TS Florence,Analysis,Sat Pics Thread #6

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Locked
Message
Author
User avatar
sponger
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1620
Joined: Thu Jul 22, 2004 11:26 am
Location: St Augustine

#421 Postby sponger » Sat Sep 09, 2006 12:19 am

What was the final classifacation for Wilma when it was over western broward?
0 likes   
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
Evil Jeremy
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5463
Age: 32
Joined: Mon Apr 10, 2006 2:10 pm
Location: Los Angeles, CA

#422 Postby Evil Jeremy » Sat Sep 09, 2006 12:20 am

Cat 2
0 likes   
Frances 04 / Jeanne 04 / Katrina 05 / Wilma 05 / Fay 08 / Debby 12 / Andrea 13 / Colin 16 / Hermine 16 / Matthew 16 / Irma 17
Top
f5
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1550
Joined: Thu Aug 25, 2005 3:29 pm
Location: Waco,tx

#423 Postby f5 » Sat Sep 09, 2006 12:22 am

how big was Katrina compared to this?
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
sponger
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1620
Joined: Thu Jul 22, 2004 11:26 am
Location: St Augustine

#424 Postby sponger » Sat Sep 09, 2006 12:32 am

Evil Jeremy wrote:Cat 2


I never had a doubt driving in that Monday night.it was quite a sight.
0 likes   
Top
Matt-hurricanewatcher

#425 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Sat Sep 09, 2006 12:37 am

There was data before hitting florida west coast from recon that said the winds where around 130 mph. But the nhc did not think that was good.
0 likes   
Top
Matt-hurricanewatcher

#426 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Sat Sep 09, 2006 12:42 am

They kepted at 65 mph which is 10 mph high.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Thunder44
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5922
Age: 44
Joined: Mon Jun 09, 2003 7:53 pm
Location: New York City

#427 Postby Thunder44 » Sat Sep 09, 2006 12:46 am

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:They kepted at 65 mph which is 10 mph high.


Perhaps they are using a lower reduction or they are going to wait for the 5am advisory to lower the winds.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
sponger
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1620
Joined: Thu Jul 22, 2004 11:26 am
Location: St Augustine

#428 Postby sponger » Sat Sep 09, 2006 12:48 am

Wxman1 nailed it in the recon discussion thread. Why downgrade now if you beleive it is strengthing. Just causes confusion. No one will mind if they lower the winds at 5.
0 likes   
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
marcane_1973
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 330
Age: 51
Joined: Mon Jun 26, 2006 11:01 pm
Location: N.C.
Contact:
Contact marcane_1973

#429 Postby marcane_1973 » Sat Sep 09, 2006 12:55 am

Florence is going to have to do some hefty duty strengthening if she wants to become a CAT 2 cane. She might look big and mean but by actual data confirmed by Recon now shes nuttin but a weakling at the moment. This storm is as screwed up as Ernesto. :roll:
0 likes   
Top
Bailey1777
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 962
Joined: Mon Jul 31, 2006 6:23 pm
Location: Houston, Texas

#430 Postby Bailey1777 » Sat Sep 09, 2006 12:57 am

Everything about her looks pretty good now, why isn't she strengthening?
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
NONAME
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 373
Age: 35
Joined: Sat Mar 18, 2006 8:15 am
Location: Where the Wind Blows

#431 Postby NONAME » Sat Sep 09, 2006 1:00 am

um they havent sampled anywinds near the center i think they are trying to find out how big the windfeild is first. Because they have been on the outer fringes mostly.
0 likes   
Top
Bailey1777
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 962
Joined: Mon Jul 31, 2006 6:23 pm
Location: Houston, Texas

#432 Postby Bailey1777 » Sat Sep 09, 2006 1:02 am

Yes they have tested the areas where the strongest winds should be.
0 likes   
Top
windnrain
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 670
Joined: Wed Aug 10, 2005 1:19 pm
Location: Baton Rouge

#433 Postby windnrain » Sat Sep 09, 2006 1:09 am

no, he may be right.. looks like they are going back in.
0 likes   
Top
Bailey1777
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 962
Joined: Mon Jul 31, 2006 6:23 pm
Location: Houston, Texas

#434 Postby Bailey1777 » Sat Sep 09, 2006 1:11 am

I see they have been riding the periphrey but earlier they made some center obs, and they were not all that. My point was what is inhibiting it from some solid deepening?
0 likes   
Top
windnrain
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 670
Joined: Wed Aug 10, 2005 1:19 pm
Location: Baton Rouge

#435 Postby windnrain » Sat Sep 09, 2006 1:13 am

Honestly, and this is from an amateur, but I would say size... and the reason is simple, it's physics. It will take more juoles of energy to deepen the entire thing, but once it does, an extremely large category 2 hurricane to me is just as devistating as a compact 4.
0 likes   
Top
Stratosphere747
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3772
Joined: Thu Sep 11, 2003 8:34 pm
Location: Surfside Beach/Freeport Tx
Contact:
Contact Stratosphere747

#436 Postby Stratosphere747 » Sat Sep 09, 2006 1:15 am

Center is still broad and not truly defined yet...
0 likes   
Top
Bailey1777
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 962
Joined: Mon Jul 31, 2006 6:23 pm
Location: Houston, Texas

#437 Postby Bailey1777 » Sat Sep 09, 2006 1:15 am

How fast did Wilma go from a TS to a Cat1?
0 likes   
Top
djtil
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 699
Joined: Fri Jul 08, 2005 10:09 am

#438 Postby djtil » Sat Sep 09, 2006 1:19 am

an extremely large category 2 hurricane to me is just as devistating as a compact 4.


luckily to us in the real world (and bermuda in particular) thats not remotely the case.
0 likes   
Top
Matt-hurricanewatcher

#439 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Sat Sep 09, 2006 1:19 am

Wilma was a super tight thing less then a few miles wide. She was amazing watching it bomb, then half this board mess there selfs when the recon got into her that morning.
0 likes   
Top
Matt-hurricanewatcher

#440 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Sat Sep 09, 2006 1:22 am

I mean not the system its self but the wind core/center. Wilma rainband/outflow was much bigger!
0 likes   
Top
Locked

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: HurakaYoshi, Kennethb, Steve H., Xlhunter3 and 403 guests