My thoughts on Flo-Jo

[Josephine96]

and yes I'm gonna call her Flo Jo in memory of Florence Griffith Joyner

I personally think she will gradually intensify and be a Cat 2 hurricane maybe even Cat 3 by the end of the week.

She may become a Cat 3 if the environment in front of her allows for rapid intensification by a few days from now..

{not a forecast, just some thoughts}

The above post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

[cycloneye]

John,I added the storm2k disclaimer.

[Josephine96]

Thank you Luis... sorry about that.. Hope that's not my 1st strike.. I didn't think I needed 1.. but thank you.. Good job looking out for me..

[JtSmarts]

I have the same thoughts as you on Future Florence. When I was talking to my brother about the future track I also calling it Flo-Jo Lol.

[Josephine96]

The above post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

EXPERIMENTAL HURRICANE FORECAST
TROPICAL DEPRESSION #6
1115 PM SUN SEPT 3RD 2006

The Tropical Atlantic is bubbling again tonight with the formation of our 6th tropical depression.

#6 formed earlier today and is centered currently well east of the Islands and is forecast to actually go north of them. If ya extrapolate it's current position.. you'd have a fish.. but it's expected to turn westward by around day 4,5 or even 6 of the period. This is in response to the high to it's north.

#6 has started to become convectively sound, but seems to be having some slight issues getting together due to shear, a wave in it's same general area, a trough to it's north. These factors are expected to potentially relax/lift out within days.

Most models have #6 becoming Florence {Flo Jo I'll call her} and becoming a hurricane. I also believe the potential is their for a hurricane. How strong is the question? If it has the right environment, it may ramp up quickly in the warm waters of the Atlantic.

Here is my projected forecast on #6/Flo Jo
Tonight: Organizing slowly. Staying a TD. Max winds: 35 mph
Monday: Still NW or WNW, max winds: 45 mph
Tuesday: Starting to intensify.. possibly ever so slightly starting to feel the effects of the high. Max winds: 65 mph
Wednesday: Strong tropical storm. Watch closely Islands, but should stay north. Max winds: 70 mph
Thursday: Still strengthening. 2nd hurricane of the season. Max winds: 85 mph

Track and intensity forecasts, subject to errors some by 100's of miles.