What are your local Mets saying about Florence..............

[BUD]

Ours is saying need to watch it and the models mean nothing right now.

[Regit]

Ours is saying need to watch it and the models mean nothing right now.

Geez, which one did you watch? I'm in the same media market. Last night, WPDE said that things look good for now and to keep an eye on it, but likely not coming close enough to bother us. His quote was close to "the models have a good grip on this storm." Last I saw from WBTW was the same.

[Windsong]

Tom Terry just said that the new flare up that recon is investigating could throw a monkey wrench into the current forecasted track of Florence, but that she would not be an issue for FL.

Seabreeze

[breamer]

Local quasi-met says it will quote 'peter out' before it hits Nova Scotia (we are above it on a map). But we will get a good dose of wind and rain.
For us that would be 90kmh winds and 50-75mm of rain

The waters off Nova Scotia are currently 19c (68f?)

[pgoss11]

Mets here say (SNE) it's a long way off, but it looks to be well offshore the middle of next week

[CrazyC83]

Local quasi-met says it will quote 'peter out' before it hits Nova Scotia (we are above it on a map). But we will get a good dose of wind and rain.
For us that would be 90kmh winds and 50-75mm of rain

The waters off Nova Scotia are currently 19c (68f?)

19C = 66F

They increase sharply as you head out to sea though. Even at 40N latitude, they are above 26C (79F), warmer than they were when Juan hit. The big difference versus Juan would be this would be coming it an an angle, not head on, so the strongest winds (at least for NS) would be offshore.

[breamer]

But I see a pretty close pattern vis-a-vis bee line north that flo is expected to follow (5 days out anyway) which looks very similiar to Juan.

So could that not be classified as head on?

Even the longitude looks the same, or are they expecting a NE turn after the N turn?

Thanks

[CrazyC83]

But I see a pretty close pattern vis-a-vis bee line north that flo is expected to follow (5 days out anyway) which looks very similiar to Juan.

So could that not be classified as head on?

Even the longitude looks the same, or are they expecting a NE turn after the N turn?

Thanks

NE after N I would suspect. I was also suspecting a brush of Nova Scotia before a direct hit of SE Newfoundland. (Juan came from almost due south)

[Tstormwatcher]

Ours are saying that things are looking better as it should curve out to sea, just like what the models are saying.