Farmers Almanac Warns of Severe North American Winter
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- Hybridstorm_November2001
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Farmers Almanac Warns of Severe North American Winter
http://www.playfuls.com/news_002021_Old ... _2007.html
What does everyone think of their prediction? I personally enjoying reading the Farmers Almanac Forecasts, from an Entertainment stand point. Although I've read that a study was done that showed the publication's accuracy was slightly better than flipping a coin; over the 60%.
What does everyone think of their prediction? I personally enjoying reading the Farmers Almanac Forecasts, from an Entertainment stand point. Although I've read that a study was done that showed the publication's accuracy was slightly better than flipping a coin; over the 60%.
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- Tstormwatcher
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- all_we_know_is_FALLING
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- Extremeweatherguy
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- WhiteShirt
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Extremeweatherguy wrote:If this does end up being one of the coldest winters EVER recorded, like they are predicting, then I may even be in for a little winter here in Houston too.
I don't have a copy of the Farmer's Almanac yet. Does it say this may be one of the coldest winters ever recorded? I'm ready for a frigid winter.
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- Extremeweatherguy
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I got that statement from the article at the top of the page.WhiteShirt wrote:Extremeweatherguy wrote:If this does end up being one of the coldest winters EVER recorded, like they are predicting, then I may even be in for a little winter here in Houston too.
I don't have a copy of the Farmer's Almanac yet. Does it say this may be one of the coldest winters ever recorded? I'm ready for a frigid winter.
Here is the actual quote:
The 190-years old publication predicts with an accuracy between 80 and 85% how weather will evolve and Americans should worry: OFA says this winter will be one of the coldest ever recorded.
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- WhiteShirt
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- Extremeweatherguy
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I just realized that two of the coldest winters ever (1899 and 1977) occured during weak el ninos. Since this winter is expected to have a weak el nino, I can see how there would be a higher than normal risk. Will be interesting to watch.
BTW: winter 2004 also had a weak El Nino and featured the great christmas eve TX snowstorm.
BTW: winter 2004 also had a weak El Nino and featured the great christmas eve TX snowstorm.
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- Extremeweatherguy
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- Hybridstorm_November2001
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Duffy wrote:hmmmm i read the oppossite...that El Nino conditions will cause it to be mild...at least here in the Northeastern US
A weak to moderate el nino will cause an active southern branch of the jet stream and actually increase the possibilities of nor'easters. Accuweather has a nice graphic up concerning the effects of a weak to moderate el nino similar to the one that is expected this winter.
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