Not over Yet

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Weatherfreak14
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Not over Yet

#1 Postby Weatherfreak14 » Fri Sep 08, 2006 6:26 am

It looks from the Sat we have more waves to watch, one in africia and another about to make it to africia if you look at the far right corner.

Image

And the models 132hr out shows more waves and devolopment off the coast of africia. I looks more active up the road a bit to me.


Image

Image
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#2 Postby otowntiger » Fri Sep 08, 2006 7:09 am

Wow. Just wow. You know it is a very slow season when we have to look at a cloud mass that is hundreds of miles inland on the African continent that there is absolutely no guarantee that it will even make it off the coast intact. I know that is where they originate, but how many of these "systems" have we seen over the years look promising only to fizzle as or before they exit the coast? But the real kicker here and this is a first (for me) is we're looking at a storm that is in the INDIAN Ocean on the OTHER side of the African continent for potential development. Now, I've seen it all! :lol:
:roflmao:
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#3 Postby marcane_1973 » Fri Sep 08, 2006 2:49 pm

There have been some awesome looking waves come off the coast of Africa this year but the problem is very simple. There are only small pockets of favorable conditions out there and it is not changing anytime soon it seems. In a normal Hurricane season in September The Eastern Atlantic will be favorable most times all the way to the Caribbean and sometimes beyond there as well. It is looking more and more it is not going to happen with all the ULLs and shear around. Ohhh.... and lets not forget all the dry air that has been out there this season. A lot of people on here seem to think it is not a factor. IT IS......2006 is a wonderful example of that.
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#4 Postby Grease Monkey » Fri Sep 08, 2006 3:47 pm

It's over. Time to face reality. We'll just have to wait and see what 2007 will bring. Lets start predicting when the first storm will form in 2007.
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#5 Postby alan1961 » Fri Sep 08, 2006 3:53 pm

You can forget those waves this year because the atlantic is all over the place this season..Florence has been battling very hard to keep her identity and it looks like she's finally winning the battle after almost a week of everything the atlantic has thrown at her..unless the conditions out their start to be a lot more conducive for storm development in the latter part of the season its bye bye 2006! :darrow:
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#6 Postby NCHurricane » Fri Sep 08, 2006 3:54 pm

Grease Monkey wrote:It's over. Time to face reality. We'll just have to wait and see what 2007 will bring. Lets start predicting when the first storm will form in 2007.


Subtropical. May 23. 1100AM AST advisory.

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#7 Postby alan1961 » Fri Sep 08, 2006 4:01 pm

NCHurricane wrote:
Grease Monkey wrote:It's over. Time to face reality. We'll just have to wait and see what 2007 will bring. Lets start predicting when the first storm will form in 2007.


totally agree grease monkey :wink:

Subtropical. May 23. 1100AM AST advisory.

Chuck Copeland
http://www.nchurricane.com
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#8 Postby journey » Fri Sep 08, 2006 4:37 pm

So are we beginning the bi-weekly season cancel posts again? :)

I love the dynamics of this board. Youve got one group of people who think everything will form and the other who is calling for a season cancel on June 2nd and every other day after. Im not saying anyone in this thread has done that, I've just noticed that reading the posts on here in other threads.
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#9 Postby the_winds_that_sheared_me » Fri Sep 08, 2006 6:18 pm

Grease Monkey wrote:It's over. Time to face reality. We'll just have to wait and see what 2007 will bring. Lets start predicting when the first storm will form in 2007.


Nope Not even the GFS 348 model (above) can spark my interest. Theres nothing here, time to move on to bigger and better things than the atlantik 2006.

So!! With the El Nino looming, how bad will the southeast get hit with severe weather this winter amd will it (El Nino) affect the hurricane season 2007 as well? Bring on 2008 cane season :roll:
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#10 Postby Cryomaniac » Fri Sep 08, 2006 8:38 pm

journey wrote:So are we beginning the bi-weekly season cancel posts again? :)

I love the dynamics of this board. Youve got one group of people who think everything will form and the other who is calling for a season cancel on June 2nd and every other day after. Im not saying anyone in this thread has done that, I've just noticed that reading the posts on here in other threads.


Thats how people are though, this board is bizarre, in mostly a good way.
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#11 Postby Jim Cantore » Fri Sep 08, 2006 8:40 pm

No, they won't develop, this season is dead, season cancel, everything will be sheered or get killed by SAL, season cancel. :roll: :lol:

This is the time, We've had some scary long track cape verde storms this time of year, Hugo and Ivan to name two.
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#12 Postby Stormcenter » Fri Sep 08, 2006 9:13 pm

By the time they make to our side of the world it will be Christmas. :)
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#13 Postby sponger » Fri Sep 08, 2006 11:51 pm

Definately a hostile season. But we have alot of Sept and all of October to deal with. We should be jumping for joy after the last few years. Flo is huge and just becaouse a fish, she still deserves some respect.
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#14 Postby caribepr » Sat Sep 09, 2006 6:25 am

sponger wrote:Definately a hostile season. But we have alot of Sept and all of October to deal with. We should be jumping for joy after the last few years. Flo is huge and just becaouse a fish, she still deserves some respect.


Yes...there is much to be thankful for but....Flo a Fish?? She is set to be a practically dead on hit on Bermuda... :roll:
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#15 Postby fci » Sat Sep 09, 2006 9:27 am

Maybe we need a new word to describe storms that do not strike the Continental US.?
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#16 Postby TampaSteve » Sat Sep 09, 2006 3:41 pm

fci wrote:Maybe we need a new word to describe storms that do not strike the Continental US.?


Tropicycnohitus??? :D
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#17 Postby jusforsean » Sat Sep 09, 2006 4:22 pm

TampaSteve wrote:
fci wrote:Maybe we need a new word to describe storms that do not strike the Continental US.?


Tropicycnohitus??? :D
:D :roflmao:
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#18 Postby wxmann_91 » Sat Sep 09, 2006 4:24 pm

journey wrote:So are we beginning the bi-weekly season cancel posts again? :)

I love the dynamics of this board. Youve got one group of people who think everything will form and the other who is calling for a season cancel on June 2nd and every other day after. Im not saying anyone in this thread has done that, I've just noticed that reading the posts on here in other threads.


There's also people who call season cancel with scientific reasoning. I'm not going to do that just yet but two weeks later you bet it's going to start quieting down and fast. There may be a spike activity between now and then but I'm not going for more than 12 NS's, 6 H's, and 3 MH's this year.
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#19 Postby caribepr » Sat Sep 09, 2006 5:44 pm

wxmann_91 wrote:
journey wrote:So are we beginning the bi-weekly season cancel posts again? :)

I love the dynamics of this board. Youve got one group of people who think everything will form and the other who is calling for a season cancel on June 2nd and every other day after. Im not saying anyone in this thread has done that, I've just noticed that reading the posts on here in other threads.


There's also people who call season cancel with scientific reasoning. I'm not going to do that just yet but two weeks later you bet it's going to start quieting down and fast. There may be a spike activity between now and then but I'm not going for more than 12 NS's, 6 H's, and 3 MH's this year.


There was an excellent post, I'm not sure by whom, PK?? Season cancel posts relate to those who don't have a hurricane or TS heading to THEM, personally. Period.
There have been many storms to track and (oh and... BY THE WAY, THERE IS AN ISLAND FULL OF HUMANS ABOUT TO GET HIT BY FLORENCE, IF YOU PAY ATTENTION! those who say they are INTERESTED) around the world, there ARE systems to track, if your claim is "Oh I LOVE to track storms there is just nothing out there".
I'm getting pretty tired of the whole bit of season cancel, it's a bust, etc. IT'S HURRICANE SEASON. If you want to track storms, they are out there. If you want to play with "it's coming to ME" then please...be quiet. If you are BORED...then go find a hobby that will take up a great deal of your time so you don't take up a great deal of time here splashing nothing posts.
(yeah, I'm getting frustrated...check it out, it's that time of...year)
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#20 Postby journey » Sat Sep 09, 2006 6:54 pm

caribepr wrote:
wxmann_91 wrote:
journey wrote:So are we beginning the bi-weekly season cancel posts again? :)

I love the dynamics of this board. Youve got one group of people who think everything will form and the other who is calling for a season cancel on June 2nd and every other day after. Im not saying anyone in this thread has done that, I've just noticed that reading the posts on here in other threads.


There's also people who call season cancel with scientific reasoning. I'm not going to do that just yet but two weeks later you bet it's going to start quieting down and fast. There may be a spike activity between now and then but I'm not going for more than 12 NS's, 6 H's, and 3 MH's this year.


There was an excellent post, I'm not sure by whom, PK?? Season cancel posts relate to those who don't have a hurricane or TS heading to THEM, personally. Period.
There have been many storms to track and (oh and... BY THE WAY, THERE IS AN ISLAND FULL OF HUMANS ABOUT TO GET HIT BY FLORENCE, IF YOU PAY ATTENTION! those who say they are INTERESTED) around the world, there ARE systems to track, if your claim is "Oh I LOVE to track storms there is just nothing out there".
I'm getting pretty tired of the whole bit of season cancel, it's a bust, etc. IT'S HURRICANE SEASON. If you want to track storms, they are out there. If you want to play with "it's coming to ME" then please...be quiet. If you are BORED...then go find a hobby that will take up a great deal of your time so you don't take up a great deal of time here splashing nothing posts.
(yeah, I'm getting frustrated...check it out, it's that time of...year)


Exactly - while we are reaching the peak, people consistantly scream SEASON CANCEL when there isnt a Cat 3 hurricane headed toward them. Those are the people I'm talking about.
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