Hurricane Helene - Cat. 3

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
Bgator
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 649
Joined: Mon Sep 05, 2005 12:29 pm
Location: Orlando, FL

#601 Postby Bgator » Wed Sep 13, 2006 8:01 pm

I think the storm is still moving near 275, the center has just been reforming to the north...I dont agree with the 285 motion...
0 likes   
Top
sma10
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1710
Joined: Tue Aug 02, 2005 1:13 pm

#602 Postby sma10 » Wed Sep 13, 2006 8:01 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:My guess for the chances:

15% pass through islands, stay in Atlantic (i.e. Hugo)

20% enter Caribbean/Gulf (i.e. Ivan)


You're giving this a 35% chance of affecting a landmass?
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
CronkPSU
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2014
Joined: Sun Aug 07, 2005 10:44 pm
Location: Avalon Park, FL

#603 Postby CronkPSU » Wed Sep 13, 2006 8:02 pm

whoa...ships up to 100kts
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Bgator
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 649
Joined: Mon Sep 05, 2005 12:29 pm
Location: Orlando, FL

#604 Postby Bgator » Wed Sep 13, 2006 8:05 pm

Does anyone else think this storm is still moving west, and the models intitate it at 285 because of the reformations..?!
0 likes   
Top
JonathanBelles
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 11430
Age: 35
Joined: Sat Dec 24, 2005 9:00 pm
Location: School: Florida State University (Tallahassee, FL) Home: St. Petersburg, Florida
Contact:
Contact JonathanBelles

#605 Postby JonathanBelles » Wed Sep 13, 2006 8:09 pm

NRL has it up to 35 kts
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Normandy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2293
Joined: Sun Oct 10, 2004 12:31 am
Location: Houston, TX

#606 Postby Normandy » Wed Sep 13, 2006 8:15 pm

wxman57 wrote:
Normandy wrote:http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/catl/loop-vis.html

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/catl/loop-wv.html

Looking at these loops, I find it hard to believe this TD will turn NW so fast....I see a ridge building over the system right now and it is evident imo. I am more inclined to agree with Derek's forecast than the NHC's right now. Also, wasn't this TD recurving so fast dependent on Gordon moving very slowly? Well its moving out as we speak (along with the ULL).


I don't want to speak for Derek, but I think his disagreement with the NHC track is not that TD 8 won't revurve, but that the recurving will occur west of 50W instead of east of 50W. Derek, you're not saying that TD 8/Helene is a threat to the east U.S. Coast, are you?


Im not saying its a US East coast threat yet, but I think a recurve so far from the islands isn't likely imo.
0 likes   
Top
Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 38089
Age: 36
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:
Contact Brent

#607 Postby Brent » Wed Sep 13, 2006 8:15 pm

Helene!!!!!

:woo: :hoola:
0 likes   
#neversummer
Top
Matt-hurricanewatcher

#608 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Wed Sep 13, 2006 8:19 pm

Yeah Helene the 8th named storm. This thing looking good!
0 likes   
Top
Scorpion

#609 Postby Scorpion » Wed Sep 13, 2006 8:21 pm

Regardless of Helene affecting landmasses...she should put on quite a show.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Extremeweatherguy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 11095
Joined: Mon Oct 10, 2005 8:13 pm
Location: Florida

#610 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Wed Sep 13, 2006 8:28 pm

The season officially beats 1997! and more are likely to come..
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145306
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#611 Postby cycloneye » Wed Sep 13, 2006 8:35 pm

Brent wrote:Helene!!!!!

:woo: :hoola:


Not so fast.There is nothing official yet that TD 8 has been upgraded.Until that happens,storm2k will mantain the title of thread with TD 8. :)
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
CrazyC83
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 34002
Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
Location: Deep South, for the first time!

#612 Postby CrazyC83 » Wed Sep 13, 2006 8:43 pm

Still 08L.NONAME.
0 likes   
Top
Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 38089
Age: 36
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:
Contact Brent

#613 Postby Brent » Wed Sep 13, 2006 8:45 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:Still 08L.NONAME.


True, but it says 35 kt and 1005 mb.
0 likes   
#neversummer
Top
User avatar
SouthFloridawx
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8346
Age: 46
Joined: Tue Jul 26, 2005 1:16 am
Location: Sarasota, FL
Contact:
Contact SouthFloridawx

#614 Postby SouthFloridawx » Wed Sep 13, 2006 8:46 pm

Brent wrote:
CrazyC83 wrote:Still 08L.NONAME.


True, but it says 35 kt and 1005 mb.

Well perhaps they wish to see consistency since we're only going by satelite estimates.
0 likes   
Top
Scorpion

#615 Postby Scorpion » Wed Sep 13, 2006 8:49 pm

The NHC WILL upgrade this at 11, no doubt.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145306
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#616 Postby cycloneye » Wed Sep 13, 2006 8:50 pm

But the header of the 00:00z Models was Tropical Storm Eight Instead of Tropical Storm Helene That's a clue that they are on the fence to upgrade but they can wait 6 more hours to see more data overnight.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
HurricaneHunter914
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4439
Age: 31
Joined: Fri Mar 10, 2006 7:36 pm
Location: College Station, TX

#617 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Wed Sep 13, 2006 8:52 pm

Looking at SAT, this deserves an upgrade!
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
flyingphish
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 125
Joined: Tue Aug 10, 2004 8:35 pm

#618 Postby flyingphish » Wed Sep 13, 2006 8:54 pm

This is probably the first and last serious CV player. I will be very relieved when recurve is more defined. This may be a strong storm. I do not like the westward bend at the end of the five day. It only takes ONE.. to seriously mess up life for people. If this system is simply a very strong fish. That is OK.
0 likes   
Top
sma10
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1710
Joined: Tue Aug 02, 2005 1:13 pm

#619 Postby sma10 » Wed Sep 13, 2006 9:00 pm

Extremeweatherguy wrote:The season officially beats 1997!


Boy, that's not saying a lot! 1997 stunk.
0 likes   
Top
JonathanBelles
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 11430
Age: 35
Joined: Sat Dec 24, 2005 9:00 pm
Location: School: Florida State University (Tallahassee, FL) Home: St. Petersburg, Florida
Contact:
Contact JonathanBelles

#620 Postby JonathanBelles » Wed Sep 13, 2006 9:22 pm

prepare some crow it its not helene.
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “2006”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 1 guest