ULL SE Bahamas. Suspect?

[Stormavoider]

This area looks kind of interesting. Are there any chances of surface development?

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/get-goes?satellite=GOES-E%20CONUS&lat=22&lon=-73&map=latlon&info=vis&zoom=1&width=2800&height=2000&type=Animation&numframes=6&palette=ir.pal

[SouthFloridawx]

I posted this in another thread...

I have a quick question regarding this Upper Level Low.

Isn't the western side of the ULL most often the subsiding air side causing less convection?

I thought that typically the Eastern side was the most convective.



You can see the ULL fairly well on the CIMSS site.
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... 8vor1.html

There is some vorticity noted also in the 850mb level
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... 8vor4.html

Also in the 500mb level.
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... 8vor2.html

I would be interested to see if this tries to make it to the surface.

Lot's of convection in front of the ULL.

GFS weakens this ULL in front of an approaching trough.

[Stormavoider]

I thought there was a thread going on this. I looked for it. I don't see it.

[hiflyer]

both WV and Vis show a light spin around Crooked Island...the whole area west of there to the Fl coast and just south is about as moisture laden as you can get with storms popping up again before even noontime heating. NWS MIA and EYW mentions the existance of the low but only for increases precip Sunday as of now.