Remnents of Typhoon Ioke

Ptarmigan · #21 Postby **Ptarmigan** » Sun Sep 03, 2006 10:56 pm

wxmann_91 wrote:Not just Winnie, but many WPAC STY's go thru an ERC and go from small pinhole to huge collossal eye (other recent examples - Paka 1997, Chaba 2004, Dianmu 2004 to an extent, Longwang [don't laugh!] 2005, Songda 2004, etc. We might see one last intensification phase out of Ioke as the outflow gets enhanced by the trough to the north.

BTW, this really isn't an ERC, but dry air entrainment. Okay, sorry my thoughts don't flow, but what I meant is that WPAC typhoons get this look many times.

Ioke was really the classic WPAC STY, in a relatively unfavorable location for one. And now another system seems to be forming to the southeast near the Date Line, and it has good model support. Sorry to get OT, but if that's not a sign of El Nino, I'm not sure what is.

I wonder if any Atlantic hurricanes go from pinhole eye to large eye after the ERC? I know Wilma did that.

Jim Cantore · #22 Postby **Jim Cantore** » Sun Sep 03, 2006 10:58 pm

WindRunner wrote:First off, Welcome to S2K! Glad you're enjoying it!

And second - good . . . I was hoping you knew it was fake, because I am tired of hearing about it. Now back to Ioke . . .

Starting to really take on an ET look . . .

Would you please link me to the site that pic came from, I can't find the link.

wxmann_91 · #23 Postby **wxmann_91** » Sun Sep 03, 2006 10:59 pm

Hurricane Floyd,
http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html

Coredesat · #24 Postby **Coredesat** » Mon Sep 04, 2006 12:30 am

NWS Anchorage says Ioke could become a significant extratropical storm:

MODEL UNCERTAINTY EXISTS WITH NEXT STORM TO IMPACT THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN
WED/THU. THE GFS IS BY FAR THE FASTEST OF SOLUTIONS WHERE ECMWF IS
MUCH SLOWER BEYOND WED NIGHT (07/12Z). PRESSURES APPEAR TO BE WITHIN
THE BALLPARK. SINCE THIS SYSTEM HAS TROPICAL ORIGINS...AM FAIRLY
CONFIDENT THIS WILL BE A SIGNIFICANT STORM...BUT POSITIONING WILL
CONTINUE TO BE A PROBLEM. FOR NOW WILL NUDGE WINDS UP IN EXTENDED
FORECAST PERIODS AND WATCH SYSTEM AS IT EVOLVES.

Jim Cantore · #25 Postby **Jim Cantore** » Mon Sep 04, 2006 12:49 am

wxmann_91 wrote:Hurricane Floyd,
http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html

Thanks, now to boost the collection :wink:

mtm4319 · #26 Postby **mtm4319** » Mon Sep 04, 2006 2:19 am

Umm... can we get a floater shift here? ...anyone?

https://www.youtube.com/user/senorpepr · #27 Postby **senorpepr** » Mon Sep 04, 2006 2:24 am

mtm4319 wrote:Umm... can we get a floater shift here? ...anyone?

Well, floater adjustments are VERY low priority--especially since this storm is out of NHC/CPHC's AOR.

mtm4319 · #28 Postby **mtm4319** » Mon Sep 04, 2006 3:03 am

ACE is estimated at 80.4525 as of advisory #61.

ArizonaBay · #29 Postby **ArizonaBay** » Mon Sep 04, 2006 3:40 am

Anyone ever hear about damage to Wake Island? So sad it's not significant enough to be worried about on the major news stations/websites.

ArizonaBay · #30 Postby **ArizonaBay** » Mon Sep 04, 2006 4:00 am

Also, just some interesting info...

THIS MATERIAL EVENT CONTAINS A "CATEGORY 3" LEVEL OF RADIOACTIVE MATERIAL

The licensee reported a loss of a 10 Ci [based on source decay starting December of 2005] IR-192 radiography camera on Wake Island.

http://www.nrc.gov/reading-rm/doc-colle ... nt/en.html

One more lovely item to add to our oceans

Coredesat · #31 Postby **Coredesat** » Mon Sep 04, 2006 4:23 am

They're going out later today to survey the island.

Interestingly, that report spelled Ioke's name wrong. They spelled it "Hurricane Yoke".

#32 Postby **Aslkahuna** » Mon Sep 04, 2006 4:27 am

Not only is Ioke out of NHC's AOR, it's also now out of range of any GOES satellite. The bird is now GMS-6

Steve

#33 Postby **P.K.** » Mon Sep 04, 2006 4:41 am

Nice image here of how far Ioke has travelled from the World Meteorological Organisation.

RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 0612 IOKE (0612)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 040600UTC 29.7N 149.0E GOOD
MOVE NW 14KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
50KT 160NM NORTHEAST 120NM SOUTHWEST
30KT 325NM NORTHEAST 250NM SOUTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 050600UTC 35.1N 146.6E 90NM 70%
MOVE NNW 14KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
48HF 060600UTC 45.9N 153.6E 160NM 70%
MOVE NNE 30KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
72HF 070600UTC 54.2N 170.9E 290NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW

r_u_stuck2 · #34 Postby **r_u_stuck2** » Mon Sep 04, 2006 7:41 am

ArizonaBay wrote:Also, just some interesting info...

THIS MATERIAL EVENT CONTAINS A "CATEGORY 3" LEVEL OF RADIOACTIVE MATERIAL

The licensee reported a loss of a 10 Ci [based on source decay starting December of 2005] IR-192 radiography camera on Wake Island.

Since the half life is 73 days for IR-192, this will be of an insignificant value in a relatively short period of time (compared to something like Cesium)

karenfromheaven · #35 Postby **karenfromheaven** » Mon Sep 04, 2006 10:52 am

She's still a beauty:

WindRunner · #36 Postby **WindRunner** » Mon Sep 04, 2006 12:10 pm

Down to 75kt, 960hPa.
NRL/JTWC are at 65kts/927mb, if you can believe that :lol:

RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 0612 IOKE (0612)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 041500UTC 31.6N 147.7E GOOD
MOVE NNW 15KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
50KT 160NM NORTHEAST 100NM SOUTHWEST
30KT 300NM NORTHEAST 240NM SOUTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 051500UTC 38.2N 148.0E 90NM 70%
MOVE N 22KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
45HF 061200UTC 45.9N 153.6E 160NM 70%
MOVE NNE 26KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
69HF 071200UTC 54.2N 170.9E 290NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW

#37 Postby **Bailey1777** » Mon Sep 04, 2006 2:50 pm

Does anybody have a nice satellite shot of Ioke at her strongest?

Thanks,
Darren

Thunder44 · #38 Postby **Thunder44** » Mon Sep 04, 2006 3:12 pm

Here's a report on a first assesment of oil rigs on the island.

http://www.kpua.net/news.php?id=9252

superfly · #39 Postby **superfly** » Mon Sep 04, 2006 3:17 pm

This looks very much extratropical now.

Coredesat · #40 Postby **Coredesat** » Mon Sep 04, 2006 3:25 pm

Well, it doesn't look extratropical (it's still warm-core and it doesn't have a frontal feature). It looks more like Ioke's becoming a remnant low.

Remnents of Typhoon Ioke

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