how far west does Flo Jo go b4 the turn?

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
Thatsmrhurricane
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 182
Joined: Fri Jun 09, 2006 5:30 pm
Location: CBNC

#21 Postby Thatsmrhurricane » Thu Sep 07, 2006 6:18 pm

Thanks . . . for the link. The model is a little off. The front is further out to sea than the GFS predicted. The surface plot shows weakness in the extreme SE and H over NC & VA. That other short wave is up near Canada still as of today. This could mean a turn more away from the EC around 60W unless the high builds in more than expected and the front does not make it to the coast in time and the current one ummm . . . . it is September to have such deep S intruding fronts. Of course I did not sleep at a Holiday Inn last night.
0 likes   

User avatar
wxwatcher91
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1606
Joined: Wed Jul 06, 2005 2:43 pm
Location: Keene, NH
Contact:

#22 Postby wxwatcher91 » Thu Sep 07, 2006 7:27 pm

If Florence continues to hold at the current intensity for some more time and if her observed track drops below 300 degrees at some point, then I would give it a SLIGHT chance of staying south of the latest front and then being forced south by the ridge of high pressure forecasted to form later this weekend off the East Coast. That's like a 1% chance...

Sorry, a bit off topic, what do you think the chances are of Florence being the next storm of 2006 to be forecasted as a major hurricane, yet not even achieve hurricane intensity?
0 likes   

Thatsmrhurricane
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 182
Joined: Fri Jun 09, 2006 5:30 pm
Location: CBNC

#23 Postby Thatsmrhurricane » Thu Sep 07, 2006 8:39 pm

Sorry, a bit off topic, what do you think the chances are of Florence being the next storm of 2006 to be forecasted as a major hurricane, yet not even achieve hurricane intensity?


Fitting.
0 likes   

User avatar
deltadog03
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 3580
Joined: Tue Jul 05, 2005 6:16 pm
Location: Macon, GA

#24 Postby deltadog03 » Thu Sep 07, 2006 8:53 pm

im saying it gets to 69.4W before it recurves
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: JtSmarts, Ulf and 41 guests