Florence at Newfoundland, updates and warnings

[conestogo_flood]

SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN
ISSUED BY THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE OF ENVIRONMENT CANADA
AT 3:14 AM ADT TUESDAY 12 SEPTEMBER 2006.
---------------------------------------------------------------------
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR:
=NEW= CHANNEL-PORT AUX BASQUES - BURGEO
=NEW= RAMEA - CONNAIGRE
=NEW= BURIN PENINSULA
=NEW= AVALON PENINSULA SOUTH
=NEW= AVALON PENINSULA NORTH
=NEW= ST. JOHN'S AND VICINITY
=NEW= CLARENVILLE AND VICINITY
=NEW= BONAVISTA PENINSULA.

SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 KNOTS OR 70 KM/H ARE
POSSIBLE ON WEDNESDAY OVER THE ABOVE REGIONS. WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO GUSTS TO NEAR 100 KM/H.

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==DISCUSSION==
HURRICANE FLORENCE WILL TRANSFORM INTO AN INTENSE POST-TROPICAL STORM
AS IT MOVES NORTHEAST TOWARD NEWFOUNDLAND TODAY. SINCE THE STORM
WILL STILL POSSESS TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS WHEN IT MOVES NEAR THE
AVALON PENINSULA ON WEDNESDAY..A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN
ISSUED FOR THE EASTERN PENINSULAS OF NEWFOUNDLAND AND THE REMAINING
SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE ISLAND. SUSTAINED WINDS OF TROPICAL STORM
FORCE..70 KM/H..ARE FORECAST TO DEVELOP OVER THIS AREA ON WEDNESDAY
WITH GUSTS TO 100 KM/H. ADDITIONALLY..75 TO 125 MILLIMETRES OF RAIN
ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. CONSULT YOUR LOCAL PUBLIC FORECAST FOR
DETAILS.

[Buck]

Good call mate!

[TampaSteve]

TS warning for Newfoundland? Now there's something you don't see every day!

[Derek Ortt]

Newfoundland gets hit by tropical cyclones quite frequently, including by hurricanes

[Hybridstorm_November2001]

Actually SE Newfoundland (including the Capital city Saint Johns') gets hit, and usually brushed, far more often than the Maritimes (even Eastern Nova Scotia). Due to the cold Labrador Current though, nearly all TC are well into the Extratropical phase by then, and thus resemble more a moderate to strong (depending on the size and strength of the storm prior to transition) gale area than a classic 'cane. Though usually not as fierce as it's legendary Winter Gales, aka "Nor'Easters", they can still at times put a major hurt on the Island (like Luis in 1995, Michael in 2000, or Gabrielle in 2001 for example).

[HurricaneBill]

Though usually not as fierce as it's legendary Winter Gales, aka "Nor'Easters", they can still at times put a major hurt on the Island (like Luis in 1995, Michael in 2000, or Gabrielle in 2001 for example).

I think the CHC had Luis landfalling as a Category 3!

Michael landfalled as a Category 2. I remember reading somewhere online a picture of Michael with the caption "Michael blow the boat ashore".

[HurricaneBill]

Newfoundland gets hit by tropical cyclones quite frequently, including by hurricanes

I think some people often underestimate the amount of hits Canada receives from TCs.

[Hybridstorm_November2001]

Though usually not as fierce as it's legendary Winter Gales, aka "Nor'Easters", they can still at times put a major hurt on the Island (like Luis in 1995, Michael in 2000, or Gabrielle in 2001 for example).

I think the CHC had Luis landfalling as a Category 3!

Michael landfalled as a Category 2. I remember reading somewhere online a picture of Michael with the caption "Michael blow the boat ashore".

Luis cat 1.

Michael cat 2.

[Derek Ortt]

CHC has Luis as a cat 3, NHC has it as a cat 1

One of the rare disagreements between the two agencies

[Hybridstorm_November2001]

Well I personally agree with the NHC on this one. Cat 1, weak cat 2 at most. Could have been a 3, but I doubt it.

[Hybridstorm_November2001]

Take a looky at these two OPC charts. They turn Flo into quite an intense, still Hurricane force, storm center over the North Atlantic/Newfoundland area:

24 hr

http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/A_24hrbw.gif

48 hr

http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/A_48hrbw.gif

[conestogo_flood]

CHC is keeping the warning because Florence will still possess tropical characteristics.

[conestogo_flood]

SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN
ISSUED BY THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE
OF ENVIRONMENT CANADA
AT 3:03 PM ADT TUESDAY 12 SEPTEMBER 2006.
---------------------------------------------------------------------
TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR:
TERRA NOVA
BONAVISTA NORTH.

SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 KNOTS OR 70 KM/H ARE
POSSIBLE ON WEDNESDAY OVER THE ABOVE REGIONS.

---------------------------------------------------------------------
==DISCUSSION==
HURRICANE FLORENCE WILL TRANSFORM INTO AN INTENSE POST-TROPICAL STORM
AS IT MOVES NORTHEAST TOWARD NEWFOUNDLAND TODAY. SINCE THE STORM WILL
STILL POSSESS TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS WHEN IT MOVES NEAR THE AVALON
PENINSULA ON WEDNESDAY..A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR
PARTS OF THE NORTHEAST COAST. SUSTAINED WINDS OF TROPICAL STORM
FORCE..70 KM/H..MAY DEVELOP OVER THIS AREA ON WEDNESDAY.
ADDITIONALLY..50 MILLIMETRES OF RAIN OR MORE IS POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM. CONSULT YOUR LOCAL PUBLIC FORECAST FOR DETAILS.

END/BOWYER

[Hybridstorm_November2001]

Reminds me of what happened to Alberto earlier in the year off Cape Cod/SW Nova Scotia. When he started undergoing ET, the system just exploded into this huge intense hurricane force storm area, that was in many ways stronger than the TC that it developed from. Look like Newfoundlanders could be in for a hell of a storm, over the next 24 hr!

[P.K.]

I'm keeping an eye on this as well. More forecast charts here.

[garbeat]

I'm here in St John's Newfoundland & Labrador... it should be an interesting 24 hours... especially given that the city has a large amount of old trees throughout it and with the high winds and rain I suspect some will fall...

[Hybridstorm_November2001]

I'm keeping an eye on this as well. More forecast charts here.

Indeed you should be watching it in the UK; for late this week and the weekend for sure.

[tropicana]

Keep us updated garbeat!

-justin-

[conestogo_flood]

A wind gust of 150kmh was reported south of the Burin Peninsula on an island by a weather station. Since then, the station is no longer reporting.

[conestogo_flood]

Power is out in St. Johns, and emergency managers are holding a news conference soon to give updates. CBC actually does hurricane coverage.