TS Ernesto Satellite,Analysis and Models Thread #9

Thunder44 · #241 Postby **Thunder44** » Wed Aug 30, 2006 5:37 pm

From looking at radar images and surface obs I believe the center at 6pm is about 20 miles SSW of Melbourne. Moving north or just east of due north at a good clip. It should come offshore somewhere between Melbourne and Titusville in about 2 to 4 hours from now. Part of the circulation is already over water as it appears to be a somewhat elongated from NW to SE

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #242 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Wed Aug 30, 2006 5:37 pm

huricanwatcher wrote:IS THERE ANY WATER LEFT IN LAKE OAKACHOBEE?

Thats why is called a lake because its full of water...In yes it has water in it.

#243 Postby **wxman57** » Wed Aug 30, 2006 5:39 pm

Here's a surface plot. Center looks like it'll move offshore south of Cape Canaveral in the next few hours. Strong convection rotating easward on the south side is producing 35kt winds across Okeechobee.

huricanwatcher · #244 Postby **huricanwatcher** » Wed Aug 30, 2006 5:40 pm

Matt-hurricanewatcher, OH DUH ME ......... thought it was a pond (guess you didnt get my drift)

rnbaida · #245 Postby **rnbaida** » Wed Aug 30, 2006 5:41 pm

how thinks it will strenthen once it hits water?

UpTheCreek · #246 Postby **UpTheCreek** » Wed Aug 30, 2006 5:42 pm

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:
huricanwatcher wrote:IS THERE ANY WATER LEFT IN LAKE OAKACHOBEE?

Thats why is called a lake because its full of water...In yes it has water in it.

Wow, did you ever read his question wrong! What is WITH some people's attitudes, totally uncalled for!

huricanwatcher · #247 Postby **huricanwatcher** » Wed Aug 30, 2006 5:43 pm

UpTheCreek, I think i already got him (her) ... sorry to be so short ...

#248 Postby **storms in NC** » Wed Aug 30, 2006 5:43 pm

What is this?

[img=http://img227.imageshack.us/img227/7611/e6uu4.th.jpg]

cinlfla · #249 Postby **cinlfla** » Wed Aug 30, 2006 5:43 pm

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:
huricanwatcher wrote:IS THERE ANY WATER LEFT IN LAKE OAKACHOBEE?

Thats why is called a lake because its full of water...In yes it has water in it.

I think huricanwatcher was joking.

#250 Postby **storms in NC** » Wed Aug 30, 2006 5:45 pm

There was a time when a hurricane came though many years ago it did take water out of the lake. True story

cinlfla · #251 Postby **cinlfla** » Wed Aug 30, 2006 5:45 pm

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:
huricanwatcher wrote:IS THERE ANY WATER LEFT IN LAKE OAKACHOBEE?

Thats why is called a lake because its full of water...In yes it has water in it.

I think huricanwatcher was joking.

#252 Postby **Noah** » Wed Aug 30, 2006 5:45 pm

its amazing on the sattelite how earnie is staying just away from sarasota.

huricanwatcher · #253 Postby **huricanwatcher** » Wed Aug 30, 2006 5:46 pm

thanks alll.. ya kinda was joking but also wondering if ernie might of gain some strength hitting dead center on the "POND" hehehe

#254 Postby **MBismyPlayground** » Wed Aug 30, 2006 5:51 pm

Hhmm, well you all see that this storm is actually getting stronger now, much more than before, and I guess I am just a little confused here. Many of the pro mets and models are bringing this storm into SC anywhere between Charleston and NC border(Myrtle area) as a weak tropic depression. The local mets here have basically said, CANCEL, not in so many words but....yet at the same time have reporters up and down the beach. In the mean time, The head of tourism is screaming, COME ON IN FOLKS, ALL TOURISTS WELCOME.
Now, I get confused here, but if the storm hits below Myrtle, where do the worst winds hit?? And how possible is it that this will ramp back up to a TS or Hurricane level?? How much will the gulf stream play into this whole entire thing? And if this is the case, what is the effect of landfall predictions?
Excuse me if I am sounding a bit ignorant here, I think I lost my mind and just can't seem to find it. :cheesy:

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #255 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Wed Aug 30, 2006 5:52 pm

UpTheCreek wrote:
Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:
huricanwatcher wrote:IS THERE ANY WATER LEFT IN LAKE OAKACHOBEE?

Thats why is called a lake because its full of water...In yes it has water in it.

Wow, did you ever read his question wrong! What is WITH some people's attitudes, totally uncalled for!

I was kind of joking my self. I don't know why some people have such a short fuse on this board.

:roll:

UpTheCreek · #256 Postby **UpTheCreek** » Wed Aug 30, 2006 5:54 pm

huricanwatcher wrote:UpTheCreek, I think i already got him (her) ... sorry to be so short ...

Yeah, I know. I just threw it in for good measure. People are losing their sense of humor around here I guess, but I thought it was pretty funny! :lol:

#257 Postby **brunota2003** » Wed Aug 30, 2006 5:54 pm

Hey...I have a question for the mets...I've been hearing the center is east of the track currently and will possibly move offshore in a few hours...isnt that ahead of schedule? If so, what could it bring down the road in terms of track and strength?

stormtruth · #258 Postby **stormtruth** » Wed Aug 30, 2006 5:54 pm

Ern sure likes landfalls. He's managed to hit about everywhere he could and still survived.

UpTheCreek · #259 Postby **UpTheCreek** » Wed Aug 30, 2006 5:56 pm

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:
UpTheCreek wrote:
Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:
huricanwatcher wrote:IS THERE ANY WATER LEFT IN LAKE OAKACHOBEE?

Thats why is called a lake because its full of water...In yes it has water in it.

Wow, did you ever read his question wrong! What is WITH some people's attitudes, totally uncalled for!

I was kind of joking my self. I don't know why some people have such a short fuse on this board.

The thing of it is....is....you are the one that sounded short-fused to me, easily misconstrued. Whatever....sorry Matt.

#260 Postby **THead** » Wed Aug 30, 2006 5:59 pm

stormtruth wrote:Ern sure likes landfalls. He's managed to hit about everywhere he could and still survived.

Yeah, you could say he's already made his 3rd US landfall...........on the east "coast" of Lake Okeechobee.
:wink:

Seriously, he's going to be in the water again real soon obviously.........hoping for the Carolina's sake he resists any rapid intensification. Good luck up there!

TS Ernesto Satellite,Analysis and Models Thread #9

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