NW Pacific: Tropical Depression (19N 115E)

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NW Pacific: Tropical Depression (19N 115E)

#1 Postby P.K. » Tue Sep 12, 2006 5:15 am

WARNING AND SUMMARY 120600.
WARNING VALID 130600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER
WATERS BOUNDED BY 30N 122E 29N 127E 25N 122E 20N 115E 20N 112E 25N
118E 30N 122E.
GALE WARNING.
DEVELOPING LOW 1010 HPA
AT 55N 161E KAMCHATKA MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS.
EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST
SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS.
WARNING.
DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK.
WARNING.
DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 141E 41N 142E
43N 146E 51N 157E 56N 162E 60N 164E 60N 180E 40N 180E 36N 160E 37N
141E.
SUMMARY.
LOW 1016 HPA AT 40N 160E NE 10 KT.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 19N 115E NORTH SLOWLY.
LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 12N 165E WEST SLOWLY.
HIGH 1026 HPA AT 46N 133E SE 10 KT.
STATIONARY FRONT FROM 26N 120E TO 30N 130E 34N 140E 40N 150E 55N 161E
61N 170E.
REMARKS.
TYPHOON 0613 SHANSHAN (0613) 945 HPA AT 19.7N 131.6E : SEE TROPICAL
CYCLONE WARNING.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=
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#2 Postby WindRunner » Tue Sep 12, 2006 5:20 am

This is 95W per the Navy, and I don't see any quick development out of it, as it is not all that organised.

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#3 Postby P.K. » Tue Sep 12, 2006 3:48 pm

WARNING AND SUMMARY 121800.
WARNING VALID 131800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA
AT 20.7N 113.8E NORTHERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 11
KNOTS.
POSITION POOR.
MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXPECTED MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 131800UTC AT 20.0N 112.0E WITH 150 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.

GALE WARNING.
DEVELOPING LOW 1006 HPA
AT 56N 166E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS.
EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST
SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS.
WARNING.
DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER YELLOW SEA.
WARNING.
DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 141E 40N 142E
43N 145E 47N 153E 55N 162E 60N 164E 60N 180E 44N 180E 35N 160E 35N
141E.
SUMMARY.
LOW 1016 HPA AT 42N 162E NNE 15 KT.
LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 13N 158E WEST SLOWLY.
HIGH 1026 HPA AT 46N 139E EAST 15 KT.
STATIONARY FRONT FROM 26N 120E TO 31N 130E 33N 140E 39N 150E 47N 160E
56N 166E 62N 173E.
REMARKS.
TYPHOON 0613 SHANSHAN (0613) 945 HPA AT 20.0N 130.1E : SEE TROPICAL
CYCLONE WARNING.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=
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#4 Postby WindRunner » Tue Sep 12, 2006 10:06 pm

Six hours later, it's up to 1008hPa, though still expected to attain TS status. JTWC does not forecast the system to reach TS status before moving inland over southern China.

WWJP25 RJTD 130000
WARNING AND SUMMARY 130000.
WARNING VALID 140000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA
AT 21.0N 112.8E NORTHERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST
10 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXPECTED MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 140000UTC AT 21.5N 111.8E WITH 150 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.

GALE WARNING.
DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA
AT 58N 170E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS.
WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND
200 MILES ELSEWHERE.
WARNING.
DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER BOHAI YELLOW SEA.
WARNING.
DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 42N 142E
47N 152E 55N 162E 60N 166E 60N 180E 45N 180E 37N 165E 36N 141E.
SUMMARY.
LOW 1016 HPA AT 43N 164E ENE 10 KT.
LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 13N 155E WEST 10 KT.
HIGH 1026 HPA AT 45N 147E ESE 15 KT.
STATIONARY FRONT FROM 26N 120E TO 29N 124E 31N 129E 33N 134E 34N 140E
36N 143E 36N 147E.
STATIONARY FRONT FROM 46N 162E TO 50N 168E 58N 170E 60N 172E 63N
177E.
REMARKS.
TYPHOON 0613 SHANSHAN (0613) 950 HPA AT 20.1N 129.0E : SEE TROPICAL
CYCLONE WARNING.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

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#5 Postby WindRunner » Wed Sep 13, 2006 5:37 am

Back down to 1006hPa, though it is nearing landfall.

WWJP25 RJTD 130600
WARNING AND SUMMARY 130600.
WARNING VALID 140600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1006 HPA
AT 21.2N 112.5E NORTHERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST
06 KNOTS.
POSITION POOR.
MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXPECTED MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 140600UTC AT 21.7N 111.8E WITH 150 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.

GALE WARNING.
DEVELOPED LOW 1002 HPA
AT 60N 172E BERING SEA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS.
STATIONARY FRONT FROM 46N 165E TO 50N 170E 57N 174E 60N 172E 63N
177E.
WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND
200 MILES ELSEWHERE.
WARNING.
DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER YELLOW SEA.
WARNING.
DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 42N 141E
47N 152E 55N 162E 60N 164E 60N 180E 45N 180E 36N 164E 36N 150E 36N
141E.
SUMMARY.
LOW 1014 HPA AT 44N 165E ENE 15 KT.
LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 13N 154E WEST 10 KT.
HIGH 1024 HPA AT 46N 149E ENE 15 KT.
STATIONARY FRONT FROM 24N 119E TO 26N 122E 30N 125E 31N 127E 32N 131E
33N 135E 33N 140E 34N 143E 36N 146E 36N 149E.
REMARKS.
TYPHOON 0613 SHANSHAN (0613) 955 HPA AT 20.2N 128.3E : SEE TROPICAL
CYCLONE WARNING.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=
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