Hurricane Ernesto - Cat. 1

[Thunder44]

[Pebbles]

Up and Up the winds will go.. where they'll stop... nobody knows!

[ThunderMate]

lol. Good poetry

[drezee]

761
UZNT13 KNHC 311112
XXAA 81118 99302 70799 11609 99996 27019 30004 00534 ///// /////
92654 22610 29005 85389 19608 30503 88999 77999
31313 09608 81102
61616 AF303 2105A ERNESTO OB 30
62626 EYE SPL 3022N07987W 1104 MBL WND 30004 AEV 20604 DLM WND 29
504 996879 WL150 30004 075 =
XXBB 81118 99302 70799 11609 00996 27019 11943 23207 22850 19608
33843 19206
21212 00996 30004 11916 29505 22879 26002 33843 31004
31313 09608 81102
61616 AF303 2105A ERNESTO OB 30
62626 EYE SPL 3022N07987W 1104 MBL WND 30004 AEV 20604 DLM WND 29
504 996879 WL150 30004 075 =

[drezee]

800
SXXX50 KNHC 311112
AF303 2105A ERNESTO HDOB 40 KNHC
1059. 3007N 07942W 01524 5057 222 019 180 180 020 01501 0000000000
1100 3008N 07944W 01524 5057 222 018 176 176 019 01501 0000000000
1100. 3009N 07945W 01524 5058 217 016 176 176 017 01500 0000000000
1101 3010N 07947W 01526 5058 216 014 176 176 015 01501 0000000000
1101. 3011N 07948W 01521 5059 214 012 180 180 012 01495 0000000000
1102 3012N 07950W 01524 5058 216 005 184 184 007 01499 0000000000
1102. 3013N 07951W 01525 5056 275 003 184 180 003 01502 0000000000
1103 3014N 07953W 01524 5055 337 005 180 180 005 01503 0000000000
1103. 3014N 07955W 01524 5053 339 007 180 180 009 01505 0000000000
1104 3015N 07957W 01523 5053 343 011 178 178 013 01504 0000000000
1104. 3015N 07958W 01525 5050 340 012 180 180 012 01508 0000000000
1105 3015N 08000W 01524 5049 338 013 178 178 014 01508 0000000000
1105. 3015N 08002W 01524 5047 337 019 164 164 021 01510 0000000000
1106 3015N 08004W 01524 5045 332 023 176 176 025 01513 0000000000
1106. 3015N 08006W 01526 5042 331 028 170 170 030 01518 0000000000
1107 3016N 08007W 01527 5040 338 037 166 166 039 01520 0000000000
1107. 3016N 08009W 01524 5038 331 033 162 162 034 01519 0000000000
1108 3016N 08011W 01725 5025 332 039 144 144 041 01734 0000000000
1108. 3016N 08012W 02090 0002 329 038 128 128 039 02127 0000000000
1109 3016N 08014W 02474 0024 329 034 104 104 035 02538 0000000000

[Thunder44]

[Thunder44]

932
URNT12 KNHC 311116
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 31/11:02:10Z
B. 30 deg 13 min N
079 deg 51 min W
C. 850 mb 1398 m
D. NA kt
E. NA deg nm
F. 233 deg 061 kt
G. 127 deg 023 nm
H. 996 mb
I. 16 C/ 1445 m
J. 18 C/ 1523 m
K. 18 C/ NA
L. OPEN NW
M. C25
N. 12345/ 8
O. 0.02 / 1 nm
P. AF303 2105A ERNESTO OB 28
MAX FL WIND 61 KT SE QUAD 10:55:00 Z
;

[drezee]

Storm ERNESTO: Observed By AF #303
Storm #05 in Atlantic Ocean1
Maximum Flight Level Winds Were 61KT (70.2mph 113.0km/h) In SE Quadrant At 10:55:00 Z
Estimated Max Surface Winds 54.9KT (63.1mph 101.7km/h) *
Date/Time of Recon Report: Thursday, August 31, 2006 7:02:00 AM (Thu, 31 Aug 2006 11:02:00 UTC)
Position of the center: 30° 13' N 079° 51' W (30.2°N 79.9°W) [See Map]
Minimum Height Measured At Standard Level Of 850mb: 1398m (Normal: 1457)
Surface Winds Were: Not Estimated
No Bearing From Center To Estimated Surface Winds Was Measured
Maximum Flight Level Winds Near Center Were 061KT (70.15mph 113.0km/h) From 233°
Maximum Flight Level Winds Were Measured 023nm (26.5 miles) From Center At Bearing 127°
Minimum pressure: 996mb (29.41in)
Eye Wall Was Characterized As Being: OPEN NW
Eye Form Was Characterized As Being Circular , 25 nm (28.8 mi 46.3km) wide
Center Fix Established Using: Penetration Radar Wind Pressure Temperature
Center Fix Established At Level(s): 850mb
Navigational Accuracy Measured At 0.02nm
Meteorological Accuracy Measured At 1nm
* = Estimated Surface Winds are assumed 90% of Max Flight Level Winds



80% would be 56 mph

[Thunder44]

I'm going to take a break for a few mins.

[HURAKAN]

61 knots x .80 = 48.8 knots or 56.21 mph.

[Thatsmrhurricane]

000
SXXX50 KNHC 311122
AF303 2105A ERNESTO HDOB 41 KNHC
1109. 3016N 08016W 02830 0053 335 034 094 094 035 02924 0000000000
1110 3016N 08018W 03150 0080 336 031 090 090 032 03271 0000000000
1110. 3016N 08020W 03471 0111 336 029 074 074 029 03624 0000000000
1111 3016N 08022W 03757 0134 345 028 056 056 028 03934 0000000000
1111. 3017N 08024W 04048 0156 345 026 042 042 027 04247 0000000000
1112 3017N 08026W 04348 0151 332 022 028 028 023 04573 0000000000
1112. 3017N 08027W 04634 0175 333 021 010 010 022 04884 0000000000
1113 3017N 08029W 04908 0210 330 021 005 005 022 05194 0000000000
1113. 3017N 08031W 05165 0231 331 021 019 019 022 05472 0000000000
1114 3017N 08033W 05366 0249 329 017 029 029 018 05692 0000000000
1114. 3017N 08035W 05501 0260 323 017 037 041 017 05838 0000000000
1115 3017N 08037W 05613 0270 326 018 043 049 018 05960 0000000000
1115. 3017N 08039W 05727 0279 327 018 049 061 019 06084 0000000000
1116 3017N 08041W 05831 0289 328 017 053 069 018 06198 0000000000
1116. 3017N 08043W 05930 0297 331 016 061 073 016 06306 0000000000
1117 3018N 08045W 06042 0307 322 016 065 077 016 06428 0000000000
1117. 3018N 08048W 06138 0316 319 014 071 079 015 06532 0000000000
1118 3018N 08050W 06221 0317 325 014 075 083 015 06617 0000000000
1118. 3018N 08052W 06296 0321 327 011 079 085 012 06696 0000000000
1119 3018N 08054W 06374 0325 336 010 083 089 011 06782 0000000000

Edit: I'm out too.

[cycloneye]

Plane acending so this mission is over.Next mission departs around 9:00 AM EDT from Kessler Base.

[Thunder44]

Tropical Storm Public Advisory

Statement as of 8:00 am EDT on August 31, 2006



...Ernesto continues moving northward toward the Carolinas...

a Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect from Flagler Beach
Florida to Cape Lookout North Carolina.

For storm information specific to your area...including possible
inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued
by your local weather office.

At 800 am EDT...1200z...the center of Tropical Storm Ernesto was
located near latitude 30.4 north...longitude 79.9 west or about 95
miles...155 km...east of Jacksonville Florida and about 170 miles...
275 km...south of Charleston South Carolina.

Ernesto is moving toward the north near 15 mph...24 km/hr...and a
gradual turn toward the north-northeast and a faster forward speed
are expected during the next 24 hours. This motion will take the
center of Ernesto farther away from the coast of northeast Florida
today...and could bring the center near the north and South Carolina
coasts late this afternoon or tonight.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 55 mph...90 km/hr...
with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next
24 hours.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 85 miles...140 km
mainly to the southeast of the center.

Latest minimum central pressure reported by an Air Force plane was
996 mb...29.41 inches.

Coastal storm surge flooding of 3 to 5 feet above normal tide levels
is possible along the coasts of south and North Carolina in areas
of onshore flow within the warning area. Coastal storm surge
flooding of 1 to 3 feet above normal tide levels is possible along
the Georgia coast in areas of onshore flow.

Rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches are possible from northeast South
Carolina into the mid-Atlantic states...and the southern and
central Appalachians...with isolated maximum amounts of 12
inches...through Saturday. These amounts could cause life-
threatening flash floods. Additional isolated rainfall amounts of
1 to 2 inches are possible over Florida today.

Isolated tornadoes are possible over eastern North Carolina late
this afternoon and tonight.

Repeating the 800 am EDT position...30.4 N...79.9 W. Movement
toward...north near 15 mph. Maximum sustained winds...55 mph.
Minimum central pressure...996 mb.

The next advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at
1100 am EDT.

$$
Forecaster Avila

[HurricaneHunter914]

I thoguht there was no such thing as 55 mph?

[Thunder44]

I thoguht there was no such thing as 55 mph?

They can use it in the intermediate advisories.

[JtSmarts]

That means they will probably upgrade to 60mph at 11.

[rnbaida]

i bet that the latest blowup of convection has raised the winds to 60 mph....

[shaggy]

wheres the plane?

[Thunder44]

068
Right here:

URNT40 KWBC 311330
NOAA2 2205A ERNESTO
132100 2927 08051 7127 +0294 284036 +139 +095 284036 021 000
132200 2929 08046 7131 +0290 282037 +140 +096 282038 025 000
132300 2932 08041 7128 +0286 282039 +143 +093 283040 027 000
132400 2934 08036 7122 +0277 282039 +142 +095 279040 029 000
132500 2936 08032 7119 +0269 280040 +144 +095 280041 029 000
132600 2939 08027 7054 +0255 280042 +145 +101 281042 029 001
132700 2940 08022 7042 +0258 282042 +150 +097 282043 031 000
132800 2937 08018 7035 +0252 280044 +147 +102 279045 031 000
132900 2935 08014 7029 +0253 277044 +147 +100 278044 031 000
133000 2933 08009 7027 +0253 274045 +146 +098 274046 031 001

This is a NOAA plane.

[Thunder44]