Typhoon Ioke Thread #2

[bostonseminole]

well he must be the one doing the updates btw you can get it every few minutes if you click on the get data at the bottom of the page

1890000 20060831 15:06 46.26 349.00 66.87 78.62 84.56 984.20

[LeeJet]

Oh. I didn't know such a small amount of people lived there.

Wake Island is used as an airstrip. Good thing everyone escaped. Hurricane Ioke is producing 50 foot waves.

Not everyone escaped. One storm chaser/meteorologist is there as we speak. He's nuts!

[bostonseminole]

Man if he/she has a family he/she is an idiot.. even if he is doing this in the name of science

[Aslkahuna]

Well, you know the old saying about Meteorologists, you don't have to be crazy to be one-but it sure helps!

Steve

[LeeJet]

Man if he/she has a family he/she is an idiot.. even if he is doing this in the name of science

He's an old French man, but don't remember the name. Do you think he might get hurt? If he is in a bunker, then he will be safe.

[tgenius]

It's a shame theres no webcams to see this thing coming in...

[THead]

Man if he/she has a family he/she is an idiot.. even if he is doing this in the name of science

He's an old French man, but don't remember the name. Do you think he might get hurt? If he is in a bunker, then he will be safe.

Dunno. I'd be worried about the 50' waves or storm surge more than anything. Doesn't look like many high places on that little island.

[bostonseminole]

Man if he/she has a family he/she is an idiot.. even if he is doing this in the name of science

He's an old French man, but don't remember the name. Do you think he might get hurt? If he is in a bunker, then he will be safe.

How high is the bunker? I am thinking the whole island will be underwater for sometime,

[THead]

Man if he/she has a family he/she is an idiot.. even if he is doing this in the name of science

He's an old French man, but don't remember the name. Do you think he might get hurt? If he is in a bunker, then he will be safe.

His name wouldn't happen to be Clouseau?

[WxGuy1]

How high would the storm surge be? I mean, the water is pretty deep there I presume, so I can't imagine that the storm is "driving" up a storm surge like it does when it approaches a major coastline (e.g. a reason why some areas are MUCH more prone to huge surges than other areas). The massive waves, however, are my greatest concern for anyone or anything on the island!

[tgenius]

50 ft waves, and highest elevation is 20ft.. um... houston..we're losing an island and our frenchman will be swimming with the fishes.

[bostonseminole]

I am sure someone can research how deep it it, maybe a map mariners use

[bostonseminole]

is interesting to watch the water temperature drop as the water churns and brings up some cooler water from below ( IMO)


I assume that is water temp.. started at 87 now at 84.38

1890000 20060831 15:42 47.43 355.00 58.70 78.26 84.38 981.80

[LeeJet]

Pacific island evacuated ahead of storm
© 2006 The Associated Press

HONOLULU — The military evacuated 200 people from Wake Island on Monday before the arrival of Typhoon Ioke, the strongest Central Pacific hurricane in more than decade.

Classified as a Category 5 "super typhoon," Ioke is expected to extensively damage the U.S. territory when it hits Wednesday with 155-mph winds, said Jeff Powell, lead forecaster for the National Weather Service in Honolulu.

"This is going to roll up a storm surge that will probably submerge the island and destroy everything that's not made of concrete," Powell said.

The evacuees, mostly American and Thai contractors, were flown to Hickam Air Force Base on the Hawaiian island of Oahu, said Maj. Clare Reed, a spokeswoman for the 15th Airlift Wing.

The contractors work at a civilian base, Reed said. No other permanent residents live on the tiny island, though French hurricane meteorologist Thomas Cavanaugh decided to stay on the tiny island for the purpose "of research and the common human trait of curiosity." The 72-year-old pro met has been through severe storms before, namely in Guam and Taiwan. His current location is a 24 ft concrete structure built after WW2, where Cavanaugh will conduct his research.

Ioke had winds of 160 mph and gusts up to 185 mph on Monday, Powell said. The storm was 560 miles southeast of Wake Island and on track for a direct hit, according to the forecast.

Wake Island is 2,300 miles west of Honolulu and 1,510 miles east of Guam. The storm is expected to strike at 8 p.m. EDT on Wednesday, or noon Thursday on the island.

___

[Ptarmigan]

Not everyone escaped. One storm chaser/meteorologist is there as we speak. He's nuts!

Oh my goodness! WTF????????? Why would anyone even stay there????? That's really dangerous!

[LeeJet]

I would love to be with that pro met! You could experience the cane head on. Head on, apply directly to the forehead. Head on, apply directly to the forehead.

[Ptarmigan]

Pacific island evacuated ahead of storm
© 2006 The Associated Press

HONOLULU — The military evacuated 200 people from Wake Island on Monday before the arrival of Typhoon Ioke, the strongest Central Pacific hurricane in more than decade.

Classified as a Category 5 "super typhoon," Ioke is expected to extensively damage the U.S. territory when it hits Wednesday with 155-mph winds, said Jeff Powell, lead forecaster for the National Weather Service in Honolulu.

"This is going to roll up a storm surge that will probably submerge the island and destroy everything that's not made of concrete," Powell said.

The evacuees, mostly American and Thai contractors, were flown to Hickam Air Force Base on the Hawaiian island of Oahu, said Maj. Clare Reed, a spokeswoman for the 15th Airlift Wing.

The contractors work at a civilian base, Reed said. No other permanent residents live on the tiny island, though French hurricane meteorologist Thomas Cavanaugh decided to stay on the tiny island for the purpose "of research and the common human trait of curiosity." The 72-year-old pro met has been through severe storms before, namely in Guam and Taiwan. His current location is a 24 ft concrete structure built after WW2, where Cavanaugh will conduct his research.

Ioke had winds of 160 mph and gusts up to 185 mph on Monday, Powell said. The storm was 560 miles southeast of Wake Island and on track for a direct hit, according to the forecast.

Wake Island is 2,300 miles west of Honolulu and 1,510 miles east of Guam. The storm is expected to strike at 8 p.m. EDT on Wednesday, or noon Thursday on the island.

___

Do you have a link?

[bostonseminole]

models are not in agreement on the eventual track after 120 hrs..

E. PAST TAU 72, THE OBJECTIVE AIDS BEGIN TO DIVERGE. EGRR
FORECASTS SLOWER, WESTWARD MOTION WITH STRONG SUBTROPICAL
RIDGING TO THE NORTH PREVENTING A QUICK RECURVATURE. NOGAPS,
GFS, AND NCEP GFS PRESENT A RECURVATURE SCENARIO, BUT DISAGREE
ON THE TIMING OF OF THIS RECURVATURE. THE GFDN AND GFS FORECAST
A FASTER MOVING MIDLATITUDE TROUGH WEAKENING THE STEERING RIDGE
AND INDUCING A NORTHWARD TURN AROUND TAU 120 WELL EAST OF JAPAN.
IN CONTRAST, NOGAPS DEPICTS A SLOWER MOVING MIDLATITUDE TROUGH,
WITH RECURVATURE DELAYED UNTIL AFTER TAU 120. THE NOGAPS SCENARIO
WOULD ALLOW STY 01C TO PASS CLOSER TO JAPAN. THE TAU 72 TO TAU 120
FORECAST TRACK SPLITS THESE REPRESENTATIONS AND IS CLOSE TO THE
MODEL CONSENSUS.
FORECAST TEAM: ALPHA//

[THead]

Nice find on that article LeeJet, thanks.

[bostonseminole]

I would love to be with that pro met! You could experience the cane head on. Head on, apply directly to the forehead. Head on, apply directly to the forehead.

I experienced Andrew head on.. it was an experience I will not forget