TS Ernesto Satellite,Analysis and Models Thread #9

[SouthFloridawx]

If the center is where your starting point is that looks like its right off of US 1 in Port St John

That's not where I'm putting it it is the 8PM advisory.

REPEATING THE 800 PM EDT POSITION...28.2 N...80.7 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 15 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB.

[Trugunzn]

It has over 24 hours to do what it wants.

[theworld]

How ya doin Thunder44 (w/brooklyn accent )

Looks like the SW may wrap up to the SE & E ? Ernie just about to hit the Gulf Stream.. hmmm

[rnbaida]

can someone tell me if the center is off the coast?

[theworld]

can someone tell me if the center is off the coast?

He is just about to jump off the coast. Almost there.

[Josephine96]

NHC has him right by Melbourne.. so if he's not off the coast, he's very close..

[theworld]

Current. Gulf Stream Map
http://polar.ncep.noaa.gov/gsf/


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[NCWeatherChic]

Looks like the center is half on and half over water now....

Angela

[AJC3]

Looks like the center is half on and half over water now....

Angela

Wind observations show the center, while broad, is still over land.

Here's a link to the KSC mesonet. Will be pretty useful to keep tabs on the wind data to see exactly where the broad center tracks.

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/smg/KSCMNET.htm

[NCWeatherChic]

Looks like the center is half on and half over water now....

Angela

Wind observations show the center, while broad, is still over land.

Here's a link to the KSC mesonet. Will be pretty useful to keep tabs on the wind data to see exactly where the broad center tracks.

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/smg/KSCMNET.htm

Kewl...thanks!

Angela

[AJC3]

Notice the towers at the SW part of the mesonet. Over the last hour, tower 9404 has gone from ESE to light SSW and now light WSW, while tower 1000, just to the NW of there has gone from ESE to light north. Center is coming off right over the city of Cocoa and going out toward Merritt Island/Kennedy Space Center.

[dixiebreeze]

Amazing how Ernie has managed to drop pressure during his trek across Florida! Surprised to just read it is now 1000 mb. Here in W.C. Florida it's 29.74.

[BensonTCwatcher]

Hey check out this plot:

[tallywx]

Notice the towers at the SW part of the mesonet. Over the last hour, tower 9404 has gone from ESE to light SSW and now light WSW, while tower 1000, just to the NW of there has gone from ESE to light north. Center is coming off right over the city of Cocoa and going out toward Merritt Island/Kennedy Space Center.

Are the numbers in brown barometric pressure? e.g. tower 9404 has "4" and tower 300 has "14." Does that mean 1000.4 MB and 1001.4 MB?

[tallywx]

Looks like tower 3 now has absolutely calm winds, while all adjacent towers' wind barbs seem to circle around that point.

this is pretty cool.

[AJC3]

Notice the towers at the SW part of the mesonet. Over the last hour, tower 9404 has gone from ESE to light SSW and now light WSW, while tower 1000, just to the NW of there has gone from ESE to light north. Center is coming off right over the city of Cocoa and going out toward Merritt Island/Kennedy Space Center.

Are the numbers in brown barometric pressure? e.g. tower 9404 has "4" and tower 300 has "14." Does that mean 1000.4 MB and 1001.4 MB?

Nope, they're PS10 (see key on the lower RHS). PS10 is the peak windspeed in knots over the last 10 minutes.

[Eyes2theSkies]

Tony thanks for all of your input tonight. I just moved to charlotte from hobe sound two months ago. I will miss your local forcast discussions.

[LeeJet]

AJC,

Why is it that hurricanes cannot strengthen inland, while thunderstorms can, as can cold fronts?

[all_we_know_is_FALLING]

Amateur answer -

Because tropical cyclones must have warm ocean water to sustain them. It's their energy source.

[Dean4Storms]

The Buoy east of Cocoa Bch. getting closr to TS strength.......Note the Water Temp. however.


http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=41009