Tropical Storm Gordon,Analysis,Sat Pics,Models Thread

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Steve H.
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#61 Postby Steve H. » Sat Sep 09, 2006 10:17 pm

Not is ridging backfills in the her wake.
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SouthFloridawx
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#62 Postby SouthFloridawx » Sat Sep 09, 2006 10:42 pm

boca wrote:Wouldn't 93L follow the weakness caused by Florence?



We see that Flo is currently on the Western Flank of the Ridge.
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... 8dlm1.html

As Florence moves north @ 13MPH with a gradual increase in forward speed. 93L is going to be moving a bit slower at 10MPH to the west VS NNW motion of Florence.

It is possible that the ridge may close up as florence moves northward faster and faster.

All in all I'm not real sure if it would follow Flo, if it develops.

Image

Image
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#63 Postby JonathanBelles » Sat Sep 09, 2006 10:53 pm

looking good at this hour.
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#64 Postby Zardoz » Sat Sep 09, 2006 11:18 pm

fact789 wrote:looking good at this hour.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/catl/loop-vis.html

Pretty good rotation, lots of convection firing.
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#65 Postby Evil Jeremy » Sat Sep 09, 2006 11:38 pm

Zardoz wrote:
fact789 wrote:looking good at this hour.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/catl/loop-vis.html

Pretty good rotation, lots of convection firing.


tends to happen overnight!
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#66 Postby CrazyC83 » Sat Sep 09, 2006 11:46 pm

Looks better than Florence did 60 hours ago!
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#67 Postby Zardoz » Sun Sep 10, 2006 12:05 am

Is it moving WSW at the moment? :

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/catl/loop-vis.html
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#68 Postby SouthFloridawx » Sun Sep 10, 2006 12:36 am

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html

This invest has been removed from the Navy Site.
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#69 Postby Evil Jeremy » Sun Sep 10, 2006 12:43 am

first ex-in 91L, now ex-in 92L!!!!!
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#70 Postby Zardoz » Sun Sep 10, 2006 1:44 am

SouthFloridawx wrote:http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html

This invest has been removed from the Navy Site.

They've gotta be kidding:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/catl/loop-vis.html
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#71 Postby Pebbles » Sun Sep 10, 2006 2:27 am

wow... i'm surprised too
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#72 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Sun Sep 10, 2006 2:39 am

Looks to have a LLC a little elongated north to south. But convection has fired over it...Maybe a depression is the reason why they removed it?
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#73 Postby Coredesat » Sun Sep 10, 2006 2:42 am

It would've been replaced by now if a depression were forming.
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#74 Postby Pebbles » Sun Sep 10, 2006 2:43 am

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:Looks to have a LLC a little elongated north to south. But convection has fired over it...Maybe a depression is the reason why they removed it?


Humm.. hope your right. Didn't think about that they might be upgrading it. I just assumed it had been downgraded and couldn't figure out why as I thought it had potential.
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#75 Postby mtm4319 » Sun Sep 10, 2006 3:03 am

2:05 TWD:
TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 51W S OF 25N WITH A 1014 MB LOW ALONG THE WAVE NEAR 22N MOVING W 5-10 KT. THIS SYSTEM CONTINUES TO HAVE POSSIBILITY OF FURTHER DEVELOPMENT INTO A TROPICAL SYSTEM BUT WILL WILL SLOW IN THAT DEVELOPMENT.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MI ... 0647.shtml?

So I don't think it has suddenly become a TD.
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#76 Postby Sanibel » Sun Sep 10, 2006 4:42 am

I thought this was 91L? (How about that)

Appears to be developing with the CDO offset to the SW.
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#77 Postby boca » Sun Sep 10, 2006 4:47 am

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/catl/loop-avn.html

looks to be moving WSW on the satelite.
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#78 Postby Sanibel » Sun Sep 10, 2006 4:50 am

Don't see what would keep it from following right up the flow behind Florence.
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#79 Postby Thunder44 » Sun Sep 10, 2006 4:54 am

665
ABNT20 KNHC 100918
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 AM EDT SAT SEP 9 2006

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON RECENTLY-
UPGRADED HURRICANE FLORENCE...LOCATED ABOUT 320 MILES SOUTH OF
BERMUDA.

A SMALL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 650 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST
OF THE LESSER ANTILLES...IS MOVING WESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH. THE
ASSOCIATED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY REMAINS DISORGANIZED
AND DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY.

$$
FORECASTER MAINELLI/FRANKLIN
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#80 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Sun Sep 10, 2006 4:54 am

Sure as heck would not take much for this to be upgraded. LLC has been there for about 48 hours.
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