Hurricane Gordon - Cat. 3
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- cycloneye
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JtSmarts wrote:I think Gordon is the best looking storm this season.
And it easily can be the first major of the season.
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Stratusxpeye wrote:Gordon is the only TC This year to even look like a TC. Florence tried but never made it. Maybe this could be the first major. Maybe the last too.
Florence looked good at times, typical of a Category 2 hurricane (which I think she was for a while and will be declared after the season).
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UW - CIMSS
ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE
ADT - Version 7.1
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm
----- Current Analysis -----
Date : 13 SEP 2006 Time : 174500 UTC
Lat : 26:28:56 N Lon : 57:42:01 W
CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
4.9 / 971.1mb/ 87.4kt
6hr-Avg T# 3hr-Avg T# Adj T# Raw T#
4.8 4.9 5.1 5.9
Latitude bias adjustment to MSLP : -0.7mb
Estimated radius of max. wind based on IR : 29 km
Center Temp : +15.2C Cloud Region Temp : -56.5C
Scene Type : EYE
Positioning Method : RING/SPIRAL COMBINATION
Ocean Basin : ATLANTIC
Dvorak CI > MSLP Conversion Used : ATLANTIC
Tno/CI Rules : Constraint Limits : 0.5T/hour
Weakening Flag : OFF
Rapid Dissipation Flag : OFF
CI numbers currently put it Cat 2 strength with winds of 100mph.
ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE
ADT - Version 7.1
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm
----- Current Analysis -----
Date : 13 SEP 2006 Time : 174500 UTC
Lat : 26:28:56 N Lon : 57:42:01 W
CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
4.9 / 971.1mb/ 87.4kt
6hr-Avg T# 3hr-Avg T# Adj T# Raw T#
4.8 4.9 5.1 5.9
Latitude bias adjustment to MSLP : -0.7mb
Estimated radius of max. wind based on IR : 29 km
Center Temp : +15.2C Cloud Region Temp : -56.5C
Scene Type : EYE
Positioning Method : RING/SPIRAL COMBINATION
Ocean Basin : ATLANTIC
Dvorak CI > MSLP Conversion Used : ATLANTIC
Tno/CI Rules : Constraint Limits : 0.5T/hour
Weakening Flag : OFF
Rapid Dissipation Flag : OFF
CI numbers currently put it Cat 2 strength with winds of 100mph.
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- AnnularCane
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804
WHXX01 KWBC 131838
CHGHUR
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO TPC/NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES.
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NORTH ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
HURRICANE GORDON (AL072006) ON 20060913 1800 UTC
...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
060913 1800 060914 0600 060914 1800 060915 0600
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 26.5N 57.7W 28.7N 56.8W 30.9N 55.0W 32.1N 52.9W
BAMM 26.5N 57.7W 28.4N 57.3W 30.2N 56.3W 31.2N 55.3W
A98E 26.5N 57.7W 28.5N 57.3W 30.2N 56.2W 31.2N 54.6W
LBAR 26.5N 57.7W 28.4N 56.9W 30.4N 55.9W 31.9N 54.2W
SHIP 90KTS 98KTS 96KTS 90KTS
DSHP 90KTS 98KTS 96KTS 90KTS
...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
060915 1800 060916 1800 060917 1800 060918 1800
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 32.8N 51.5W 34.1N 50.8W 37.0N 49.3W 42.3N 37.7W
BAMM 31.6N 54.7W 32.2N 54.7W 35.0N 54.6W 41.2N 46.5W
A98E 31.6N 53.8W 31.7N 53.6W 33.6N 53.0W 39.9N 46.7W
LBAR 33.1N 52.5W 34.4N 48.7W 35.6N 45.4W 36.9N 40.4W
SHIP 84KTS 66KTS 49KTS 44KTS
DSHP 84KTS 66KTS 49KTS 44KTS
...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 26.5N LONCUR = 57.7W DIRCUR = 5DEG SPDCUR = 10KT
LATM12 = 24.7N LONM12 = 58.0W DIRM12 = 7DEG SPDM12 = 8KT
LATM24 = 23.4N LONM24 = 58.2W
WNDCUR = 90KT RMAXWD = 20NM WNDM12 = 65KT
CENPRS = 970MB OUTPRS = 1014MB OUTRAD = 200NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 90NM RD34SE = 90NM RD34SW = 90NM RD34NW = 90NM
$$
90kts!
WHXX01 KWBC 131838
CHGHUR
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO TPC/NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES.
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NORTH ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
HURRICANE GORDON (AL072006) ON 20060913 1800 UTC
...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
060913 1800 060914 0600 060914 1800 060915 0600
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 26.5N 57.7W 28.7N 56.8W 30.9N 55.0W 32.1N 52.9W
BAMM 26.5N 57.7W 28.4N 57.3W 30.2N 56.3W 31.2N 55.3W
A98E 26.5N 57.7W 28.5N 57.3W 30.2N 56.2W 31.2N 54.6W
LBAR 26.5N 57.7W 28.4N 56.9W 30.4N 55.9W 31.9N 54.2W
SHIP 90KTS 98KTS 96KTS 90KTS
DSHP 90KTS 98KTS 96KTS 90KTS
...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
060915 1800 060916 1800 060917 1800 060918 1800
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 32.8N 51.5W 34.1N 50.8W 37.0N 49.3W 42.3N 37.7W
BAMM 31.6N 54.7W 32.2N 54.7W 35.0N 54.6W 41.2N 46.5W
A98E 31.6N 53.8W 31.7N 53.6W 33.6N 53.0W 39.9N 46.7W
LBAR 33.1N 52.5W 34.4N 48.7W 35.6N 45.4W 36.9N 40.4W
SHIP 84KTS 66KTS 49KTS 44KTS
DSHP 84KTS 66KTS 49KTS 44KTS
...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 26.5N LONCUR = 57.7W DIRCUR = 5DEG SPDCUR = 10KT
LATM12 = 24.7N LONM12 = 58.0W DIRM12 = 7DEG SPDM12 = 8KT
LATM24 = 23.4N LONM24 = 58.2W
WNDCUR = 90KT RMAXWD = 20NM WNDM12 = 65KT
CENPRS = 970MB OUTPRS = 1014MB OUTRAD = 200NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 90NM RD34SE = 90NM RD34SW = 90NM RD34NW = 90NM
$$
90kts!
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Gordon is showing us what the peak of the Hurricane Season should be like. Man, it seems like it's been a while since a hurricane in the Atlantic had an eye.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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