Area in S. FL/Bahamas

#21 Postby **fci** » Mon Sep 04, 2006 6:48 pm

There is some MAJOR convection in the Straits.

#22 Postby **Starburst** » Mon Sep 04, 2006 6:54 pm

Lots of convection through that region it looks like a home grown starting to sprout.

#23 Postby **Robjohn53** » Mon Sep 04, 2006 7:21 pm

Not to sure about home grown but it's deffinatley a rain makes for sure...

caneman · #24 Postby **caneman** » Mon Sep 04, 2006 7:45 pm

We're getting pounded with rain tonight

Nimbus · #25 Postby **Nimbus** » Mon Sep 04, 2006 7:50 pm

The surface pressures in the keys are up around 29.97 but looking at the radar there does seem to be a mid/upper level circulation centered over the keys.

Some pretty good sized boomers are rolling west across the Tampa bay area currently. Could be a Home brew storm if this works its way down through all the layers to the surface.

jusforsean · #26 Postby **jusforsean** » Mon Sep 04, 2006 7:53 pm

o.k. i am confused i know what a home grown storm is but this is something thats basiclly over us or just off our coast so if it "developed" where would it go if its already here?

Nimbus · #27 Postby **Nimbus** » Mon Sep 04, 2006 7:59 pm

Well if it is truly centered over the keys it may roll out into the GOM.

rolltide · #28 Postby **rolltide** » Mon Sep 04, 2006 8:03 pm

Nimbus wrote:The surface pressures in the keys are up around 29.97 but looking at the radar there does seem to be a mid/upper level circulation centered over the keys.

I agree. Check out the key west radar and you can see a circulation. Something to watch I guess.

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid= ... 1&loop=yes

#29 Postby **Noah** » Mon Sep 04, 2006 8:06 pm

Was pounded by rain here is sarasota for an hour..winds were 25..your normal afternoon boomer I guess, but this seemed real nasty.

#30 Postby **SouthFloridawx** » Mon Sep 04, 2006 8:07 pm

I'm seeing a mid-level spin here but it's so far away from the radar that it's hard to tell if it is really spinning.

Normandy · #31 Postby **Normandy** » Mon Sep 04, 2006 8:09 pm

^^ Def no spin there.
If there is *any* spin its over the keys, but even then I still see nothing to see here.

#32 Postby **SouthFloridawx** » Mon Sep 04, 2006 8:16 pm

Normandy wrote:^^ Def no spin there.
If there is *any* spin its over the keys, but even then I still see nothing to see here.

I'm sorry but, if there is a mid level ciculation it's going to be under the strongest firing storms. I see no evidence of a circulation in the keys or any convection to speak of right now.

IF, IF , IF ... there is a mid level circulation it would definitely be under the convection.

Normandy · #33 Postby **Normandy** » Mon Sep 04, 2006 8:23 pm

^^ I understand, but there is no hint whatsoever of a MLC where u are circling, and as of right now IF there is rotation, it seems like the MOST rotation (if any) is over the keys

#34 Postby **SouthFloridawx** » Mon Sep 04, 2006 8:36 pm

Normandy wrote:^^ I understand, but there is no hint whatsoever of a MLC where u are circling, and as of right now IF there is rotation, it seems like the MOST rotation (if any) is over the keys

I think you looking at the surface features that are much closer to the radar site. The area I am looking at... the radar beam is sent higher into clouds. The area I am mentioning does have a spin to it. This sometimes occurs with convective bursts. There may be a slight surface circulation where you are mentioning but, there is no convection so it is hard to tell.

Normandy · #35 Postby **Normandy** » Mon Sep 04, 2006 8:38 pm

I still don't see a spin in the area you are looking at. Perhaps itll show later

#36 Postby **SouthFloridawx** » Mon Sep 04, 2006 8:39 pm

Normandy wrote:I still don't see a spin in the area you are looking at. Perhaps itll show later

Ok fine... we'll agree to disagree?

#37 Postby **SouthFloridawx** » Mon Sep 04, 2006 8:39 pm

Ok check the long range miami radar site.

#38 Postby **tgenius** » Mon Sep 04, 2006 8:41 pm

Isn't this the convection heading towards South FL? By my estimates, it should be over Miami within the next hour or 2.

Normandy · #39 Postby **Normandy** » Mon Sep 04, 2006 8:44 pm

SouthFloridawx wrote:Ok check the long range miami radar site.

I think I see what you are seeing....but my opinion is that its the radar playing tricks due to building/dying convection

johngaltfla · #40 Postby **johngaltfla** » Mon Sep 04, 2006 8:51 pm

tailgater wrote:
johngaltfla wrote:Local mets mentioned it to. The VORTEX forecasting radar/modeling software indicated potential development by Tuesday...
.

Where can I find that site

Geaux Tigers

Ugh. It was on our Channel 7, the ABC affiliate here in Florida. Let me see if I can find you a link to their 11 pm forecast. After the game. :wink:

Area in S. FL/Bahamas

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