Normandy wrote:
I wouldn't attack JB and accuse him of -removed- when nearly everyone this year who has made a forecast on a storm this year has busted at some point.
And as for your track, I agree but you recurve this too soon imo as it is not heading NW right now like you indicate.
I watch Joe's video and read his blog every day. He's extremely biased toward hits where he forecast in the pre-season. I remember 3-4 years ago he tried to take TS Larry in the southern BoC northeast and up the east U.S. Coast. Larry just moved inland into Mexico. I"ve seen that kind of bias over and over through the years.
Sometimes you have to really listen to what he's saying. Often, he's not actually forecasting such a track to occur, just mentioning that there may be a slim chance of it happening. Once it develops, take a look at where AccuWeather forecasts it to track. See if they drive it west to the Bahamas or recurve it.
I do agree with Joe that an east coast hit by a Cat 2-3 is quite likely over the next 3-4 weeks. But it won't be TD 7.
) I for one will wait to see what recon finds tomorrow before jumping onto any bandwagon...
