Remnents of Typhoon Ioke

[JonathanBelles]

its in alaska already???

[WindRunner]

No, the map says "Thursday" because that's when that map is for. It's currently approaching the Russian Aluetians, however.

[mtm4319]

Final warning.

The final ACE estimate is around 82.9.

[wxmann_91]

The ACE for Ioke is 82.9. In contrast, the annual median index for the entire Atlantic season in the years 1950-2000 is 87.5.

There have been 23 entire Atlantic Seasons, most recently 2002, and seven entire East Pacific Seasons, most recently 2004, that did not have as much ACE as this one storm alone.

A LOT of potential energy in the tropics has been used up by this storm.

Source for ACE info after first sentence: Wikipedia.

[WindRunner]

JMA still has it tropical. Currently 55kt/980hPa and moving at 45kts . . . pretty good clip. Should be ET at any time now.

RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 0612 IOKE (0612)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 060900UTC 46.5N 159.2E FAIR
MOVE NE 45KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
50KT 160NM SOUTHEAST 90NM NORTHWEST
30KT 350NM SOUTHEAST 250NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 070900UTC 55.5N 178.5W 150NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW

[Pebbles]

The ACE for Ioke is 82.9. In contrast, the annual median index for the entire Atlantic season in the years 1950-2000 is 87.5.

There have been 23 entire Atlantic Seasons, most recently 2002, and seven entire East Pacific Seasons, most recently 2004, that did not have as much ACE as this one storm alone.

A LOT of potential energy in the tropics has been used up by this storm.

Source for ACE info after first sentence: Wikipedia.

That's interesting... maybe a comparison of central/western pacific ACE numbers might be in order. I don't know if that is available though since it looks like ACE was meant for atlantic system comparisons? I'm newer at watching pacific tropics so don't know much in that arena.

Edit (forgot the last sentence)... Would think a central/western pacific comparison would be more in order since it is my understanding western pacific storms tend to last longer.

[P.K.]

RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 0612 IOKE (0612)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 062100UTC 52.1N 169.7E FAIR
MOVE NE 50KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
50KT 150NM SOUTHEAST 100NM NORTHWEST
30KT 350NM SOUTHEAST 250NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 072100UTC 59.4N 166.1W 150NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW

[WindRunner]

JMA mentions a 988hPa low that it appears will be abosorbed into Ioke here shortly, so assuming it keeps up at this heading, then most likely Ioke does not have much time left tropically.

WWJP25 RJTD 061800
WARNING AND SUMMARY 061800.
WARNING VALID 071800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
WARNING.
DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK.
WARNING.
DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 44N 146E 51N 157E
60N 163E 60N 180E 40N 180E 40N 163E 44N 146E.
SUMMARY.
LOW 988 HPA AT 61N 178W EAST 30 KT.
LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 17N 166E ALMOST STATIONARY.
HIGH 1012 HPA AT 35N 122E EAST 15 KT.
HIGH 1018 HPA AT 42N 152E ENE 15 KT.
HIGH 1022 HPA AT 42N 180E ESE 15 KT.
WARM FRONT FROM 61N 178W TO 60N 173W 59N 170W.
COLD FRONT FROM 61N 178W TO 60N 180E 58N 176E 56N 172E.
STATIONARY FRONT FROM 56N 172E TO 55N 168E 52N 165E.
COLD FRONT FROM 47N 168E TO 43N 166E 39N 162E.
STATIONARY FRONT FROM 26N 124E TO 27N 130E 33N 134E 34N 139E 38N 143E
37N 145E.
REMARKS.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0612 IOKE (0612) 980 HPA AT 49.7N 166.4E : SEE
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

[WindRunner]

(in best NASA voice) We have transition . . .

RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME DEVELOPING LOW FORMER STS 0612 IOKE (0612)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 070000UTC 54N 170E
MOVE NE 45KT
PRES 976HPA
MXWD 055KT
30KT 350NM SOUTHEAST 250NM NORTHWEST

Note the pressure drop already . . . it's finally ET, after 429 hours of tropical status from TD1-C at 03Z 08/20. Quite an impressive life, and I don't think this'll be the last we see of Ioke, as she should have some "fun" in Alaska.

[JonathanBelles]

will the HPC take over? i still wanna track this.

[WindRunner]

No, the HPC won't issue advisories as this isn't tropical and isn't handed off from the NHC. JMA will keep updating the position in the general bulletins (like the one 3 posts up) until it crosses back over the dateline. Hopefully by that point the OPC/HPC will have it on their surface analyses and you can estimate the coords from there. There is also a possibility that somebody in NOAA puts out a text product similar to what the JMA does - I'll take a look for something like that tomorrow.

[senorpepr]

[Ptarmigan]

Final warning.

The final ACE estimate is around 82.9.

That has to be one of the highest ACE in a hurricane. That's even higher than an entire season!

[LAwxrgal]

She's had an....interesting... life, to say the least. Definitely was one for the books.

[P.K.]

There is also a possibility that somebody in NOAA puts out a text product similar to what the JMA does - I'll take a look for something like that tomorrow.

All oceans are monitored by someone. The NOAA products can all be found at http://www.nws.noaa.gov/om/marine/zone/hsmz.htm. It isn't unusual to see slight differences in analyses between charts though, the JMA have it at 974hPa at the moment but the NOAA have mentioned it as it is just off their area and say it is 965hPa.

Edit - That page is actually a little odd. The JMA cover up to 180E/W, and New Zealand cover south of the equator up to 120W.

[Jim Cantore]

Does anyone have a satelitte image of his remnents? yes I'm collecting that now lol.

[Siberian Express]

Does anyone have a satelitte image of his remnents? yes I'm collecting that now lol.

You should be able to track her her.

http://pafg.arh.noaa.gov/poes.php

[Jim Cantore]

Cool thanks

[pojo]

This will be fun to watch the remnants affect AL and possibly move into Canada... We'll have to watch the models to see if the Low drops down into the states at some point.

[Coredesat]

It's still going, but interestingly, it's not baroclinic (from NWS Anchorage):

MAJOR STORM SYSTEM OUT WEST...REMNANTS OF TYPHOON IOKE HAVE BECOME A
DEEP 970 MB LOW IN THE BERING WITH NEAR HURRICANE FORCE WINDS.
ALTHOUGH THIS IS TECHNICALLY AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM IT HAS LITTLE
UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT AND IS ALREADY BAROTROPIC IN NATURE. THIS MEANS
THAT ONCE IT MOVES ONSHORE IT SHOULD WEAKEN RATHER RAPIDLY. STILL
THIS STORM PACKS A PRETTY GOOD PUNCH...WITH THE WINDS AND THE STORMS
SURGE COASTAL FLOOD WARNINGS ARE IN PLACE FOR THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND
BRISTOL BAY. ELSEWHERE THE WINDS HAVE DECREASED SLIGHTLY SINCE THIS
MORNING...HIGH WIND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER A CONCERN BUT ALL THE
ALEUTIAN ZONES WILL HAVE STRONG WINDS CONTINUING THROUGH TONIGHT AND
A FEW OF THE MARINE ZONES WILL KEEP STORM WARNINGS IN FOR TONIGHT.
IN THE EAST CONDITIONS WILL GRADUALLY DETERIORATE AS THE FIRST OF THE
FRONTAL BANDS PROGRESS THROUGH THE AREA. STRONG SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW
WILL CAUSE CHANNELING...ESPECIALLY THROUGH THE TURNAGAIN ARM WHERE
STRONG WIND HEADLINES ARE EXPECTED AS USUAL. DOWNSLOPING WILL PREVENT
SIGNIFICANT RAIN FROM REACH THE ANCHORAGE BOWL AND MATANUSKA VALLEY
BUT THE EASTERN SIDE OF THE ALASKA RANGE CAN EXPECT TO SEE A FAIR BIT
OF RAIN THIS EVENING AND TOMORROW. AS THIS LOW CROSSES THE AKPEN IT
WILL WEAKEN SIGNIFICANTLY.