mistake?

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Extremeweatherguy
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mistake?

#1 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Fri Sep 01, 2006 2:45 pm

I was just reading the Houston forecast, and this is what they have forecasted for Sunday night through Labor day:


Sunday Night: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 70.

Labor Day: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 70.

Monday Night: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 70.


I then went and even cross-checked it with other towns around Houston showing a similar forecast.

Is this accurate? Could we really go from 87F the day before to 70F on Labor day and then back up to 88F the next day?
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#2 Postby gboudx » Fri Sep 01, 2006 2:52 pm

Has to be a mistake. Here's the forecast for the DFW area for the same time period. I doubt you guys to the South would be that much cooler on the daytime high on Monday. ;)

Sunday Night: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 65. North northwest wind between 5 and 10 mph.

Labor Day: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a high near 86. North northeast wind around 5 mph becoming east southeast.

Monday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 66. South southeast wind around 5 mph becoming east northeast.
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#3 Postby wall_cloud » Fri Sep 01, 2006 5:30 pm

this forecast doesn't match their grids but it does show up on their point and click webpage. EWX and FTW aren't showing this cool-down so it looks like they simply had a big error on the Labor Day Max Temp forecast grid and didn't catch it.
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#4 Postby Yankeegirl » Fri Sep 01, 2006 6:10 pm

Its still up there, I just checked!! GO figure, I hope its not a mistake!! Im going to open the windows!!

Tonight: A 20 percent chance of showers before 9pm. Patchy fog after 1am. Otherwise, partly cloudy, with a low around 71. East wind around 5 mph becoming calm.

Saturday: A 20 percent chance of showers. Partly cloudy, with a high near 95. Heat index values as high as 103. Calm wind becoming east around 5 mph.

Saturday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 73. South wind 5 to 10 mph becoming east.

Sunday: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1pm. Partly cloudy, with a high near 86. East wind between 5 and 10 mph.

Sunday Night: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 71. East wind between 5 and 10 mph.

Labor Day: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 72.

Monday Night: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 71.

Tuesday: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 89.

Tuesday Night: A slight chance of showers. Partly cloudy, with a low around 70. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

Wednesday: A 20 percent chance of showers. Partly cloudy, with a high near 91.

Wednesday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers. Partly cloudy, with a low around 69.

Thursday: A 20 percent chance of showers. Partly cloudy, with a high near 91.

Thursday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers. Partly cloudy, with a low around 72.

Friday: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 88.
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#5 Postby wall_cloud » Fri Sep 01, 2006 7:48 pm

their new PNG files are on the webpage so the text does match the newest gridded forecast. It looks like they are banking on the cold front and associated convection keeping them socked in all day on Monday. Its a big gamble but its always possible.
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#6 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Fri Sep 01, 2006 8:08 pm

wall_cloud wrote:their new PNG files are on the webpage so the text does match the newest gridded forecast. It looks like they are banking on the cold front and associated convection keeping them socked in all day on Monday. Its a big gamble but its always possible.
wow. If this plays out, then that could mean record low maximum temperatures for this area.

I am still suspicious though, because the afternoon AFD made no mention of unusually cool highs and enough rain/clouds/cool air to cause this. I guess we will have to see what the morning forecast looks like..
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#7 Postby wall_cloud » Fri Sep 01, 2006 9:19 pm

i agree. usually with a 10+ degree departure from the MEX, it will at least garner a mention. however...HGX is the only office biting on this right now. everyone else is in the 80s.
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#8 Postby Brent » Fri Sep 01, 2006 9:39 pm

I don't see that happening AT ALL. Sorry.

I'm surprised it's not fixed yet though.
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