Ernie may affect DE, PA, MD and NJ

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coriolis
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#21 Postby coriolis » Thu Aug 31, 2006 8:14 pm

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This space for rent.

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Stephanie
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#22 Postby Stephanie » Thu Aug 31, 2006 8:21 pm

My town never really got that soaking rain until Saturday evening. The showers kept going to our east or staying north. My rain gauge had over 2 inches of rain in total since the faucet was turned back on, but it was getting so dry here that I don't doubt that the trees and shrubs sucked it all up in a hurry.

Be careful driving to work tomorrow angelwing. Thanks for the links everyone. It's going to be quite windy down in Atlantic City tomorrow. The road my office is on is a wind tunnel since there's tall buildings on it. It's hysterical seeing people trying to walk down the street at a contorted angle.
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angelwing
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#23 Postby angelwing » Thu Aug 31, 2006 8:25 pm

Yo be careful too Stephanie, I know what it can be like down the shore in tropical like conditions (was in Seaside Heights for Hurricane Gloria)

Now the hubby wants to go away for the weekend when I come home from work on Sat, either to Seaside or Ocean City MD, I'm trying to figure out which one would be better to go to (I keep telling him its too late for reservations, sigh)
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#24 Postby Lutrastorm » Thu Aug 31, 2006 8:31 pm

Well here's the special weather statement for the delmarva region. The northeast wind has been blowing all day and the bays look pretty full right now without the added rain we're supposed to get.....


NEW CASTLE-KENT DE-INLAND SUSSEX- DELAWARE BEACHES-CECIL-KENT MD- QUEEN ANNE'S-TALBOT-CAROLINE-SUSSEX-WARREN- MORRIS-HUNTERDON- SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX- WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH- MERCER-SALEM- GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN- NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN- CUMBERLAND- ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC- COASTAL OCEAN-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON- CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH- NORTHAMPTON-CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS- DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...DOVER... GEORGETOWN... REHOBOTH BEACH... ELKTON...CHESTERTOWN...CENTREVILLE... EASTON... DENTON...NEWTON... WASHINGTON...MORRISTOWN... FLEMINGTON... SOMERVILLE...NEW BRUNSWICK...FREEHOLD...SANDY HOOK... TRENTON... PENNSVILLE...GLASSBORO... CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL...MOORESTOWN... MOUNT HOLLY...JACKSON...MILLVILLE... HAMMONTON... CAPE MAY COURT HOUSE... OCEAN CITY...ATLANTIC CITY... LONG BEACH ISLAND...WHARTON STATE FOREST... JIM THORPE... STROUDSBURG...READING... ALLENTOWN...BETHLEHEM...WEST CHESTER... NORRISTOWN...DOYLESTOWN... MEDIA 410 PM EDT THU AUG 31 2006

...REMNANTS OF ERNESTO WILL AFFECT THE AREA FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY...

THE REMNANTS OF ERNESTO ARE FORECAST TO PASS THROUGH VIRGINIA AND WESTERN MARYLAND ON FRIDAY AND THROUGH PENNSYLVANIA ON SATURDAY. THIS WILL CAUSE SOME POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS WEATHER IN OUR AREA WITH THE MAIN THREAT BEING THE LIKELIHOOD OF HEAVY RAIN AND POSSIBLE FLOODING.

PRECIPITATION POTENTIAL...

BASIN-WIDE AVERAGE RAINFALL ESTIMATES REMAIN IN THE 3 TO 6 INCH RANGE ACROSS DELAWARE, THE EASTERN SHORE OF MARYLAND, SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY, AND SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA. FURTHER TO THE NORTH AND MORE REMOVED FROM THE STORM TRACK, RAINFALL ESTIMATES ARE IN THE 2 TO 4 INCH RANGE. AS WITH MOST TROPICAL SYSTEMS, LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS OF 7 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. THE HEAVIEST RAIN SHOULD START MOVING INTO DELAWARE AND MARYLAND FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND THE REST OF THE REGION FRIDAY NIGHT WHEN THE MOST WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED. RAIN SHOULD TAPER OFF FROM SOUTH TO NORTH ON SATURDAY. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA.

WIND EFFECTS...

WIND EFFECTS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE MUCH IN INLAND LOCATIONS. HIGHEST GUSTS SHOULD GENERALLY BE LESS THAN 30 MPH. HOWEVER, RECENT HEAVY RAINS AND THE ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN ALONG WITH THE PROLONGED DURATION OF THE WINDS WILL KNOCK OVER SOME SHALLOW ROOTED AND OR LEANING TREES. SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES, AS WELL AS ISOLATED INSTANCES OF PERSONAL PROPERTY DAMAGE WILL OCCUR. ALONG THE COAST, GALE WARNINGS WILL BE RAISED FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY. HIGHEST WIND GUSTS COULD APPROACH 50 MPH, ESPECIALLY OVER COASTAL DELAWARE AND SOUTHEASTERN NEW JERSEY.

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT...

AT THIS TIME, THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT SEEMS CONFINED TO SECTIONS OF DELMARVA AND SOUTHEASTERN NEW JERSEY, WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES ON FRIDAY.

TIDAL EFFECTS...

THE CIRCULATION AROUND THE REMNANTS OF ERNESTO WILL COMBINE WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVER EASTERN CANADA TO BRING A STRONG ONSHORE FLOW TO OUR AREA INTO FRIDAY NIGHT. AS A RESULT, TIDAL DEPARTURES WILL BE INCREASING FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT. THIS IS LIKELY TO CAUSE MINOR TIDAL FLOODING AROUND THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE FRIDAY AFTERNOON ALONG THE EXTREME SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE COASTS, ON DELAWARE BAY, AND ON THE TIDAL PORTION OF THE DELAWARE RIVER. FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE NEW JERSEY SHORE, TIDAL DEPARTURES WILL BE SLIGHTLY LOWER, AND, THUS, TIDAL FLOODING IS NOT ANTICIPATED. FORTUNATELY, ASTRONOMICAL TIDES ARE RUNNING LOW BECAUSE OF THE FACT THAT WE ARE BETWEEN THE NEW MOON AND THE FULL MOON.

IN ADDITION, THE STRONG ONSHORE FLOW WILL PRODUCE INCREASINGLY ROUGH SURF WITH WAVE HEIGHTS REACHING 8 TO 10 FT LATE TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY NIGHT. THEREFORE, A HIGH SURF ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THAT TIME PERIOD.

THERE WILL BE A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS INTO SATURDAY. A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS MEANS DANGEROUS AND POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING CONDITIONS EXIST FOR ALL PEOPLE ENTERING THE SURF.
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#25 Postby tropicana » Thu Aug 31, 2006 8:59 pm

And here is the weather statement issued tonight by Environment Canada for all of SOuthern Ontario...

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
ISSUED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA ONTARIO REGION.
7:06 PM EDT THURSDAY 31 AUGUST 2006.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT ISSUED FOR..
CITY OF TORONTO AND ALL OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL ONTARIO



ERNESTO EXPECTED TO DELIVER A WET
WEEKEND FOR MOST OF SOUTHERN ONTARIO..
HEAVY RAINS, GUSTY WINDS TO MOVE IN ON SATURDAY...

AS OF THIS EVENING..STORM ERNESTO CONTINUES TO TRACK
NORTHWARD TOWARDS THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST AND IS FORECAST TO MAKE
LANDFALL EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. ONCE IT DOES SO..IT
WILL WEAKEN BUT CONTINUE TO RETAIN SOME TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS FOR
A COUPLE OF DAYS..EVEN AS IT TRACKS INLAND.

A LARGE BLOCKING HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE OVER EASTERN CANADA IN
CONJUNCTION WITH AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER INDIANA WILL LIKELY STEER
THE REMNANTS OF ERNESTO TOWARDS SOUTHERN ONTARIO ON SATURDAY. HEAVY RAIN
IS FORECAST TO BEGIN ON SATURDAY OVER PORTIONS OF THE LOWER GREAT
LAKES AND THEN ENVELOP MOST REGIONS LATER IN THE DAY. THE RAIN WILL
TEND TO LINGER ON SUNDAY AS THE DISTURBANCE STALLS OVER THE
AREA...BUT WITH MUCH LIGHTER RAINFALL AMOUNTS.

TOTALL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4O TO 60 MILLIMETRES ARE POSSIBLE OVER
THE WEEKEND WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE IN A FEW LOCALES.
BRISK NORTHEAST WINDS OF 40 GUSTING 60 KM/H ARE EXPECTED IN SOME
AREAS ACCOMPANIED BY AUTUMNAL TEMPERATURES WITH TEMPERATURES ONLY
AROUND 16C 60F FOR DAYTIME HIGHS.
THE WINDS SHOULD ABATE ON SUNDAY.

THERE REMAINS CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY REGARDING THE INTERACTION OF
ERNESTO WITH THE CURRENT HIGH PRESSURE AREA OVER THE REGION AND THE
UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE OVER INDIANA. THIS INTERACTION WILL
DETERMINE THE EVENTUAL EVOLUTION OF ERNESTO. ENVIRONMENT CANADA IS
WATCHING THE DEVELOPMENTS OF ERNESTO CLOSELY AND WILL ISSUE UPDATES
ACCORDINGLY.

LISTEN FOR FURTHER STATEMENTS. THIS IS AN EVOLVING SITUATION.

END
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terstorm1012
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#26 Postby terstorm1012 » Thu Aug 31, 2006 9:06 pm

boooo looks like i'm stuck in the apartment all weekend....

wait that's how it is most weekends.


carry on ;-)
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#27 Postby oceancounty » Thu Aug 31, 2006 10:16 pm

I work on Long Beach Island (and only live 15 minutes away on the main land) on the Jersey shore, does anyone know how the conditions will be tomorrow? :eek:
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#28 Postby angelwing » Fri Sep 01, 2006 7:56 am

From what I heard on the way into work on KYW there'll be a lot of rain, it was very cloudy out and it was 63 degrees at 7AM. I'm trying to find out what it'll be like later when I have to leave to go back to Philly
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#29 Postby Jim Cantore » Fri Sep 01, 2006 9:20 am

Let me make sure I have my Hurricane supplies

Camera, check
Weather instrument, Check

I'm ready :wink:
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