Models Showing System Off African Coast 96 Hours

[Meso]

CMC model run 96 hours
GFS Model run 96 hours
MM5 Model run 102 hours

Still pretty far out,but may be something to keep an eye on and see what future runs show

[cinlfla]

Whats that out in front of it that the GFS is showing? Is that other wave weve been watching?

[HurricaneJim]

Stu Robinson at UK Weather World has been telling me to be ready to roll around the 17th for a few weeks now. Will be watching these closely.

Jim
http://www.myspace.com/hurricanejim
http://www.myspace.com/stormchasetroopers


NAVY WAM LINK
https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/PUBLIC/WAM/all_natl.html

[Meso]

UKMET Model run 96 Hours

[SouthFloridawx]

Interestingly enough, all the models develop low pressure there around the 2nd of September. So there may be some agreement as far as that goes.

[SouthFloridawx]

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/ukmtc2.c ... =Animation

GFS/CMC/NOGAPS/UKMET all showing development towards the end, days 4-5 of thier respective runs. I would watch for development if they are all picking up on it.

I think this could be the wave they are picking up on.

[SouthFloridawx]

GFS showing a decent system out there, it is likely the wave that is about a day or so away from emerging from africa. I posted a graphic above.

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfstc2.c ... hour=144hr

EDIT:

Here is a good link to show a sat pic of the wave.
http://oiswww.eumetsat.org/SDDI/html/im ... 5-1237.jpg

[SouthFloridawx]

Looking at the 18Z gfs it appears that we may have a fairly strong trough dipping down into the Southern US in 4-5 days. That would force the ridge to move east and subsuquently keeping any waves or developing systems to stay under the ridge and as the Trough pulls out and the ridge builds back to the west it would allow a "system" to remain under it.

If I were to watch for development that could affect the US I would be watching the Eastern and Central Atlantic over the next 4-7 days.

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfstc2.c ... =Animation

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfstc2.c ... =Animation

[Meso]

Gfs 06z Run
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfstc2.c ... =Animation

[bostonseminole]

wow that's a nice looking system on the GFS

[jusforsean]

o.k. thats weird!!! I see the one we are talking about and another one right next to it heading more north wow I think I am leaving my preperations in place for a few weeks at least partially!!

[sunny]

Stu Robinson at UK Weather World has been telling me to be ready to roll around the 17th for a few weeks now. Will be watching these closely.

Jim
http://www.myspace.com/hurricanejim
http://www.myspace.com/stormchasetroopers


NAVY WAM LINK
https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/PUBLIC/WAM/all_natl.html

THAT got my attention!

[SouthFloridawx]

GFS looks like it's developing 2 systems in the Eastern Atlantic.

[tgenius]

Double Punch Shot of Storms.. thats one way to up your Hurricane/Trop Storm #s!

[cinlfla]

Yes here is the link at 144 hours

[url]
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfstc2.c ... =Animation[/url]


Sorry you'll have to animate it

[Patrick99]

I don't know...I have a hard time believing anything is going to develop all that quickly out there. I think that whatever gets cranking will take its sweet time.

[SouthFloridawx]

I start paying attention when the UKMET, CMC, GFS and NOGAPS is developing something. With the ridge so far East we'll likely see anything move westward under it. This may end up getting very interesting.

[SouthFloridawx]

GFS showing some vorticity out there in 60 hours.

[SouthFloridawx]

[Tampa_God]

Very interesting indeed. It is just a watch and wait game from now on until we see something form. Cape Verde Season is starting to rumble in force