Tropical Wave East of Lesser Antilles (Ex 98L)

[Zardoz]

...Apparently 98L is still alive...

...and it appears to be strengthening at the moment:

http://hadar.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... at2_0.html

[Hyperstorm]

I agree with Sanibel.

98L is showing signs of own life tonight. You can definitely see its own circulation with inflow and thunderstorms hinting at rotating around it. What's interesting is that I'm seeing deep reds developing over the broad low level center of 98L as I type, but have yet to see those on our tropical depression center!

While I don't want to speculate more than I have to, this makes me wonder if our depression is just a transient feature and the real player is further southwest.

I'll be waiting for the reds on the cyclone...

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

I agree...tropical depression is in fact a real cyclone. But expect it to be picked up by the trough centered near 20/45-55 west. This system should turn out as a fish if no ridge builds to block it. I think its already a tropical storm.

98L has a nice cirulaiton with convection starting to develop. I expect the ridge to build to its north. So a westward or west-northwest track looks likely. This system should be the system we have to watch.

After this is the cape verde system.

[HurricaneMaster_PR]

Look at this people! The NHC once again names this as a Low moving westward...They will talk more about that on their 205am discussion

[Zardoz]

Is it my imagination or can you see Ex98L moving away from TD6 in this loop? :

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-ir2.html

It appears to be moving pretty much due west.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Thats the way I see it.

[ROCK]

As do I Matt. I have been watching x98 all day and it continues to have a vigorous LLC with pulses of convection through- out the day. It just needs some more separation from 6. If it convection maintains tonight, I would expect another invest up for this system as it moves west as early as tomorrow afternoon or sooner.

[caribepr]

Luis, thanks for the update! I've got my place and the two places I'm housesitting along with pets that aren't mine to keep track of and the cart - if it starts looking weird - so your view of things helps a lot. I'd like to order garden refreshing rains please, and rainbows on the side

[abajan]

Is x98L the system near 46W that the latest TWD says was dropped yesterday morning but now has a 1007mb LOW?

[Thunder44]

This system still has managed to maintain some idenity overnight and this morning. I think outflow from TD 6 will still be creating some shear over it until it moves further west, but TD 6 doesn't seem to be developing further too fast, so it may have some more room to develop in a few days.

[cycloneye]

A 1007 MB ATLANTIC OCEAN LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS NEAR 13N47W
MOVING WEST 10 KT. CONVECTIVE DEBRIS CLOUDS...WARMING CLOUD
TOP TEMPERATURES...WEAKENING BUT LINGERING SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS FROM 10N TO 14N BETWEEN 45W AND 50W.

8 AM Discussion.

[Nimbus]

The convection is picking up on the south side already. You would think an open wave would have been more likely, but the shear over 90l has kept that center from organizing.

So what will the call this center 91L?

[ROCK]

The convection is picking up on the south side already. You would think an open wave would have been more likely, but the shear over 90l has kept that center from organizing.

So what will the call this center 91L?

if it became a invest today it would be 91L. Needs more separation and convection to fire today to see of it can hold its own.....

[Hyperstorm]

It was true. Deep reds never re-developed in TD#6. 98L has lost most convection as well.

There must be something drying up these large and broad features in the Atlantic. Peak of the season is approaching and this is something you would not expect.

It looks like no tropical storm today...

[skysummit]

It was true. Deep reds never re-developed in TD#6. 98L has lost most convection as well.

There must be something drying up these large and broad features in the Atlantic. Peak of the season is approaching and this is something you would not expect.

It looks like no tropical storm today...

NEVER redeveloped? So what...you're saying it's over? Freakin' hilarious...

[Hyperstorm]

Look at the Enhanced IR loop.

Deep reds never developed last night over the center. Usually you'll see that as part of the nocturnal maxima...meaning dry air has to be a factor.

This is signs of a system that is not organizing. If anything, the system looks weaker than yesterday afternoon.

If it's going to strengthen significantly, it will have to move out of the marginally favorable (at best) regime it's embedded in...

[skysummit]

Look at the Enhanced IR loop.

Deep reds never developed last night over the center. Usually you'll see that as part of the nocturnal maxima...meaning dry air has to be a factor.

This is signs of a system that is not organizing. If anything, the system looks weaker than yesterday afternoon.

If it's going to strengthen significantly, it will have to move out of the marginally favorable (at best) regime it's embedded in...

Ooops...sorry Hyper. I made a big mistake. I thought this was posted in the TD6 thread. I thoroughly appologize.