Interesting article in the Palm Beach Post. I think that the article should also mention that not only the intensity was inpredictable but the track of Ernesto was unpredictable as well.
In all, Ernesto was nearly impossible to predict.
Even Max Mayfield put up shutters at his home in Miami - the NHC was that convinced it was going to be a strong hurricane hitting South Florida.
http://www.palmbeachpost.com/storm/cont ... _0831.html
Ernesto highlights limits of forecasting
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