TD #6 Central Atlantic,Analysis,Sat Pics,Models Thread

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Locked
Message
Author
User avatar
calculatedrisk
Tropical Depression
Tropical Depression
Posts: 76
Joined: Fri Jul 15, 2005 3:39 pm

#381 Postby calculatedrisk » Sun Sep 03, 2006 2:16 pm

Don't know if this has been posted, but the Navy calls it TD 6:
http://tcweb.fnmoc.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_home.cgi
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Trugunzn
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 549
Joined: Tue Apr 11, 2006 6:59 pm

#382 Postby Trugunzn » Sun Sep 03, 2006 2:22 pm

wow looking good, looking at models it also could get pretty close to east coast. Really need to watch this!

Image
Last edited by Trugunzn on Sun Sep 03, 2006 2:23 pm, edited 2 times in total.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 146154
Age: 69
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#383 Postby cycloneye » Sun Sep 03, 2006 2:22 pm

I dont think we will see a Special Tropical Disturbance Statement as it's in the middle of the Atlantic not affecting anyone.They will go and issue the first advisory at 5 again if it comes as storm2k does not jump ahead to be in the safe side. :)
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
Derek Ortt

#384 Postby Derek Ortt » Sun Sep 03, 2006 2:23 pm

it almost certainly will be upgraded to a depression at 5. This ones a 99.9999999999999% certainty
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
cheezyWXguy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6132
Joined: Mon Feb 13, 2006 12:29 am
Location: Dallas, TX

#385 Postby cheezyWXguy » Sun Sep 03, 2006 2:24 pm

Derek Ortt wrote:it almost certainly will be upgraded to a depression at 5. This ones a 99.9999999999999% certainty


How strong do you think it will get/where do you think it will go, Derek?
0 likes   
Top
Rbaida

#386 Postby Rbaida » Sun Sep 03, 2006 2:24 pm

Is there a shot of this getting close to the bahamas?
0 likes   
Top
HurricaneHunter914
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4439
Age: 31
Joined: Fri Mar 10, 2006 7:36 pm
Location: College Station, TX

#387 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Sun Sep 03, 2006 2:25 pm

Cycloneye, if you know that they are going to upgrade 90L then why don't you get over with it already?
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
Thunder44
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5922
Age: 44
Joined: Mon Jun 09, 2003 7:53 pm
Location: New York City

#388 Postby Thunder44 » Sun Sep 03, 2006 2:25 pm

cycloneye wrote:I dont think we will see a Special Tropical Disturbance Statement as it's in the middle of the Atlantic not affecting anyone.They will go and issue the first advisory at 5 again if it comes as storm2k does not jump ahead to be in the safe side. :)


I still don't understand why don't you change the title of thread to 06L.NONAME.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
WindRunner
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5806
Age: 34
Joined: Fri Jul 29, 2005 8:07 pm
Location: Warrenton, VA, but Albany, NY for school
Contact:
Contact WindRunner

#389 Postby WindRunner » Sun Sep 03, 2006 2:25 pm

Rbaida wrote:Is there a shot of this getting close to the bahamas?



Without getting too far off topic, what's with the new user name?
0 likes   
Top
Rbaida

#390 Postby Rbaida » Sun Sep 03, 2006 2:26 pm

WindRunner wrote:
Rbaida wrote:Is there a shot of this getting close to the bahamas?



Without getting too far off topic, what's with the new user name?
Something happened to my account so i just made a new one.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
WindRunner
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5806
Age: 34
Joined: Fri Jul 29, 2005 8:07 pm
Location: Warrenton, VA, but Albany, NY for school
Contact:
Contact WindRunner

#391 Postby WindRunner » Sun Sep 03, 2006 2:26 pm

Thunder44 wrote:
cycloneye wrote:I dont think we will see a Special Tropical Disturbance Statement as it's in the middle of the Atlantic not affecting anyone.They will go and issue the first advisory at 5 again if it comes as storm2k does not jump ahead to be in the safe side. :)


I still don't understand why don't you change the title of thread to 06L.NONAME.


The same reason the Weather Channel doesn't tell you about it until the NHC says it - the public would get confused.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Trugunzn
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 549
Joined: Tue Apr 11, 2006 6:59 pm

#392 Postby Trugunzn » Sun Sep 03, 2006 2:27 pm

Image
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
SouthFloridawx
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8346
Age: 46
Joined: Tue Jul 26, 2005 1:16 am
Location: Sarasota, FL
Contact:
Contact SouthFloridawx

#393 Postby SouthFloridawx » Sun Sep 03, 2006 2:27 pm

Does anyone know a site where we can search the best track of any storms that formed nearby to see what thier track was?
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
WindRunner
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5806
Age: 34
Joined: Fri Jul 29, 2005 8:07 pm
Location: Warrenton, VA, but Albany, NY for school
Contact:
Contact WindRunner

#394 Postby WindRunner » Sun Sep 03, 2006 2:30 pm

SouthFloridawx wrote:Does anyone know a site where we can search the best track of any storms that formed nearby to see what thier track was?


http://hurricane.csc.noaa.gov/hurricanes/index.htm
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Nimbus
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5350
Joined: Mon Jul 19, 2004 10:54 am

#395 Postby Nimbus » Sun Sep 03, 2006 2:30 pm

Anyone notice that Cirrus boundary up around 23N 45W? Maybe the west trend in the models is a result of them seeing a thin ridge developing between the sinking trough and TD6?

This storm is really too close to call at this point, but you have to accept new data in you forecast as it becomes available.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Thunder44
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5922
Age: 44
Joined: Mon Jun 09, 2003 7:53 pm
Location: New York City

#396 Postby Thunder44 » Sun Sep 03, 2006 2:30 pm

WindRunner wrote:
Thunder44 wrote:
cycloneye wrote:I dont think we will see a Special Tropical Disturbance Statement as it's in the middle of the Atlantic not affecting anyone.They will go and issue the first advisory at 5 again if it comes as storm2k does not jump ahead to be in the safe side. :)


I still don't understand why don't you change the title of thread to 06L.NONAME.


The same reason the Weather Channel doesn't tell you about it until the NHC says it - the public would get confused.


TWC never talks about what shows up the NRL site. We do here. So it's best to reflect what's on the NRL site. And I see its been changed.
Last edited by Thunder44 on Sun Sep 03, 2006 2:31 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Bgator
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 649
Joined: Mon Sep 05, 2005 12:29 pm
Location: Orlando, FL

#397 Postby Bgator » Sun Sep 03, 2006 2:30 pm

SouthFloridawx wrote:Does anyone know a site where we can search the best track of any storms that formed nearby to see what thier track was?


When this thing is officially given a name wunderground has a tool hat lets you see nearby storms...
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
fci
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3324
Joined: Tue Sep 14, 2004 10:29 am
Location: Lake Worth, FL

#398 Postby fci » Sun Sep 03, 2006 2:31 pm

SouthFloridawx wrote:Does anyone know a site where we can search the best track of any storms that formed nearby to see what thier track was?


I would think that accomapnying the first advisory on TD #6 will be the historical tracks map. I think they do it for TD's.. not sure.

Do believe that both Andrew and Frances were near where this one is starting. Probably (hopefully ) a lot more storms that curved out also started here.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 146154
Age: 69
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#399 Postby cycloneye » Sun Sep 03, 2006 2:31 pm

WindRunner wrote:
Rbaida wrote:Is there a shot of this getting close to the bahamas?



Without getting too far off topic, what's with the new user name?


No more from that one.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
User avatar
mike815
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1460
Joined: Fri Jul 22, 2005 8:21 am
Location: palm bay fl

#400 Postby mike815 » Sun Sep 03, 2006 2:32 pm

WOW i guess someone finially changed it thank u. it was pretty obvious
0 likes   
Top
Locked

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 43 guests