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huricanwatcher
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#21 Postby huricanwatcher » Tue Aug 29, 2006 7:05 pm

Carolina_survivor, OMG ..... didnt mean it that way ROFLMAO ..... but now that ya mentioned it....

hahahahahahaha a............ two teenagers... eat batteries for breakfast i swear....
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#22 Postby Carolina_survivor » Tue Aug 29, 2006 7:09 pm

LOL - I couldn't resist!

P.S. I hear you...breakfasts of bagels and Duracells.

I have one teenager at home...his biggest concern is whether the home football game will be rained out (which looks pretty likely!)
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#23 Postby obxicane » Tue Aug 29, 2006 7:26 pm

People here don't seem to be too concerned with the storm. I'm keeping a wary eye on it but am hopeful it will just be a brush here with a little rain.

Hopefully the last 1/2 of the long weekend will be nice.
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#24 Postby NCWeatherChic » Tue Aug 29, 2006 8:11 pm

huricanwatcher wrote:NCWeatherChic,

16 year old daughter ...... OH YOU HAVE ENOUGH HEADACHES without having everyone streaming to your house because of a storm... dont let them talk you into it NO MATTER WHAT !!!!!! lmao :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol:


Your tellin' me!!! :eek: We just bought her a Firebird for her birthday too...what were we thinkin'?!!

We also have a 17yr old boy, 4yr old boy and a 20mth old boy. (Yeah, I had my tubes reversed in 1998 to have more. Everyone thought we had lost our minds since our older two were then 8 and 9.

I plead.."Temporary Insanity" :lol:
But I love'm!

Angela
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#25 Postby brunota2003 » Tue Aug 29, 2006 8:14 pm

NCWeatherChic, your daughter turned 16? Happy b-day to her...I turn 16 in mid-September...come to think of it, I went through my first hurricane, Isabel, the same day I turned 13...:lol:
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#26 Postby NCWeatherChic » Tue Aug 29, 2006 8:21 pm

brunota2003 wrote:NCWeatherChic, your daughter turned 16? Happy b-day to her...I turn 16 in mid-September...come to think of it, I went through my first hurricane, Isabel, the same day I turned 13...:lol:



Thanks! I don't know which is worse...her driving or the guys she likes! :roll: :eek:
Angela
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#27 Postby brunota2003 » Tue Aug 29, 2006 8:23 pm

NCWeatherChic wrote:
brunota2003 wrote:NCWeatherChic, your daughter turned 16? Happy b-day to her...I turn 16 in mid-September...come to think of it, I went through my first hurricane, Isabel, the same day I turned 13...:lol:



Thanks! I don't know which to worry about the most...her driving or the guys! :roll: :eek:
:lol: Hmmm...good question...I'm a guy...but one of the few of whom you dont have to worry about :D
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#28 Postby NCWeatherChic » Tue Aug 29, 2006 8:24 pm

BTW, just wondering if anyone else in NC has a weather station has noticed this or is it just a problem with mine. My weather station has shown dropping pressures for 2 days in a row now. I can't imagine it's the storm that far off from us doing it. Maybe we are due for some thunderstorms. KWIM
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#29 Postby brunota2003 » Tue Aug 29, 2006 8:30 pm

hmmm...dont know...havent really payed attention to mine recently...I'm down to 1012.0-1012.7 millibars, which is as low as the HIRT team has been reading in association with Ernesto :lol: I dont know about the trends over the last two days though...I'll take a look at Cherry Point's AWOS there and see what they have...
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#30 Postby brunota2003 » Tue Aug 29, 2006 8:33 pm

Dont think its something wrong with your station...pressure at Cherry Point over the last several days has been falling:
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/data/obhistory/KNKT.html
Also, note the very top readings are the latest and the bottom are from two days ago...
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#31 Postby emeraldislencguy » Tue Aug 29, 2006 8:44 pm

I live about a half of block from the ocean--what are some thoughts about how high the wind will gethere--steve lyons seems to think the wave action could get bad northof wilmington--also the wind has picked up tonight--I know not from the storm but it is really hot and humid outide.
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#32 Postby brunota2003 » Tue Aug 29, 2006 8:49 pm

well...right now on the Crystal Coast it looks to be some rain and a little bit of wind, but down south near Wilmington looks to be slammed...we will probably see some bad wave action...but right now its all speculation, the track could still shift to us, dont get worried, but keep an eye on Ernesto...hoping for a 4 day weekend from school, but I doubt it...
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#33 Postby NCWeatherChic » Tue Aug 29, 2006 8:49 pm

brunota2003 wrote:Dont think its something wrong with your station...pressure at Cherry Point over the last several days has been falling:
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/data/obhistory/KNKT.html
Also, note the very top readings are the latest and the bottom are from two days ago...



Thanks!!!
Angela
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#34 Postby brunota2003 » Tue Aug 29, 2006 8:52 pm

NCWeatherChic wrote:
brunota2003 wrote:Dont think its something wrong with your station...pressure at Cherry Point over the last several days has been falling:
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/data/obhistory/KNKT.html
Also, note the very top readings are the latest and the bottom are from two days ago...



Thanks!!!
Angela
no problem...I like figuring things out (unless its Algebra II...:lol:) plus it helps me remember where everything is on specific sites, like the NHC FAQ or my NWS page...

EDIT: It does appear some t-storms maybe possible tonight:
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
927 PM EDT TUE AUG 29 2006

.SHORT TERM /REST OF TONIGHT/...CONVECTION MOVING ACROSS CENTRAL
NC HAS DIMINISHED AS IT RUNS INTO THE MID/UPR RIDGE BEGINNING TO
MOVE EAST. CONVECTION TO THE NORTH OVER SRN VA IS HOLDING TOGETHER
AND MOVING AROUND THE NRN PERIPHERY OF THIS RIDGE. SFC BOUNDARY
WELL TO THE WEST AND NW SHOULD CONTINUE A SLOW PUSH TO THE SE AS
THE RIDGE SLIDES OFF SHORE ALLOWING FOR MORE INSTABILITY TO WORK
INTO THE RGN LATE TONIGHT. SFC WINDS REMAINING AT 5 TO 10 KT
SHOULD KEEP MUCH FOG FROM DEVELOPING TONIGHT BUT LOWER CLOUDS
SHOULD BEGIN TO MOVE IN BY DAYBREAK. WOULD EXPECT SOME ISOLD
ACTIVITY TO BREAK OUT ACROSS THE NW LATE TONIGHT THEN BEGIN TO
PUSH EAST...BUT NOT AS EARLY AS ORIGINALLY THOUGHT. THEREFORE HAVE
PUSH BACK TIMING OF PCPN TONIGHT ACROSS THE RGN AND KEPT IT ISOLD.
WITH SOME WIND OVERNIGHT EXPECT TEMPS TO REMAIN IN THE MID TO
UPPER 70S SO HAVE MADE NO CHANGES THERE.
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#35 Postby NCHurricane » Tue Aug 29, 2006 10:03 pm

Rain, rain, rain, and more rain. I just hope it doesn't have a little easternly jog and scoots out into the Atlantic before it's forecast to. Then it may be rain, rain, rain, and a little more wind.

Chuck Copeland
NCHurricane.com - Landfall Threat Mode
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#36 Postby wolfray » Tue Aug 29, 2006 10:16 pm

Just hope it's out of here in time for the opener for the WOLFPACK game Sat, night. Sat thru Dennis as it traveled over Raleigh in '99 for the SC/State game. Saw that Raleigh got 10 inches of rain out of that one. Have never seen it rain any harder or longer than it did that night. But we sat there and watched the good ole WOLFPACK do in those Gamecocks...........
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#37 Postby NC George » Wed Aug 30, 2006 12:30 am

Here's a link to USGS streamflows: http://waterdata.usgs.gov/nc/nwis/current?type=flow&group_key=huc_cd&search_site_no_station_nm= The Tar River in Greenville is running really low, and thus has plenty of room for rain. If it really rains here there may be some localized flooding from downpours, but I'm not seeing any replication of the events of 1999 going on this weekend.
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#38 Postby ncbird » Wed Aug 30, 2006 12:31 am

Rain Rain Rain coming our way so thought I would post these as a little reminder

“Rainfall sufficient to cause flooding does not necessarily require a tropical system to make landfall. Tropical remnants are as big a threat to life in some cases as hurricanes due to the rainfall and subsequent inland flooding." (Cline, J. W., 2002: Surface-based rain, wind, and pressure fields in tropical cyclones over North Carolina since 1989.)

"In the last 30 years, inland flooding has been responsible for more than half the deaths associated with tropical cyclones in the United States."
(Ed Rappaport, Deputy Director, NOAA National Hurricane Center)


Stay safe all

NCBird
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#39 Postby OuterBanker » Wed Aug 30, 2006 9:19 am

Yes, one of the scenarios is further up coast in which could lead to Cat 1 at landfall. But what concerns me most is the massive rainfall predicted. Then I remember the Dennis Fran one two punch. NC would be in a lot of trouble if another hurricane threatens us within a couple weeks.
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Jim Cantore

#40 Postby Jim Cantore » Wed Aug 30, 2006 9:29 am

I dont need it here, we've had 4-7 inches widespread around here since Friday, and it's misting now.
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