Tropical Wave East of Lesser Antilles (Ex 98L)

[HurricaneHunter914]

Don't worry about it, I always make mistakes like that.

[ConvergenceZone]

Thanx for posting that Zardoz

[WindRunner]

Actually, 90L is the future TD. What you have marked as a future TD should be marked as future invest.

[Sanibel]

Funny, it is acting like Fujiwhara. 98L's remnant's are staying still while 90L rotates above it.

[Zardoz]

...Actually, 90L is the future TD. What you have marked as a future TD should be marked as future invest.

Are you sure? I think I got it right...

[WindRunner]

...Actually, 90L is the future TD. What you have marked as a future TD should be marked as future invest.

Are you sure? I think I got it right...

Almost positive . . . if they think something is almost a TD, they usually will have declared an invest on it the first time they thought it had a chance of developing.

[cycloneye]

It looks like some convection is fireing at the wave axis.If the wave can detach itself from the big system behind,it might have a chance to organize and develop.

[jusforsean]

I am having trouble accessing the models for some reason????? Anyone have a working link??? My link is dead for a while now

[ROCK]

Sanibel I agree it does look that way to me. The MET-8 view below show TD6 seemly spinning off Ex 98L..... firing convection attm with TD6 moving around it. There is still a LLC there so I would not count it out just yet.....


http://oiswww.eumetsat.org/SDDI/cgi/lis ... 0#controls

[ROCK]

Anyone else seeing X-98 starting to hold its own and fire convection around its LLC?? Looks to me that 98 is cutting the cord from TD6 as it moves westward and 6 moves NW....I hope this doesnt slip under the NHC radar and threaten the islands as something bigger. None of the models are seeing this, they all are latching on to TD6...



Louis, you might want to keep an eye on X98 due to it will be further west before (if) developing and could possibly effect the islands.....

[HURAKAN]

This already came into my attention in the afternoon, but I though TD 6 would intensify enough to ingest ex. 98L, but it seems both are going separate ways and TD 6 isn't having a great effect over ex. 98L.

[ROCK]

This already came into my attention in the afternoon, but I though TD 6 would intensify enough to ingest ex. 98L, but it seems both are going separate ways and TD 6 isn't having a great effect over ex. 98L.

Finally someone is commenting on this, thank you... No ingesting attm considering the convection bursts over the LLC. Needs a little more room to wind up. If it does develope it could pose a threat to the islands as it is well south in lat from 98L and is not effected by the trof. Sneaking up under the radar if you will.... I suspect if it keeps this up the NHC will mention it.

[caribepr]

I am housesitting, so have less access to s2k. There is a lot going on here, and I HATE being one of those people saying, Hey, I've been gone, what's happening? I haven't been gone and I am watching but - Luis, how are you looking at what is going on? We had a big rain today off of the one wave (the gardens are so happy and so were the tourists, cool air instead of this awful heat we've had), so that was nothing. What are we looking at to what is ahead?
Sorry to ask like this, just don't have the time or access to be more on it myself right now.

[cycloneye]

I am housesitting, so have less access to s2k. There is a lot going on here, and I HATE being one of those people saying, Hey, I've been gone, what's happening? I haven't been gone and I am watching but - Luis, how are you looking at what is going on? We had a big rain today off of the one wave (the gardens are so happy and so were the tourists, cool air instead of this awful heat we've had), so that was nothing. What are we looking at to what is ahead?
Sorry to ask like this, just don't have the time or access to be more on it myself right now.

Well mj,a wave is approaching the Caribbean but is not strong.Some rain for late tommorow continuing into tuesday for us.But then after that wave moves away we will have to watch not TD6 but wave in front of the TD.That wave still has a weak circulation and convection has been pulsing up and down.Arrival of that disturbance is around thursday.TD 6 will not be a threat to us here as already the track is NW being around 40w.That is the panoramic view for this week that of course can change depending on that wave in front of TD6.

[HurricaneMaster_PR]

The NHC doesnt talk about it on latest 805pm Discussion...

[perk]

98L and TD6 are clearly two separate systems. Accuweather in their discussion mentioned that 98L could develop and end up in the NW caribbean or south of Florida.

[HurricaneMaster_PR]

This animated satellite shot clearly shows two circulations...If only the NHC would explain us more about the situation...

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/catl/loop-avn.html

[sma10]

I must say that this is one of the most fascinating setups I've ever seen in the Atlantic.

If the two circulations continue to hold their own and create more distance between each other, I don't think the NHC will be able to ignore that they are two distinct features.

[ROCK]

I must say that this is one of the most fascinating setups I've ever seen in the Atlantic.

If the two circulations continue to hold their own and create more distance between each other, I don't think the NHC will be able to ignore that they are two distinct features.

not if it keeps its convection they won't. Carib right now is very hostile as seen with the demise of 99L. Even though 99L was weak to begin with it got sheared to death. Things can change though as X98 has a few days left before it reaches the islands.

[Sanibel]

I think Matt may be right. Apparently 98L is still alive.

If 90L does a weak Fujiwhara tandem orbit it should lift fairly north and get up into a recurve position. 98L should be lifted into the same weak spot in the synoptic above - but not as drastically and could end up skimming the Antilles while 90L gets pulled out to sea.

Stay tuned.