Ernesto Remnants

carve · #21 Postby **carve** » Thu Aug 31, 2006 9:29 pm

Is it just me,or is ernie moving nnw almost ready to come ashore.Just looked to be moving that way on the radar

#22 Postby **JonathanBelles** » Thu Aug 31, 2006 9:29 pm

i think the eye wall is on cape fear

#23 Postby **bjackrian** » Thu Aug 31, 2006 9:30 pm

KSUT down to 991.3 mb at 0220 UTC. Still winds of 21 kt gusting to 39 kt.

#24 Postby **drezee** » Thu Aug 31, 2006 9:30 pm

Pressure is still falling! should be near 985 or so now

0222. 3345N 07811W 01523 5135 136 011 190 190 013 01391 0000000000

marcane_1973 · #25 Postby **marcane_1973** » Thu Aug 31, 2006 9:31 pm

They just recorded a pressure of 992mbs and an average wind of 51mph.

#26 Postby **SouthFloridawx** » Thu Aug 31, 2006 9:31 pm

marcane_1973 wrote:They just recorded a pressure of 992mbs and an average wind of 51mph.

Where did you get that?

tallywx · #27 Postby **tallywx** » Thu Aug 31, 2006 9:31 pm

wunderground live station at Southport (Bob's Appliance Repair), which reported a pressure of 992.4 MB at 0200z (meaning it's calibrated well, since official station KSUT at Southport reported 992.6 MB at the same time)

is now reporting a pressure of 989.4MB.

http://www.wunderground.com/weatherstat ... =KNCSOUTH2

Center still not ashore yet, leading me to believe that central pressure might be even lower than the min of 988 MB that the aircraft reported a few hours ago...perhaps 987 or even 986 MB.

Thatsmrhurricane · #28 Postby **Thatsmrhurricane** » Thu Aug 31, 2006 9:32 pm

Hey Regit;

Not sure about damage as it is hard to open the door and it is dark. We will see in the morning. Power is flickering, but it has not gone off.

mtm4319 · #29 Postby **mtm4319** » Thu Aug 31, 2006 9:32 pm

drezee wrote:Pressure is still falling! should be near 985 or so now

0222. 3345N 07811W 01523 5135 136 011 190 190 013 01391 0000000000

Doesn't the bold part just mean that they're 1391 meters in the air? Not sure where you're getting the 985 from.

Regit · #30 Postby **Regit** » Thu Aug 31, 2006 9:33 pm

Thatsmrhurricane wrote:Hey Regit;

Not sure about damage as it is hard to open the door and it is dark. We will see in the morning. Power is flickering, but it has not gone off.

I've been through several storms that gave us winds in the 60-70 range. Takes down a ton of trees, especially considering the rain amounts. A few homes might fall victim to trees as well.

carve · #31 Postby **carve** » Thu Aug 31, 2006 9:34 pm

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tr ... 0z#a_topad

Bane · #32 Postby **Bane** » Thu Aug 31, 2006 9:34 pm

more heavy rain is about to impact my area. as much as 11" has fallen in new hanover county so far.

#33 Postby **JonathanBelles** » Thu Aug 31, 2006 9:34 pm

i think it might make a primary landfall on cape fear and then a final landfall between jacksonville and morehead city.

#34 Postby **drezee** » Thu Aug 31, 2006 9:35 pm

mtm4319 wrote:
drezee wrote:Pressure is still falling! should be near 985 or so now

0222. 3345N 07811W 01523 5135 136 011 190 190 013 01391 0000000000

Doesn't the bold part just mean that they're 1391 meters in the air? Not sure where you're getting the 985 from.

Those are the approx. 850 mb heights

carve · #35 Postby **carve** » Thu Aug 31, 2006 9:35 pm

carve wrote:http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at200605_n0z.html?extraprod=n0z#a_topad

Does it seem to be moving nnw?

Bane · #36 Postby **Bane** » Thu Aug 31, 2006 9:37 pm

Tropical Storm Public Advisory

Statement as of 11:00 PM EDT on August 31, 2006

...Center of Ernesto near landfall on the North Carolina coast near
Cape Fear...
At 11 PM EDT...0300 UTC...the Tropical Storm Warning is discontinued
from the South Santee River South Carolina southward.

A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect from north of the South
Santee River to Currituck Beach Light including the Pamlico and
Albemarle sounds. Gale warnings are in effect for the Atlantic
coast and the Chesapeake Bay north of the Tropical Storm Warning
area due to a strong pressure gradient north of Ernesto.

A Hurricane Watch remains in effect from South Santee River South
Carolina to Cape Lookout North Carolina. A Hurricane Watch means
that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area...in
this case within the next 6 to 12 hours.

For storm information specific to your area...including possible
inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued
by your local weather office.

At 1100 PM EDT...0300z...the center of Tropical Storm Ernesto was
located near latitude 33.9 north...longitude 78.2 west...or near the
North Carolina coast just west of Cape Fear. This position is also
about 25 miles... 45 km...southwest of Wilmington North Carolina
and about 105 miles...165 km...west-southwest of Cape Lookout North
Carolina.

Ernesto is moving toward the north-northeast near 18 mph...30 km/hr.
A turn toward the north and a decrease in forward speed are
expected during the next 24 hours. This motion should bring the
center inland over eastern North Carolina for the remainder of
tonight and Friday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph...110 km/hr...with higher
gusts. Weakening is forecast as the storm moves inland over North
Carolina.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 145 miles...230 km
mainly to the east of the center. The National ocean service
station at Wrightsville Beach North Carolina recently reported a
six-minute average wind of 55 mph with a gust to 67 mph.

The minimum central pressure just reported by an Air Force Reserve
hurricane hunter aircraft is 988 mb...29.18 inches.
Coastal storm surge flooding of 3 to 5 feet above normal tide levels
is possible along the coast of North Carolina in areas of onshore
flow within the warning area. Tides are currently running about 3
feet above normal at Wrightsville Beach.
Rainfall totals of 5 to 10 inches are possible from northeastern
South Carolina into the mid-Atlantic states...and the southern and
central Appalachians through Saturday...with isolated maximum
amounts of 15 inches. These amounts could cause life-threatening
flash floods and mudslides.
Isolated tornadoes are possible over eastern North Carolina and
southeastern Virginia through Friday morning.
Repeating the 1100 PM EDT position...33.9 N...78.2 W. Movement
toward...north-northeast near 18 mph. Maximum sustained winds...70
mph. Minimum central pressure...988 mb.

An intermediate advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane
Center at 200 am EDT followed by the next complete advisory at 500
am EDT.

$$
Forecaster Beven

#37 Postby **JonathanBelles** » Thu Aug 31, 2006 9:38 pm

boo.... i wanna h1 :cry:

mtm4319 · #38 Postby **mtm4319** » Thu Aug 31, 2006 9:38 pm

It's over... no hurricane.

#39 Postby **JtSmarts** » Thu Aug 31, 2006 9:39 pm

Looks like Ernie will officially landfall as a TS.

marcane_1973 · #40 Postby **marcane_1973** » Thu Aug 31, 2006 9:39 pm

SouthFloridawx wrote:
marcane_1973 wrote:They just recorded a pressure of 992mbs and an average wind of 51mph.

Where did you get that?

On hurricanetrack.com live feed. Mark Sudduth and Jesse Bass are on the oceanfront at Kure Beach about 70ft from the actual ocean. They have seen some over wash come up close to their HIRT SUV as well.

Ernesto Remnants

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