Hurricane Ernesto - Cat. 1

[craptacular]

If the VDM we're waiting for is where it looks like from the obs ...

23:28 24'45"N 80'24"W
01:24 24'52"N 80'28"W

OK, 332 degrees at 4.5 mph.

edit: I guessed wrong the first time.

[Thunder44]

[Thunder44]

353
SXXX50 KNHC 300206
AF300 1805A ERNESTO HDOB 31 KNHC
0152. 2406N 08045W 01523 0045 265 024 172 150 025 01570 0000000000
0153 2406N 08043W 01525 0044 263 025 172 150 026 01570 0000000000
0153. 2406N 08041W 01524 0043 263 025 170 152 025 01568 0000000000
0154 2406N 08039W 01523 0043 260 026 170 152 026 01567 0000000000
0154. 2406N 08037W 01525 0042 257 027 170 152 027 01568 0000000000
0155 2406N 08035W 01523 0042 255 027 170 152 027 01566 0000000000
0155. 2406N 08033W 01524 0045 253 027 170 150 027 01570 0000000000
0156 2406N 08031W 01525 0045 251 027 168 152 028 01571 0000000000
0156. 2406N 08029W 01523 0044 248 028 168 152 028 01569 0000000000
0157 2407N 08027W 01525 0044 247 028 166 154 028 01570 0000000000
0157. 2407N 08025W 01522 0044 245 028 170 154 028 01567 0000000000
0158 2407N 08022W 01526 0045 244 028 172 150 028 01572 0000000000
0158. 2407N 08020W 01524 0046 243 029 170 150 029 01571 0000000000
0159 2407N 08018W 01523 0047 239 029 170 152 029 01571 0000000000
0159. 2407N 08016W 01525 0047 233 029 168 158 030 01573 0000000000
0200 2407N 08014W 01524 0047 231 029 170 152 030 01572 0000000000
0200. 2407N 08012W 01525 0047 236 030 168 154 030 01573 0000000000
0201 2407N 08010W 01523 0048 234 029 168 160 030 01573 0000000000
0201. 2407N 08008W 01524 0048 226 031 170 162 031 01574 0000000000
0202 2407N 08006W 01525 0049 228 031 168 164 031 01575 0000000000

[Thunder44]

339
SXXX50 KNHC 300216
AF300 1805A ERNESTO HDOB 32 KNHC
0202. 2407N 08004W 01521 0051 228 029 170 156 029 01573 0000000000
0203 2407N 08002W 01527 0052 231 031 174 148 031 01580 0000000000
0203. 2407N 08000W 01523 0052 229 030 172 150 031 01576 0000000000
0204 2407N 07958W 01522 0052 221 029 168 154 030 01575 0000000000
0204. 2407N 07956W 01525 0054 217 029 170 152 030 01580 0000000000
0205 2407N 07954W 01525 0054 214 030 174 152 030 01580 0000000000
0205. 2407N 07952W 01524 0053 213 031 170 156 031 01579 0000000000
0206 2407N 07950W 01523 0053 210 030 176 146 031 01577 0000000000
0206. 2407N 07949W 01525 0053 212 030 178 146 030 01579 0000000000
0207 2407N 07947W 01524 0055 210 030 182 142 030 01580 0000000000
0207. 2407N 07945W 01522 0055 209 029 180 146 030 01579 0000000000
0208 2407N 07943W 01526 0054 210 028 180 146 029 01582 0000000000
0208. 2407N 07941W 01522 0056 207 027 182 144 027 01579 0000000000
0209 2407N 07939W 01526 0058 206 026 180 142 027 01584 0000000000
0209. 2407N 07937W 01524 0057 204 028 178 152 029 01582 0000000000
0210 2407N 07935W 01524 0059 208 029 176 152 029 01584 0000000000
0210. 2408N 07933W 01526 0058 205 028 176 154 028 01585 0000000000
0211 2410N 07934W 01524 0064 200 026 178 152 027 01590 0000000000
0211. 2411N 07936W 01523 0066 196 025 180 144 025 01591 0000000000
0212 2412N 07937W 01524 0057 194 024 180 142 024 01582 0000000000

[Thunder44]

The mission will be going through about 2am. I'm going to bed after the 11pm advisory comes out. So who ever wants to take over then go ahead.

[Thunder44]

516
SXXX50 KNHC 300226
AF300 1805A ERNESTO HDOB 33 KNHC
0212. 2413N 07938W 01521 0060 198 024 178 142 025 01582 0000000000
0213 2415N 07940W 01527 0078 198 025 180 142 026 01606 0000000000
0213. 2416N 07941W 01524 0079 201 026 178 150 027 01604 0000000000
0214 2417N 07942W 01523 0056 198 027 176 152 028 01580 0000000000
0214. 2418N 07944W 01525 0050 196 028 176 150 029 01577 0000000000
0215 2420N 07945W 01523 0051 201 028 180 144 028 01574 0000000000
0215. 2421N 07946W 01524 0052 205 029 178 140 029 01577 0000000000
0216 2422N 07948W 01526 0050 200 027 178 144 028 01577 0000000000
0216. 2423N 07949W 01522 0056 204 025 178 144 025 01579 0000000000
0217 2425N 07950W 01525 0060 205 029 176 150 030 01585 0000000000
0217. 2426N 07952W 01525 0045 207 031 174 156 031 01571 0000000000
0218 2427N 07953W 01523 0045 209 031 172 156 032 01570 0000000000
0218. 2428N 07954W 01524 0043 209 032 172 156 032 01569 0000000000
0219 2429N 07956W 01524 0043 209 031 172 160 032 01569 0000000000
0219. 2431N 07957W 01523 0044 210 032 172 164 032 01568 0000000000
0220 2432N 07958W 01525 0042 213 031 174 160 033 01569 0000000000
0220. 2433N 08000W 01522 0038 216 033 178 156 034 01561 0000000000
0221 2434N 08001W 01524 0035 216 036 174 154 037 01560 0000000000
0221. 2435N 08002W 01527 0036 213 036 170 166 036 01563 0000000000
0222 2437N 08004W 01524 0032 210 033 172 166 034 01557 0000000000

[craptacular]

I can probably go for a little bit ... but not 'til the end. Put a note on your last post.

[Thunder44]

021
SXXX50 KNHC 300235
AF300 1805A ERNESTO HDOB 34 KNHC
0222. 2438N 08005W 01524 0028 203 030 174 172 031 01553 0000000000
0223 2439N 08006W 01523 0029 203 029 176 176 029 01553 0000000000
0223. 2440N 08008W 01525 0027 199 028 178 178 030 01553 0000000000
0224 2442N 08009W 01523 0035 191 028 176 176 028 01560 0000000000
0224. 2443N 08010W 01524 0033 188 025 182 168 026 01558 0000000000
0225 2444N 08012W 01523 0026 189 025 180 170 026 01550 0000000000
0225. 2445N 08013W 01524 0025 189 026 184 166 027 01551 0000000000
0226 2447N 08014W 01525 0025 190 025 184 174 026 01551 0000000000
0226. 2448N 08016W 01523 0024 189 025 186 178 025 01548 0000000000
0227 2449N 08017W 01527 0024 183 023 192 172 024 01552 0000000000
0227. 2450N 08019W 01520 0026 179 022 188 178 023 01548 0000000000
0228 2450N 08021W 01527 0022 172 017 190 164 019 01550 0000000000
0228. 2451N 08023W 01522 0019 163 013 190 176 015 01542 0000000000
0229 2451N 08025W 01526 0016 155 010 192 170 011 01543 0000000000
0229. 2451N 08026W 01521 0017 157 005 192 164 006 01539 0000000000
0230 2450N 08028W 01527 0016 115 005 192 164 006 01544 0000000000
0230. 2450N 08030W 01521 0015 345 003 182 166 004 01537 0000000000
0231 2450N 08032W 01527 0010 078 001 174 170 002 01538 0000000000
0231. 2451N 08033W 01522 0003 103 004 188 158 005 01526 0000000000
0232 2453N 08034W 01522 0017 083 011 200 166 014 01540 0000000000



Center pass, VDM soon

[Thunder44]

738
SXXX50 KNHC 300245
AF300 1805A ERNESTO HDOB 35 KNHC
0232. 2453N 08035W 01522 0017 071 010 190 176 011 01540 0000000000
0233 2455N 08036W 01526 0018 059 008 180 174 009 01545 0000000000
0233. 2456N 08038W 01527 0015 042 013 174 174 014 01542 0000000000
0234 2457N 08039W 01522 0015 034 014 176 176 014 01538 0000000000
0234. 2458N 08040W 01523 0011 033 016 176 176 018 01535 0000000000
0235 2459N 08041W 01527 0014 039 016 176 176 018 01542 0000000000
0235. 2501N 08043W 01523 0014 043 017 178 178 019 01539 0000000000
0236 2502N 08044W 01520 0017 045 019 176 176 020 01538 0000000000
0236. 2503N 08045W 01529 0020 047 023 172 172 023 01550 0000000000
0237 2504N 08046W 01523 0023 046 022 174 174 024 01548 0000000000
0237. 2505N 08048W 01522 0024 049 022 176 176 025 01546 0000000000
0238 2507N 08049W 01530 0025 052 026 166 166 028 01556 0000000000
0238. 2508N 08050W 01521 0025 058 023 162 162 024 01548 0000000000
0239 2509N 08052W 01522 0028 061 023 166 166 025 01551 0000000000
0239. 2510N 08053W 01525 0026 061 024 170 170 025 01552 0000000000
0240 2511N 08054W 01522 0026 062 027 162 162 029 01550 0000000000
0240. 2513N 08055W 01525 0027 056 028 170 170 028 01552 0000000000
0241 2514N 08057W 01526 0025 057 031 160 160 033 01587 0000000000
0241. 2515N 08058W 01520 0023 050 029 148 148 030 01544 0000000000
0242 2516N 08059W 01529 0027 050 030 152 152 030 01555 0000000000

[Brent]

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO ADVISORY NUMBER 22
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052006
1100 PM EDT TUE AUG 29 2006

...ERNESTO LINGERING JUST OFF OF PLANTATION KEY...

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS DISCONTINUED
NORTH OF BONITA BEACH ON THE FLORIDA WEST COAST...AND THE TROPICAL
STORM WATCH FROM ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS FLORIDA IS ALSO
DISCONTINUED.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM BONITA BEACH ON THE
FLORIDA WEST COAST SOUTHWARD...AROUND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA...AND
NORTHWARD TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA...INCLUDING ALL THE FLORIDA
KEYS AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF ALTAMAHA SOUND TO
CAPE FEAR NORTH CAROLINA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ANDROS ISLAND...THE
BERRY ISLANDS... THE BIMINIS AND GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND IN THE
NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1100 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.5 WEST OR ABOUT 15
MILES... 25 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF KEY LARGO FLORIDA AND ABOUT 65
MILES...105 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MIAMI FLORIDA. THIS POSITION IS
JUST A FEW MILES SOUTHEAST OF ISLAMORADA.

OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS ERNESTO HAS BEEN MOVING TOWARD THE
NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR. A TURN TO THE NORTH WITH AN
INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
ERNESTO IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE FLORIDA PENINSULA DURING THE NEXT
FEW HOURS. AFTER LANDFALL...THE CENTER OF ERNESTO SHOULD REMAIN
OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SLOW WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AFTER THE CENTER OF ERNESTO MOVES
OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA...AND ERNESTO COULD WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION WEDNESDAY MORNING.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY RECONNAISSANCE
AIRCRAFT WAS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS
CAN BE EXPECTED IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHERN FLORIDA AND THE
FLORIDA KEYS OVERNIGHT.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE NEAR THE TRACK OF
ERNESTO OVER SOUTH AND CENTRAL FLORIDA THROUGH WEDNESDAY...WITH
ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 10 INCHES POSSIBLE. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1
TO 2 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER
THE BAHAMAS. MOISTURE WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD WELL IN ADVANCE OF
ERNESTO THROUGH GEORGIA AND THE CAROLINAS ON WEDNESDAY. THIS COULD
BRING 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN AS FAR NORTH AS VIRGINIA...SOUTHERN
MARYLAND...AND SOUTHERN DELAWARE BY THURSDAY MORNING...WITH
ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 4 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 1100 PM EDT POSITION...24.9 N...80.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 200 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500
AM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN

[Thunder44]

684
SXXX50 KNHC 300255
AF300 1805A ERNESTO HDOB 36 KNHC
0242. 2517N 08101W 01527 0030 053 029 162 162 029 01558 0000000000
0243 2519N 08102W 01518 0028 059 027 166 166 027 01547 0000000000
0243. 2520N 08103W 01527 0030 059 025 166 164 025 01558 0000000000
0244 2521N 08104W 01522 0032 061 026 170 166 026 01555 0000000000
0244. 2522N 08106W 01524 0034 058 027 166 166 028 01558 0000000000
0245 2524N 08107W 01524 0038 058 025 168 168 026 01563 0000000000
0245. 2525N 08108W 01525 0039 057 025 170 168 026 01565 0000000000
0246 2526N 08110W 01523 0038 045 025 170 170 028 01563 0000000000
0246. 2527N 08111W 01524 0038 049 022 168 168 022 01563 0000000000
0247 2528N 08112W 01525 0037 048 020 166 166 020 01563 0000000000
0247. 2530N 08113W 01524 0039 044 022 158 158 024 01564 0000000000
0248 2531N 08115W 01526 0040 047 024 158 158 025 01567 0000000000
0248. 2530N 08117W 01526 0038 036 022 176 164 023 01565 0000000000
0249 2528N 08116W 01522 0036 020 022 176 160 023 01559 0000000000
0249. 2526N 08116W 01524 0034 016 025 170 164 027 01559 0000000000
0250 2525N 08116W 01524 0034 023 026 170 166 027 01558 0000000000
0250. 2523N 08116W 01524 0034 026 025 166 166 027 01559 0000000000
0251 2521N 08116W 01524 0035 034 025 168 166 025 01560 0000000000
0251. 2519N 08116W 01523 0035 028 023 168 168 025 01559 0000000000
0252 2517N 08116W 01525 0033 015 023 168 166 023 01559 0000000000

[Brent]

TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052006
0300 UTC WED AUG 30 2006

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS DISCONTINUED
NORTH OF BONITA BEACH ON THE FLORIDA WEST COAST...AND THE TROPICAL
STORM WATCH FROM ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS FLORIDA IS ALSO
DISCONTINUED.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM BONITA BEACH ON THE
FLORIDA WEST COAST SOUTHWARD...AROUND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA...AND
NORTHWARD TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA...INCLUDING ALL THE FLORIDA
KEYS AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF ALTAMAHA SOUND TO
CAPE FEAR NORTH CAROLINA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ANDROS ISLAND...THE
BERRY ISLANDS... THE BIMINIS AND GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND IN THE
NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.9N 80.5W AT 30/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE 60SE 25SW 25NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.9N 80.5W AT 30/0300Z
AT 30/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.8N 80.4W

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 26.6N 81.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 28.6N 80.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 0SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 31.2N 80.1W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 33.8N 79.2W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 37.5N 78.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 40.0N 78.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.9N 80.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN

[Thunder44]

542
URNT12 KNHC 300255 CCA
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 30/02:30:00Z
B. 24 deg 50 min N
080 deg 29 min W
C. 850 mb 1469 m
D. NA kt
E. 0NA deg 000 nm
F. 216 deg 037 kt
G. 118 deg 030 nm
H. 1004 mb
I. 18 C/ 1524 m
J. 19 C/ 1520 m
K. 16 C/ NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 134 / 8
O. 0.02 / 4 nm
P. AF300 1805A ERNESTO OB 15 CCA
MAX FL WIND 40 KT NE QUAD 00:53:50 Z
MAX FL TEMP 20 C, 0 94 / 11NM
;

[craptacular]

Last three VDMs

23:28 24'45"N 80'24"W
01:24 24'52"N 80'28"W
02:30 24'50"N 80'29"W

So between the last two, it went SSW (204 degrees) at about 2 mph. Hmmmmm.

[WindRunner]

Last three VDMs

23:28 24'45"N 80'24"W
01:24 24'52"N 80'28"W
02:30 24'50"N 80'29"W

So between the last two, it went SSW (204 degrees) at about 2 mph. Hmmmmm.

Wobble! Wobble! Wobble!

[SouthFloridawx]

Last three VDMs

23:28 24'45"N 80'24"W
01:24 24'52"N 80'28"W
02:30 24'50"N 80'29"W

So between the last two, it went SSW (204 degrees) at about 2 mph. Hmmmmm.

Wobble! Wobble! Wobble!

What the heck?

[Thunder44]

That's it for me. Good night.

[Brent]

TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO DISCUSSION NUMBER 22
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052006
1100 PM EDT TUE AUG 29 2006

RECONNAISSANCE DATA SHOW THAT ERNESTO IS HOLDING STEADY WITH A
PRESSURE OF 1004 MB. PEAK FLIGHT-LEVEL WINDS OF 46 KT SUPPORT
SURFACE WINDS OF 37 KT...SO THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS HELD AT 40 KT.
SINCE THE CENTER WILL BE OVER LAND SHORTLY...THERE IS VIRTUALLY NO
MORE CHANCE FOR STRENGTHENING. SLOW DECAY IS THEN EXPECTED OVER
FLORIDA...AND HOW MUCH STRENGTHENING OCCURS AFTER ERNESTO EMERGES
INTO THE ATLANTIC DEPENDS ON HOW MUCH OF A CYCLONE IS LEFT. GLOBAL
MODELS SUGGEST ERNESTO MAY BE GETTING SOME BAROCLINIC SUPPORT AT
THAT TIME...AND THE GFDL STILL WANTS TO MAKE ERNESTO A HURRICANE IN
THE ATLANTIC. OUT OF RESPECT FOR THIS MODEL...THE OFFICIAL
INTENSITY FOR A CAROLINA'S LANDFALL IS ONLY REDUCED SLIGHTLY AT
THIS TIME.

AN AIR FORCE FIX AND CENTER DROPSONDE INDICATE ERNESTO HAS NOT QUITE
MADE LANDFALL. IN FACT...THE CENTER HAS MOVED LITTLE OVER THE PAST
COUPLE OF HOURS...BUT THE LONGER TERM MOTION IS 330/8. MODEL
GUIDANCE IS TIGHTLY CLUSTERED THROUGH 48 HOURS AND THE OFFICIAL
FORECAST IS CLOSE TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY AND MODEL CONSENSUS. IN
THE LATTER PART OF THE FORECAST PERIOD...SOME SLOWING OF THE
FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED AS ERNESTO OR ITS EXTRATROPICAL REMNANT
ENCOUNTERS A BLOCKING PATTERN NEAR THE NORTHEASTERN UNITED STATES.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 30/0300Z 24.9N 80.5W 40 KT
12HR VT 30/1200Z 26.6N 81.1W 35 KT...INLAND
24HR VT 31/0000Z 28.6N 80.8W 35 KT...INLAND
36HR VT 31/1200Z 31.2N 80.1W 45 KT
48HR VT 01/0000Z 33.8N 79.2W 55 KT...INLAND
72HR VT 02/0000Z 37.5N 78.0W 30 KT...INLAND
96HR VT 03/0000Z 40.0N 78.0W 25 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
120HR VT 04/0000Z...DISSIPATED

[WindRunner]

It's a wobble SSW, right?

[craptacular]

550
SXXX50 KNHC 300305
AF300 1805A ERNESTO HDOB 37 KNHC
0252. 2515N 08116W 01524 0033 016 024 174 162 025 01557 0000000000
0253 2513N 08116W 01524 0032 016 026 168 162 026 01558 0000000000
0253. 2512N 08116W 01525 0030 014 029 164 164 031 01557 0000000000
0254 2510N 08116W 01522 0027 012 030 162 162 032 01550 0000000000
0254. 2508N 08117W 01525 0027 017 028 162 162 029 01553 0000000000
0255 2506N 08117W 01524 0027 009 029 162 162 030 01552 0000000000
0255. 2504N 08117W 01524 0026 004 029 164 164 029 01551 0000000000
0256 2502N 08117W 01525 0026 001 029 166 160 030 01551 0000000000
0256. 2500N 08117W 01523 0024 360 030 166 164 030 01548 0000000000
0257 2458N 08117W 01525 0041 359 027 170 158 028 01566 0000000000
0257. 2456N 08117W 01524 0047 360 026 168 162 027 01572 0000000000
0258 2455N 08117W 01524 0049 357 026 166 166 027 01574 0000000000
0258. 2453N 08117W 01523 0048 357 025 168 166 026 01572 0000000000
0259 2451N 08117W 01525 0048 355 026 170 160 026 01575 0000000000
0259. 2449N 08117W 01524 0049 357 026 164 164 026 01574 0000000000
0300 2447N 08117W 01525 0050 356 028 158 158 029 01576 0000000000
0300. 2445N 08117W 01523 0051 357 028 148 148 029 01576 0000000000
0301 2443N 08117W 01522 0052 350 027 152 152 027 01575 0000000000
0301. 2441N 08117W 01525 0050 349 025 146 146 026 01576 0000000000
0302 2439N 08117W 01527 0050 348 029 144 144 030 01578 0000000000