TD Ernesto Satellite,Analysis and Models Thread #8

[rnbaida]

folks, please don't quote to teh nth degree when it is not necessary. it takes up all the page space and it makes it hard to find info about the storm. just quote the one person you are replying to please.

no problem

[TreasureIslandFLGal]

I really think that may be the center. But I know I am seeing it on radar from the keys and radar can do funny tings to storms.

It does appear that the majority of all of the convection is rotating around this small location though.

I think that is it.

Can anyone link me to any other radars that may convince me otherwise?

[wsoutherland]

So...even though there is a near consensus on an eventual turn eastward
as Ernesto works his way up Florida, could someone (maybe someone who
understands NHC reasoning more than I do) please explain to me why
Sarasota County, Manatee County and Tampa Bay is still only under a
TS Watch, even at the 8pm advisory?

Looking at radar images, etc. it seems to me that while we here
between Tampa and Charlotte are probably not going to get the big
wollop, we are certainly due for a heavy share of rain -- enough to be
disruptive and potentially dangerous.

I'll admit this is a bit of -removed- -- I teach school and I sure wouldn't
mind a day off -- but even so it seems to me that keeping us under a TS
Watch, which means school buses will be on the road in the AM, is not the
best choice. (My boys attend school where I teach, so they will be riding
with me, at least. I'm pretty worried about other kids, though.)

[rnbaida]

folks, please don't quote to teh nth degree when it is not necessary. it takes up all the page space and it makes it hard to find info about the storm. just quote the one person you are replying to please.

no problem

can the admin change what we say in our reply's?

[tampastorm]

I really think that may be the center. But I know I am seeing it on radar from the keys and radar can do funny tings to storms.

It does appear that the majority of all of the convection is rotating around this small location though.

I think that is it.

All convection is all wrapping around it, hmm?

Can anyone link me to any other radars that may convince me otherwise?

[Brent]

So...even though there is a near consensus on an eventual turn eastward
as Ernesto works his way up Florida, could someone (maybe someone who
understands NHC reasoning more than I do) please explain to me why
Sarasota County, Manatee County and Tampa Bay is still only under a
TS Watch, even at the 8pm advisory?

Looking at radar images, etc. it seems to me that while we here
between Tampa and Charlotte are probably not going to get the big
wollop, we are certainly due for a heavy share of rain -- enough to be
disruptive and potentially dangerous.

I'll admit this is a bit of -removed- -- I teach school and I sure wouldn't
mind a day off -- but even so it seems to me that keeping us under a TS
Watch, which means school buses will be on the road in the AM, is not the
best choice. (My boys attend school where I teach, so they will be riding
with me, at least. I'm pretty worried about other kids, though.)

Well a TS watch is for TS force winds. Since they are not likely to occur, that's why. They aren't for heavy rain.

[fwbbreeze]

can the admin change what we say in our reply's?

ya think?

[THead]

FYI, To get the supporter badge after you donate you need to:

Posted: Thu Jun 08, 2006 3:28 pm Post subject:

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

If you've made a donation, PM mf_dolphin with the name the donation is under on Paypal. Then he can add the supporter badge to your profile.

[dcuevas]

http://www.weatherunderground.com/tropi ... 5_sat.html

On second thought... Could just be I'm tired of E!!! But I'm not sure he doesn't have 2 eyes... Maybe this sounds really stupid.... Help anyone. What is next to E on the West side? Could they converge?

[Brent]

folks, please don't quote to teh nth degree when it is not necessary. it takes up all the page space and it makes it hard to find info about the storm. just quote the one person you are replying to please.

no problem

can the admin change what we say in our reply's?

Yes they can and have before if it's something offensive or inapproriate.

[TreasureIslandFLGal]

I think the moderators can do global edits, but they aren't here to keep "fixing" things that we should be able to police ourselves. They like to read along and check the links and do all the stuff we are doing here too. They don't want to have to keep babysitting and chastizing us all the time. I bet they are much happier if we don't turn their fun hobby into hard work!

[tallywx]

Man, what winds you all are getting in the Miami metro...

E15 at MIA
E13 at Fort Lauderdale
NE 12 at Homestead
E15 at Opa Locka

How can you all manage that? Seriously, don't you normally get stronger winds after the seabreeze front passes through every afternoon?

[Brent]

Man, what winds you all are getting in the Miami metro...

E15 at MIA
E13 at Fort Lauderdale
NE 12 at Homestead
E15 at Opa Locka

How can you all manage that? Seriously, don't you normally get stronger winds after the seabreeze front passes through every afternoon?

Seriously.

[Rainband]

I think the moderators can do global edits, but they aren't here to keep "fixing" things that we should be able to police ourselves. They like to read along and check the links and do all the stuff we are doing here too. They don't want to have to keep babysitting and chastizing us all the time. I bet they are much happier if we don't turn their fun hobby into hard work!

Amen

[Stormavoider]

http://www.weatherunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at200605_sat.html

On second thought... Could just be I'm tired of E!!! But I'm not sure he doesn't have 2 eyes... Maybe this sounds really stupid.... Help anyone. What is next to E on the West side? Could they converge?

What are you looking at dc?

[THead]

Anyone in Boca online tonight? Looks like you might be getting your first decent little squall up there, according to radar.

[cycloneye]

I think the moderators can do global edits, but they aren't here to keep "fixing" things that we should be able to police ourselves. They like to read along and check the links and do all the stuff we are doing here too. They don't want to have to keep babysitting and chastizing us all the time. I bet they are much happier if we don't turn their fun hobby into hard work!

Bingo.

[MiamiensisWx]

Anyone in Boca online tonight? Looks like you might be getting your first decent little squall up there, according to radar.

Just got very squally conditions here with very heavy intermittent rain and 30MPH gusts.

[TreasureIslandFLGal]

hahaha, looks like I just became the official brown-noser of the group!

[Evil Jeremy]

landfall on Mainland Florida seems to be begining now.