Ernesto Remnants

[Josephine96]

perhaps a special update from NHC cpming? {I know, I need to stop wishing and just wait.. post storm analysis will do it}

[jasons2k]

The lowest pressure I can find now is at CW5374 station between Oak Island and Caswell beach - 987.4 mb winds E 7 G 21

Same station now down to 987.0 NE 3 G 11

[windnrain]

So is the eye over land or water? Is it really paralleling?

[jasons2k]

CW2526 - near Carolina Beach (North of Kure Beach) is also reading is also reading 987.0

[JtSmarts]

I wonder why is winds never caught up with the pressure? 987mb is very low for Tropical Storm.

[CronkPSU]

So is the eye over land or water? Is it really paralleling?

from this...

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid= ... 1&loop=yes

looks like it is parallelling(sp?)

[jasons2k]

So is the eye over land or water? Is it really paralleling?

It looks like the center just clipped Cape Fear but it's moving pretty much parallel to the coast now

[windnrain]

myspace? O.o

[jasons2k]

Strange CW6445 near Cape Fear - closest to the center - is reading 988.4

[THead]

So is the eye over land or water? Is it really paralleling?

No official report of landfall yet, but from what I see with my amatuer eyes, it looks like the center of the center is on land to me......which is the definition of landfall. Its hard to tell because that point of land (Cape Fear?) sticks out there, after landfall a good portion of the COC could remain over water a little longer......because of the shape of the coast. I'm judging all this by looking at this loop. See and judge for yourself.

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/ridge/radar.php?product=NCR&rid=LTX&loop=yes

[JtSmarts]

Judging by the loop it appears he may make 2 landfalls in NC

[windnrain]

It looks like a glancing blow, yes... and it looks like it might even spend some more time over water, by that loop.... This can't be good for NC beaches.

[THead]

Judging by the loop it appears he may make 2 landfalls in NC

Yeah, leave it to Ernesto to continue to baffle us. The shape of the coast and direction he's traveling, it might just clip cape fear and paralell the coast with half his COC hanging out over water on the way up to Wilmington.

[Brent]

TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052006
1140 PM EDT THU AUG 31 2006

...CENTER OF ERNESTO MAKES LANDFALL NEAR LONG BEACH NORTH
CAROLINA...

DATA FROM NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WSR-88D DOPPLER RADAR IN
WILMINGTON INDICATES THAT THE CENTER OF ERNESTO MADE LANDFALL NEAR
LONG BEACH NORTH CAROLINA AT 1130 PM EDT WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 70 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

[CronkPSU]

had to check my google earth to compare it to the radar....so will we get another NC landfall since that is on an island...kinda like the keys?

[Wannabewxman79]

Actually if you look at the coordinates from 8 to 11 it actually went almost north. 33.2 and 78.3 at 8pm to 33.9 and 78.2 at 11pm. I am not sure if it is a jog to the north but it might stay inland if this trend continues in the next few hours.

[gotoman38]

had to check my google earth to compare it to the radar....so will we get another NC landfall since that is on an island...kinda like the keys?

Long Beach is a barrier island.... similar to saying that landfall on Miami Beach is the same as Miami.

Except fewer nightclubs

[Bane]

long beach is a little west of southport. this didn't just clip cape fear. it made a direct hit.

[Bane]

btw, cape fear is the mouth of the cape fear river.

[THead]

long beach is a little west of southport. this didn't just clip cape fear. it made a direct hit.

Yeah, sorry......CLIP was NOT the right word for me to use. Meant HIT and then continue on elsewhere.