Why the dry air especially in Sept

[boca]

I can understand in June,July and early August but why the dry air in Sept and also nothing in the western Caribbean. Does this happen to coincide with the potential of the weak El Nino thats effecting our hurricane season. If this year continues like this we will break the 11 year streak of above average and to heck with hyper activity.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

I don't know what the heck is going on. 5 weak tropical storms so far, with one that was a hurricane for about 30 minutes. That is pretty much is how you can state 2006. I think this is a sign of a El nino forming.

[marcane_1973]

I was about to post the same thing Boca. : Any pro mets care to help answer the reasoning for all this dry air coming into the peak of Hurricane season??? I have been following Hurricanes in the Atlantic for 20 years now and I do not remember seeing so much orange out there especially this time of year.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Could be locked into a dry MJO. With a developing El nino.

[boca]

I'm surprised with all the technology out their that when they predicted another busy season like 05 that they didn't see this coming and pretty much this season is the direct opposite of last year. Don't get me wrong I don't mind it since I haven't received my shutters yet but on the other hand I like to track something besides erratic Ernesto which is gone now we have 98L. This is my weather excitement because winter here in Florida is a non event.

[marcane_1973]

I'm surprised with all the technology out their that when they predicted another busy season like 05 that they didn't see this coming and pretty much this season is the direct opposite of last year. Don't get me wrong I don't mind it since I haven't received my shutters yet but on the other hand I like to track something besides erratic Ernesto which is gone now we have 98L.

I am suprised they didnt see this coming as well. It seems there is still a lot we do not know about the development of El nino.

[Frank2]

As Max Mayfield said this week, meteorology is still a developing science, with much to understand.

Some here may be disappointed, but, there's still so much work to be done on the Gulf Coast (Floridians are just getting caught up here, after Charley, Frances, Jeanne, Katrina and Wilma), that another hurricane at this point would perhaps cause the Gulf Coast area to fall in a permanent state of ruin - many here and there have been praying very sincerely for a quiet season...

Frank

[Jim Cantore]

Theres other basins besides the Atlantic, Hurricane John just hit Mexico, and Ioke is heading for Japan, have fun.

[MetroMike]

THis is true there are other basins I can watch. I have no vested interests in area which have no potential threat to me. In other words I don't give a flip about cyclones in the Pacific .[/quote]

[rainstorm]

Theres other basins besides the Atlantic, Hurricane John just hit Mexico, and Ioke is heading for Japan, have fun.

thats like saying in january, its warm in the northeast but follow that big blizzard in mongolia, lol

[Derek Ortt]

Things do not usually form in the W Carib this time of year, though they often move into the area

The SAL is still common in September. It zapped Georges from a near cat 5 to a marginal 3 in 1998

[EmeraldCoast1]

(Floridians are just getting caught up here, after Charley, Frances, Jeanne, Katrina and Wilma)
Frank

You forgot about Hurricane Ivan and Hurricane Dennis. Or are you one of the types that doesn't count the panhandle as part of the "real" Florida?