0415 185 012 135 213 012 07145 0000000000
1723 1940N 07039W 06705 0416 187 011 131 191 011 07145 0000000000
1723. 1941N 07042W 06706 0417 189 009 131 183 011 07147 0000000000
1724 1942N 07045W 06704 0418 197 009 129 179 010 07147 0000000000
1724. 1943N 07048W 06708 0407 203 010 131 171 011 07149 0000000000
1725 1943N 07050W 06705 0417 200 011 131 171 013 07146 0000000000
1725. 1944N 07053W 06706 0417 195 016 135 163 017 07147 0000000000
1726 1945N 07056W 06707 0420 196 016 135 163 017 07151 0000000000
1726. 1946N 07058W 06705 0417 199 016 129 163 016 07146 0000000000
1727 1947N 07101W 06705 0416 201 014 131 165 015 07146 0000000000
1727. 1947N 07104W 06706 0415 197 014 127 169 014 07145 0000000000
1728 1948N 07107W 06705 0412 191 015 125 177 016 07141 0000000000
1728. 1949N 07109W 06705 0401 190 017 131 157 017 07130 0000000000
1729 1950N 07112W 06706 0390 190 018 135 159 019 07119 0000000000
1729. 1951N 07115W 06707 0395 189 018 135 161 019 07126 0000000000
SXXX50 KNHC 281742
AF309 1005A ERNESTO HDOB 07 KNHC
1730 1952N 07117W 06706 0397 195 019 135 159 019 07126 0000000000
1730. 1952N 07120W 06706 0397 196 018 135 157 018 07127 0000000000
1731 1953N 07123W 06706 0397 193 018 135 153 018 07127 0000000000
1731. 1954N 07126W 06705 0398 190 018 137 153 018 07127 0000000000
1732 1955N 07128W 06705 0399 191 017 135 153 017 07128 0000000000
1732. 1956N 07131W 06706 0400 190 017 135 157 017 07130 0000000000
1733 1956N 07134W 06706 0399 185 018 135 157 018 07128 0000000000
1733. 1957N 07137W 06706 0399 181 019 135 155 019 07128 0000000000
1734 1958N 07139W 06706 0399 178 018 135 155 019 07129 0000000000
1734. 1959N 07142W 06705 0399 179 018 135 151 018 07128 0000000000
1735 2000N 07145W 06705 0399 182 018 135 155 018 07128 0000000000
1735. 2001N 07148W 06706 0398 186 017 139 149 018 07128 0000000000
1736 2001N 07150W 06706 0397 187 017 141 149 018 07127 0000000000
1736. 2002N 07153W 06705 0396 188 018 139 157 019 07126 0000000000
1737 2003N 07156W 06706 0396 186 019 139 145 019 07126 0000000000
1737. 2004N 07159W 06706 0396 188 018 141 153 018 07125 0000000000
1738 2005N 07201W 06706 0395 186 019 141 159 020 07125 0000000000
1738. 2006N 07204W 06705 0395 187 020 141 167 020 07124 0000000000
1739 2006N 07207W 06705 0394 184 021 137 163 021 07122 0000000000
1739. 2007N 07210W 06706 0393 183 022 135 177 022 07123 0000000000
The plane is already north of Haiti and about to enter the convection.
AF309 1005A ERNESTO HDOB 04 KNHC
1700 1900N 06832W 06705 0409 126 009 131 131 009 07139 0000000100
1700. 1901N 06835W 06706 0410 118 009 129 129 009 07140 0000000100
1701 1902N 06838W 06706 0410 123 009 131 131 009 07140 0000000100
1701. 1903N 06840W 06705 0410 121 009 129 129 010 07139 0000000000
1702 1904N 06843W 06706 0410 123 010 131 255 010 07140 0000000000
1702. 1905N 06846W 06705 0409 126 011 131 241 012 07139 0000000000
1703 1906N 06849W 06707 0410 127 012 131 237 012 07141 0000000000
1703. 1907N 06852W 06706 0410 127 012 131 243 012 07140 0000000000
1704 1907N 06854W 06705 0410 130 012 131 255 012 07139 0000000000
1704. 1908N 06857W 06705 0412 131 011 131 267 011 07142 0000000000
1705 1909N 06900W 06706 0412 138 012 131 267 012 07142 0000000000
1705. 1910N 06903W 06705 0411 145 012 127 271 012 07141 0000000000
1706 1911N 06905W 06706 0411 146 012 127 255 012 07141 0000000000
1706. 1912N 06908W 06705 0414 149 011 127 235 011 07143 0000000000
1707 1913N 06911W 06706 0412 149 012 131 241 012 07142 0000000000
1707. 1914N 06914W 06706 0412 149 012 131 247 012 07142 0000000000
1708 1914N 06917W 06705 0412 146 013 131 233 013 07142 0000000000
1708. 1915N 06919W 06706 0412 151 013 127 241 014 07143 0000000000
1709 1916N 06922W 06705 0412 144 015 129 253 016 07142 0000000000
1709. 1917N 06925W 06707 0414 145 015 131 233 015 07145 0000000000
SXXX50 KNHC 281719
AF309 1005A ERNESTO HDOB 05 KNHC
1710 1918N 06928W 06706 0415 141 015 131 237 016 07145 0000000000
1710. 1919N 06930W 06705 0414 144 015 131 221 015 07143 0000000000
1711 1920N 06933W 06706 0412 145 016 135 217 016 07142 0000000000
1711. 1921N 06936W 06707 0411 150 016 133 239 017 07143 0000000000
1712 1921N 06939W 06705 0411 149 015 133 249 016 07140 0000000000
1712. 1922N 06942W 06706 0412 153 015 131 229 016 07142 0000000000
1713 1923N 06944W 06706 0412 156 015 131 275 015 07142 0000000000
1713. 1924N 06947W 06705 0412 157 015 129 297 016 07141 0000000000
1714 1925N 06950W 06704 0412 161 015 131 275 016 07140 0000000000
1714. 1926N 06953W 06703 0412 165 015 131 293 016 07140 0000000000
1715 1927N 06956W 06705 0413 168 015 129 291 016 07142 0000000000
1715. 1927N 06958W 06706 0413 173 016 129 301 016 07143 0000000000
1716 1928N 07001W 06708 0413 173 016 131 305 017 07145 0000000000
1716. 1929N 07004W 06703 0414 172 015 131 287 016 07142 0000000000
1717 1930N 07007W 06705 0413 178 014 133 281 015 07142 0000000000
1717. 1931N 07009W 06706 0415 182 014 131 301 014 07146 0000000000
1718 1932N 07012W 06706 0416 179 015 131 285 015 07146 0000000000
1718. 1933N 07015W 06707 0417 180 015 133 293 016 07148 0000000000
1719 1933N 07018W 06707 0419 182 015 135 307 015 07150 0000000000
1719. 1934N 07020W 06705 0418 183 014 131 291 014 07147 0000000000
SXXX50 KNHC 281729
AF309 1005A ERNESTO HDOB 06 KNHC
1720 1935N 07023W 06704 0418 186 013 135 295 014 07147 0000000000
1720. 1936N 07026W 06707 0419 189 013 135 233 013 07150 0000000000
1721 1937N 07028W 06705 0417 188 013 135 203 013 07146 0000000000
1721. 1938N 07031W 06707 0416 183 012 135 189 012 07146 0000000000
1722 1938N 07034W 06705 0416 185 011 135 183 012 07145 0000000000
1722. 1939N 07037W 06706 0415 185 012 135 213 012 07145 0000000000
1723 1940N 07039W 06705 0416 187 011 131 191 011 07145 0000000000
1723. 1941N 07042W 06706 0417 189 009 131 183 011 07147 0000000000
1724 1942N 07045W 06704 0418 197 009 129 179 010 07147 0000000000
1724. 1943N 07048W 06708 0407 203 010 131 171 011 07149 0000000000
1725 1943N 07050W 06705 0417 200 011 131 171 013 07146 0000000000
1725. 1944N 07053W 06706 0417 195 016 135 163 017 07147 0000000000
1726 1945N 07056W 06707 0420 196 016 135 163 017 07151 0000000000
1726. 1946N 07058W 06705 0417 199 016 129 163 016 07146 0000000000
1727 1947N 07101W 06705 0416 201 014 131 165 015 07146 0000000000
1727. 1947N 07104W 06706 0415 197 014 127 169 014 07145 0000000000
1728 1948N 07107W 06705 0412 191 015 125 177 016 07141 0000000000
1728. 1949N 07109W 06705 0401 190 017 131 157 017 07130 0000000000
1729 1950N 07112W 06706 0390 190 018 135 159 019 07119 0000000000
1729. 1951N 07115W 06707 0395 189 018 135 161 019 07126 0000000000
SXXX50 KNHC 281742
AF309 1005A ERNESTO HDOB 07 KNHC
1730 1952N 07117W 06706 0397 195 019 135 159 019 07126 0000000000
1730. 1952N 07120W 06706 0397 196 018 135 157 018 07127 0000000000
1731 1953N 07123W 06706 0397 193 018 135 153 018 07127 0000000000
1731. 1954N 07126W 06705 0398 190 018 137 153 018 07127 0000000000
1732 1955N 07128W 06705 0399 191 017 135 153 017 07128 0000000000
1732. 1956N 07131W 06706 0400 190 017 135 157 017 07130 0000000000
1733 1956N 07134W 06706 0399 185 018 135 157 018 07128 0000000000
1733. 1957N 07137W 06706 0399 181 019 135 155 019 07128 0000000000
1734 1958N 07139W 06706 0399 178 018 135 155 019 07129 0000000000
1734. 1959N 07142W 06705 0399 179 018 135 151 018 07128 0000000000
1735 2000N 07145W 06705 0399 182 018 135 155 018 07128 0000000000
1735. 2001N 07148W 06706 0398 186 017 139 149 018 07128 0000000000
1736 2001N 07150W 06706 0397 187 017 141 149 018 07127 0000000000
1736. 2002N 07153W 06705 0396 188 018 139 157 019 07126 0000000000
1737 2003N 07156W 06706 0396 186 019 139 145 019 07126 0000000000
1737. 2004N 07159W 06706 0396 188 018 141 153 018 07125 0000000000
1738 2005N 07201W 06706 0395 186 019 141 159 020 07125 0000000000
1738. 2006N 07204W 06705 0395 187 020 141 167 020 07124 0000000000
1739 2006N 07207W 06705 0394 184 021 137 163 021 07122 0000000000
1739. 2007N 07210W 06706 0393 183 022 135 177 022 07123 0000000000
The plane is already north of Haiti and about to enter the convection.
0 likes
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StormsAhead
- Category 5
- Posts: 1447
- Joined: Thu Jul 14, 2005 6:38 pm
- Location: Cape Cod, Massachusetts
-
StormsAhead
- Category 5
- Posts: 1447
- Joined: Thu Jul 14, 2005 6:38 pm
- Location: Cape Cod, Massachusetts
SXXX50 KNHC 281809
AF309 1005A ERNESTO HDOB 09 KNHC
1750 2024N 07308W 05151 0299 162 032 055 067 033 05463 0000000000
1750. 2025N 07311W 04728 0273 156 027 031 037 028 05012 0000000000
1751 2026N 07313W 04334 0249 158 025 009 013 026 04593 0000000000
1751. 2026N 07316W 04018 0231 156 024 016 016 025 04254 0000000000
1752 2027N 07319W 03755 0211 147 025 036 036 026 03971 0000000000
1752. 2028N 07321W 03573 0199 147 025 046 046 025 03776 0000000000
1753 2029N 07324W 03459 0190 151 026 056 056 027 03653 0000000000
1753. 2029N 07327W 03358 0184 152 025 062 058 026 03546 0000000000
1754 2030N 07329W 03254 0179 152 024 066 066 025 03436 0000000000
1754. 2031N 07332W 03109 0174 149 026 070 070 026 03330 0000000000
1755 2032N 07334W 02963 0169 146 026 076 076 026 03175 0000000000
1755. 2032N 07337W 02811 0155 147 026 084 084 027 03009 0000000000
1756 2033N 07340W 02561 0142 146 027 096 096 027 02745 0000000000
1756. 2034N 07342W 02178 0120 145 025 120 120 026 02337 0000000000
1757 2035N 07345W 01860 0102 146 028 140 140 029 01997 0000000000
1757. 2035N 07347W 01614 0085 150 031 154 154 032 01734 0000000000
1758 2036N 07350W 01530 0078 152 032 158 158 033 01643 0000000000
1758. 2037N 07352W 01524 0079 147 031 160 160 032 01637 0000000000
1759 2038N 07355W 01525 0079 146 030 156 156 030 01638 0000000000
1759. 2038N 07357W 01525 0078 145 030 152 152 030 01638 0000000000
They have descended to 850mb (80% reduction).
AF309 1005A ERNESTO HDOB 09 KNHC
1750 2024N 07308W 05151 0299 162 032 055 067 033 05463 0000000000
1750. 2025N 07311W 04728 0273 156 027 031 037 028 05012 0000000000
1751 2026N 07313W 04334 0249 158 025 009 013 026 04593 0000000000
1751. 2026N 07316W 04018 0231 156 024 016 016 025 04254 0000000000
1752 2027N 07319W 03755 0211 147 025 036 036 026 03971 0000000000
1752. 2028N 07321W 03573 0199 147 025 046 046 025 03776 0000000000
1753 2029N 07324W 03459 0190 151 026 056 056 027 03653 0000000000
1753. 2029N 07327W 03358 0184 152 025 062 058 026 03546 0000000000
1754 2030N 07329W 03254 0179 152 024 066 066 025 03436 0000000000
1754. 2031N 07332W 03109 0174 149 026 070 070 026 03330 0000000000
1755 2032N 07334W 02963 0169 146 026 076 076 026 03175 0000000000
1755. 2032N 07337W 02811 0155 147 026 084 084 027 03009 0000000000
1756 2033N 07340W 02561 0142 146 027 096 096 027 02745 0000000000
1756. 2034N 07342W 02178 0120 145 025 120 120 026 02337 0000000000
1757 2035N 07345W 01860 0102 146 028 140 140 029 01997 0000000000
1757. 2035N 07347W 01614 0085 150 031 154 154 032 01734 0000000000
1758 2036N 07350W 01530 0078 152 032 158 158 033 01643 0000000000
1758. 2037N 07352W 01524 0079 147 031 160 160 032 01637 0000000000
1759 2038N 07355W 01525 0079 146 030 156 156 030 01638 0000000000
1759. 2038N 07357W 01525 0078 145 030 152 152 030 01638 0000000000
They have descended to 850mb (80% reduction).
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StormsAhead
- Category 5
- Posts: 1447
- Joined: Thu Jul 14, 2005 6:38 pm
- Location: Cape Cod, Massachusetts
SXXX50 KNHC 281811
AF309 1005A ERNESTO HDOB 10 KNHC
1800 2039N 07400W 01523 0077 142 030 152 152 030 01635 0000000000
1800. 2040N 07402W 01521 0077 144 031 148 148 031 01633 0000000000
1801 2040N 07405W 01526 0077 143 031 144 144 031 01637 0000000000
1801. 2041N 07408W 01528 0077 143 029 148 148 031 01640 0000000000
1802 2042N 07410W 01514 0077 146 031 148 148 033 01626 0000000000
1802. 2043N 07413W 01516 0076 147 033 152 152 034 01627 0000000000
1803 2043N 07415W 01525 0074 148 035 156 156 036 01634 0000000000
1803. 2044N 07417W 01526 0074 149 036 162 162 036 01634 0000000000
1804 2044N 07419W 01523 0072 150 037 166 166 038 01630 0000000000
1804. 2045N 07421W 01522 0072 150 038 164 164 040 01628 0000000000
1805 2046N 07424W 01481 0072 148 038 164 164 039 01587 0000000000
1805. 2046N 07426W 01151 0058 145 040 180 180 042 01239 0000000000
1806 2047N 07428W 00795 0037 137 036 192 192 039 00853 0000000000
1806. 2048N 07430W 00477 0015 125 030 210 210 033 00509 0000000000
1807 2048N 07433W 00305 0009 114 027 224 224 028 00324 0000000000
1807. 2049N 07435W 00296 0006 116 031 226 226 032 00312 0000000000
1808 2049N 07437W 00307 0006 123 034 226 222 036 00323 0000000000
1808. 2050N 07438W 00305 0006 113 030 224 224 032 00321 0000000000
1809 2050N 07440W 00305 0005 118 030 226 226 031 00321 0000000000
1809. 2051N 07442W 00306 0005 118 031 224 224 034 00321 0000000000
42 knots at around 3500 feet, but they have now descended to 1000 feet (reduction also 80%).
AF309 1005A ERNESTO HDOB 10 KNHC
1800 2039N 07400W 01523 0077 142 030 152 152 030 01635 0000000000
1800. 2040N 07402W 01521 0077 144 031 148 148 031 01633 0000000000
1801 2040N 07405W 01526 0077 143 031 144 144 031 01637 0000000000
1801. 2041N 07408W 01528 0077 143 029 148 148 031 01640 0000000000
1802 2042N 07410W 01514 0077 146 031 148 148 033 01626 0000000000
1802. 2043N 07413W 01516 0076 147 033 152 152 034 01627 0000000000
1803 2043N 07415W 01525 0074 148 035 156 156 036 01634 0000000000
1803. 2044N 07417W 01526 0074 149 036 162 162 036 01634 0000000000
1804 2044N 07419W 01523 0072 150 037 166 166 038 01630 0000000000
1804. 2045N 07421W 01522 0072 150 038 164 164 040 01628 0000000000
1805 2046N 07424W 01481 0072 148 038 164 164 039 01587 0000000000
1805. 2046N 07426W 01151 0058 145 040 180 180 042 01239 0000000000
1806 2047N 07428W 00795 0037 137 036 192 192 039 00853 0000000000
1806. 2048N 07430W 00477 0015 125 030 210 210 033 00509 0000000000
1807 2048N 07433W 00305 0009 114 027 224 224 028 00324 0000000000
1807. 2049N 07435W 00296 0006 116 031 226 226 032 00312 0000000000
1808 2049N 07437W 00307 0006 123 034 226 222 036 00323 0000000000
1808. 2050N 07438W 00305 0006 113 030 224 224 032 00321 0000000000
1809 2050N 07440W 00305 0005 118 030 226 226 031 00321 0000000000
1809. 2051N 07442W 00306 0005 118 031 224 224 034 00321 0000000000
42 knots at around 3500 feet, but they have now descended to 1000 feet (reduction also 80%).
Last edited by StormsAhead on Mon Aug 28, 2006 1:24 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145369
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
All comments please post them al the recon discussion thread.
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Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
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StormsAhead
- Category 5
- Posts: 1447
- Joined: Thu Jul 14, 2005 6:38 pm
- Location: Cape Cod, Massachusetts
-
StormsAhead
- Category 5
- Posts: 1447
- Joined: Thu Jul 14, 2005 6:38 pm
- Location: Cape Cod, Massachusetts
SXXX50 KNHC 281819
AF309 1005A ERNESTO HDOB 11 KNHC
1810 2051N 07444W 00303 0004 119 033 222 222 033 00317 0000000000
1810. 2052N 07446W 00307 0003 117 033 220 220 033 00320 0000000000
1811 2052N 07448W 00305 0003 114 032 222 222 032 00318 0000000000
1811. 2053N 07450W 00303 0002 117 035 222 222 038 00315 0000000000
1812 2053N 07451W 00305 0002 116 034 220 220 035 00317 0000000000
1812. 2054N 07453W 00305 0001 114 032 220 220 034 00317 0000000000
1813 2054N 07455W 00307 0001 120 030 220 220 032 00318 0000000000
1813. 2055N 07457W 00303 0001 119 030 216 216 032 00314 0000000000
1814 2055N 07459W 00306 0001 120 032 216 216 032 00318 0000000000
1814. 2056N 07501W 00304 0002 123 033 220 220 034 00316 0000000000
1815 2056N 07503W 00305 0002 126 036 222 222 037 00318 0000000000
1815. 2057N 07504W 00304 0000 124 035 214 214 036 00315 0000000000
1816 2057N 07506W 00304 5001 126 037 202 202 037 00314 0000000000
1816. 2058N 07508W 00306 5001 128 035 204 204 035 00316 0000000000
1817 2058N 07510W 00304 5001 130 037 212 212 038 00313 0000000000
1817. 2059N 07512W 00305 5003 130 039 204 204 040 00313 0000000000
1818 2059N 07514W 00305 5003 134 038 220 220 039 00312 0000000000
1818. 2100N 07516W 00304 5004 136 037 218 218 039 00310 0000000000
1819 2100N 07517W 00305 5005 136 038 218 218 039 00310 0000000000
1819. 2101N 07519W 00306 5007 133 041 220 220 042 00310 0000000000
42 knots again...wind direction has not changed yet.
AF309 1005A ERNESTO HDOB 11 KNHC
1810 2051N 07444W 00303 0004 119 033 222 222 033 00317 0000000000
1810. 2052N 07446W 00307 0003 117 033 220 220 033 00320 0000000000
1811 2052N 07448W 00305 0003 114 032 222 222 032 00318 0000000000
1811. 2053N 07450W 00303 0002 117 035 222 222 038 00315 0000000000
1812 2053N 07451W 00305 0002 116 034 220 220 035 00317 0000000000
1812. 2054N 07453W 00305 0001 114 032 220 220 034 00317 0000000000
1813 2054N 07455W 00307 0001 120 030 220 220 032 00318 0000000000
1813. 2055N 07457W 00303 0001 119 030 216 216 032 00314 0000000000
1814 2055N 07459W 00306 0001 120 032 216 216 032 00318 0000000000
1814. 2056N 07501W 00304 0002 123 033 220 220 034 00316 0000000000
1815 2056N 07503W 00305 0002 126 036 222 222 037 00318 0000000000
1815. 2057N 07504W 00304 0000 124 035 214 214 036 00315 0000000000
1816 2057N 07506W 00304 5001 126 037 202 202 037 00314 0000000000
1816. 2058N 07508W 00306 5001 128 035 204 204 035 00316 0000000000
1817 2058N 07510W 00304 5001 130 037 212 212 038 00313 0000000000
1817. 2059N 07512W 00305 5003 130 039 204 204 040 00313 0000000000
1818 2059N 07514W 00305 5003 134 038 220 220 039 00312 0000000000
1818. 2100N 07516W 00304 5004 136 037 218 218 039 00310 0000000000
1819 2100N 07517W 00305 5005 136 038 218 218 039 00310 0000000000
1819. 2101N 07519W 00306 5007 133 041 220 220 042 00310 0000000000
42 knots again...wind direction has not changed yet.
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StormsAhead
- Category 5
- Posts: 1447
- Joined: Thu Jul 14, 2005 6:38 pm
- Location: Cape Cod, Massachusetts
SXXX50 KNHC 281829
AF309 1005A ERNESTO HDOB 12 KNHC
1820 2101N 07521W 00304 5007 132 041 220 220 041 00307 0000000000
1820. 2102N 07523W 00304 5008 131 041 220 220 041 00306 0000000000
1821 2103N 07525W 00306 5009 129 040 220 220 041 00308 0000000000
1821. 2103N 07527W 00304 5009 129 039 220 220 039 00305 0000000000
1822 2104N 07529W 00305 5011 126 039 222 222 039 00305 0000000000
1822. 2104N 07531W 00303 5012 125 039 222 222 039 00301 0000000000
1823 2105N 07533W 00307 5012 123 039 222 222 039 00305 0000000000
1823. 2106N 07534W 00304 5012 122 038 228 228 039 00302 0000000000
1824 2107N 07536W 00304 5012 125 035 226 226 036 00302 0000000000
1824. 2108N 07537W 00306 5012 123 034 226 226 035 00304 0000000000
1825 2110N 07538W 00307 5013 123 034 226 226 036 00304 0000000000
1825. 2111N 07540W 00303 5013 121 034 228 228 034 00300 0000000000
1826 2112N 07541W 00306 5013 120 037 226 226 037 00303 0000000000
1826. 2113N 07543W 00305 5013 118 039 226 226 039 00302 0000000000
1827 2115N 07544W 00304 5013 117 038 226 226 039 00301 0000000000
1827. 2116N 07546W 00306 5014 114 038 226 226 040 00303 0000000000
1828 2117N 07548W 00304 5014 115 038 226 226 039 00300 0000000000
1828. 2117N 07550W 00305 5015 113 039 226 226 039 00301 0000000000
1829 2118N 07551W 00305 5015 112 038 224 224 039 00300 0000000000
1829. 2119N 07553W 00305 5016 113 040 224 224 041 00299 0000000000
;
AF309 1005A ERNESTO HDOB 12 KNHC
1820 2101N 07521W 00304 5007 132 041 220 220 041 00307 0000000000
1820. 2102N 07523W 00304 5008 131 041 220 220 041 00306 0000000000
1821 2103N 07525W 00306 5009 129 040 220 220 041 00308 0000000000
1821. 2103N 07527W 00304 5009 129 039 220 220 039 00305 0000000000
1822 2104N 07529W 00305 5011 126 039 222 222 039 00305 0000000000
1822. 2104N 07531W 00303 5012 125 039 222 222 039 00301 0000000000
1823 2105N 07533W 00307 5012 123 039 222 222 039 00305 0000000000
1823. 2106N 07534W 00304 5012 122 038 228 228 039 00302 0000000000
1824 2107N 07536W 00304 5012 125 035 226 226 036 00302 0000000000
1824. 2108N 07537W 00306 5012 123 034 226 226 035 00304 0000000000
1825 2110N 07538W 00307 5013 123 034 226 226 036 00304 0000000000
1825. 2111N 07540W 00303 5013 121 034 228 228 034 00300 0000000000
1826 2112N 07541W 00306 5013 120 037 226 226 037 00303 0000000000
1826. 2113N 07543W 00305 5013 118 039 226 226 039 00302 0000000000
1827 2115N 07544W 00304 5013 117 038 226 226 039 00301 0000000000
1827. 2116N 07546W 00306 5014 114 038 226 226 040 00303 0000000000
1828 2117N 07548W 00304 5014 115 038 226 226 039 00300 0000000000
1828. 2117N 07550W 00305 5015 113 039 226 226 039 00301 0000000000
1829 2118N 07551W 00305 5015 112 038 224 224 039 00300 0000000000
1829. 2119N 07553W 00305 5016 113 040 224 224 041 00299 0000000000
;
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Scott_inVA
- Storm2k Forecaster
- Posts: 1238
- Joined: Sat Oct 12, 2002 5:44 pm
- Location: Lexington, Virginia
- Contact:
Windrunner isn't running his Recon tracker but I'm uploading Recon obs (such as they are). Flight doesn't have clearance from Cuba so the obs are all off-shore at this time.
http://www.midatlanticwx.com/cyclone/recon.htm
Scott
Mid-Atlantic WX.com
Lexington, VA
http://www.midatlanticwx.com/cyclone/recon.htm
Scott
Mid-Atlantic WX.com
Lexington, VA
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