Homebrew Devlopment in the G.O.M. next week?

Johnny · #1 Postby **Johnny** » Fri Sep 01, 2006 9:42 am

I've heard a few of y'all mention that something could from on the tail end of the front that should push out into the gulf the beginning next week. Are any models showing this? I think even Joe Bastardi mentioned this? Anyways I'm just wondering if we might have something to watch next week.

#2 Postby **TreasureIslandFLGal** » Fri Sep 01, 2006 9:44 am

??? What?! I hadn't heard anything about that yet. Now it looks like I'll have to go model surfing. :eek:

#3 Postby **Steve** » Fri Sep 01, 2006 9:51 am

The trough is in the Gulf and it looks like it's going to split rather than lift out. That should leave a piece of energy down in the SW Gulf. But that stuff takes a while to stew unless you've got an incoming wave to juice it. We're just going to have to wait a while (and FWIW, I haven't looked at any globals today).

Steve

weatherrabbit_tx · #4 Postby **weatherrabbit_tx** » Fri Sep 01, 2006 11:22 am

this is the same front the meteo's are talking coming in sunday or monday? was thinking that too, home brew that may be the only action this season........

#5 Postby **jasons2k** » Fri Sep 01, 2006 12:19 pm

The Houston office isn't sure the front will even make it into the GOM.

Maybe it will further east?

#6 Postby **Steve** » Fri Sep 01, 2006 12:42 pm

I just went and looked at the globals, and I can't see much resemblance from one to the other except: they all pretty much take Ernesto's remnants toward Buffalo, and all but the NOGAPS appear to be hinting at a Negative NAO setup with pretty strong low pressure over NE Canada. GFS points to a couple of insignificant, closed off pulses hitting the N Gulf. Other than that, I really didn't see anything tropical hinted at.

Steve

#7 Postby **SouthFloridawx** » Fri Sep 01, 2006 10:18 pm

jschlitz wrote:The Houston office isn't sure the front will even make it into the GOM.

Maybe it will further east?

Looking at the GFS forecast that shortwave to make it pretty far south. I would not doubt a front making it to the GOM.

#8 Postby **Bailey1777** » Fri Sep 01, 2006 10:23 pm

Local forecast show it pushing to the coast here and pulling up there.

#9 Postby **SouthFloridawx** » Fri Sep 01, 2006 10:25 pm

Day 5 and 6 has a stalled out front in the northern gom.

http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/medr/9lh.gif
http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/medr/9mh.gif

#10 Postby **Bailey1777** » Fri Sep 01, 2006 10:28 pm

I could see that not alot of difference from what the news said.

Extremeweatherguy · #11 Postby **Extremeweatherguy** » Fri Sep 01, 2006 11:19 pm

Yes, JB's evening post does mention that fronts in the Gulf in September are never a good thing. He also says that a wave could meet up with the stalled front. Should be interesting, but as of now he is only saying there is a "chance" something could spin up, and is not saying something will for sure just yet.

#12 Postby **Portastorm** » Fri Sep 01, 2006 11:41 pm

Oh no you're not, Lucy ... you're not going to get me to try and kick that football again. I'm not buying it. Nope. Sorry. Nothing doing. I know you'll pull it from me the moment I try and kick it.

Western Gulf threat --- pa-shaw!

(feeling like Charlie Brown) :lol:

Johnny · #13 Postby **Johnny** » Sat Sep 02, 2006 10:06 am

Well after reading the discussion out of the Houston/Galveston office this morning, it looks like the front will move offshore sometime next week.

#14 Postby **tailgater** » Sat Sep 02, 2006 10:19 am

Well this may be a little off this subject, but if the UPPER trough washes out or mores west, the BOC will need to watch. Check this out.
https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/products/SCA ... 0_-100.gif

Homebrew Devlopment in the G.O.M. next week?

Homebrew Devlopment in the G.O.M. next week?

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