TD Ernesto Satellite,Analysis and Models Thread #8

#441 Postby **dcuevas** » Wed Aug 30, 2006 7:34 am

Good Morning All! Tampa here, on my drive to Lithia (edge of East Hillsborough and Polk County) no problems. Light rain no gust so far. What's happening with Ernie? I looked at the radar and he looks strong on the West side. Maybe it's me. :roll:

Stormavoider · #442 Postby **Stormavoider** » Wed Aug 30, 2006 7:36 am

dcuevas wrote:Good Morning All! Tampa here, on my drive to Lithia (edge of East Hillsborough and Polk County) no problems. Light rain no gust so far. What's happening with Ernie? I looked at the radar and he looks strong on the West side. Maybe it's me.

Are you posting from your car?

#443 Postby **dcuevas** » Wed Aug 30, 2006 7:37 am

Yes. Traffic

cpdaman · #444 Postby **cpdaman** » Wed Aug 30, 2006 7:37 am

ernie finally looks to me like his center is starting to WEAKEN over last few frames less symetrical movement difficult to discern center as well

my guess nne movement drenching rains to continue

#445 Postby **TampaFl** » Wed Aug 30, 2006 7:38 am

8:00AM postion

#446 Postby **gatorcane** » Wed Aug 30, 2006 7:38 am

my winds have steadily increased all night with new gusts coming in at around 40-45mph. I'm in Delray Beach, FL

Ernesto is some fighter.

rnbaida · #447 Postby **rnbaida** » Wed Aug 30, 2006 7:39 am

When will this system move off the coast?

#448 Postby **TampaFl** » Wed Aug 30, 2006 7:39 am

Stormavoider wrote:On this radar loop,

http://www.sfwmd.gov/org/omd/ops/weather/radamx.html

Is the purple line the forecast track?

Yes it is.

rnbaida · #449 Postby **rnbaida** » Wed Aug 30, 2006 7:40 am

we have a lot less people on the forum today than yesterday...not many people intereseted on ernesto... I cant wait until it moves off the coast....

cinlfla · #450 Postby **cinlfla** » Wed Aug 30, 2006 7:41 am

I am this is one weird storm

#451 Postby **storms in NC** » Wed Aug 30, 2006 7:41 am

if you look at the v loop you can see it is trying to wrap around again. From the water of the everglades I guess. and you can see that the front is in play with this now. So I would think we would see a more NNE turn now

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/loop-vis.html

#452 Postby **gatorcane** » Wed Aug 30, 2006 7:42 am

Ernesto doesn't appear to be weakening much going over the warm Everglades - this may not bode well for the carolinas down the road.

#453 Postby **gatorcane** » Wed Aug 30, 2006 7:44 am

Did anybody catch this in the latest discussion. It's almost if the NHC wanted to say they finally were able to predict Ernesto's path correctly for a change....he has been one weird storm:

THE INITIAL MOTION IS 345/07. ERNESTO APPEARS TO BE GRADUALLY
TURNING MORE NORTHWARD OVER THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS...WHICH IS
RIGHT ON THE PREVIOUS FEW OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACKS.

#454 Postby **storms in NC** » Wed Aug 30, 2006 7:45 am

rnbaida wrote:we have a lot less people on the forum today than yesterday...not many people intereseted on ernesto... I cant wait until it moves off the coast....

I was thinking the same thing. But who knows. You might not see any one on here cause it not much to look at for them. It is for me for when it go off the coast to where it might go. They have me on the northeast side of the storm. Have to wait to see what happens.

#455 Postby **MBismyPlayground** » Wed Aug 30, 2006 7:46 am

rnbaida wrote:we have a lot less people on the forum today than yesterday...not many people intereseted on ernesto... I cant wait until it moves off the coast....

Hey,this is very typical, when the storm does not effect them, they tend to stop paying attention. I am waiting for the thing to move as well only because I want some idea of where it is going. But I do want it to hurry up and get on with it before the weekend!!!

westmoon · #456 Postby **westmoon** » Wed Aug 30, 2006 7:46 am

Anyone want to weigh in on what happened to Ernesto? Why didn't he regain strenth crossing the gulf stream?

#457 Postby **KBBOCA** » Wed Aug 30, 2006 7:47 am

How warm is Lake O.? It looked like part of the circulation might be over the lake, and that seemed to coincide with the current intensification I seem to be seeing on the AVN loop.

Stormavoider · #458 Postby **Stormavoider** » Wed Aug 30, 2006 7:48 am

westmoon wrote:Anyone want to weigh in on what happened to Ernesto? Why didn't he regain strenth crossing the gulf stream?

I think it had to work on getting organized before it could strengthen.

cpdaman · #459 Postby **cpdaman** » Wed Aug 30, 2006 7:49 am

anywhere just west of center is going to get dumped on today the heavy rain bands are on the move and setting up sw of center

thus i beleive the heaviest rains will move into north east collier/west broward then Hendry counties/west (palm beach county) eastern glades/martin counties (later today)

westmoon · #460 Postby **westmoon** » Wed Aug 30, 2006 7:49 am

KBBOCA,

Lake O was 87 deg Last week when we went through it in the boat

TD Ernesto Satellite,Analysis and Models Thread #8

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