Hurricane Gordon - Cat. 3

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Scorpion

#301 Postby Scorpion » Wed Sep 13, 2006 8:56 pm

I find it ridiculous that they don't send out recon. If anything it can be used for future information.
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O Town
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#302 Postby O Town » Wed Sep 13, 2006 8:57 pm

He is so small but looks so uniform now. Dvorak estimates are at 117 kt.(134 mph)right now that would make it a cat. 4.
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/adt/odt2.html

Image
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Scorpion

#303 Postby Scorpion » Wed Sep 13, 2006 8:59 pm

They keep going up by the hour. Definitely should see 105-110 kts at 11, at least.
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Coredesat

#304 Postby Coredesat » Wed Sep 13, 2006 9:10 pm

http://euler.atmos.colostate.edu/~vigh/ ... nsity2.png

100 kt
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Zardoz
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#305 Postby Zardoz » Wed Sep 13, 2006 9:24 pm

Nice view of Gordon, Florence and TD8:

http://hadar.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... _ls_0.html
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Scorpion

#306 Postby Scorpion » Wed Sep 13, 2006 9:26 pm

IMO NHC is being way too conservative with 100 kt. What is making them call for such an intensity?
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superfly

#307 Postby superfly » Wed Sep 13, 2006 9:27 pm

Scorpion wrote:IMO NHC is being way too conservative with 100 kt. What is making them call for such an intensity?


The lack of very deep convection in the CDO.
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CronkPSU
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#308 Postby CronkPSU » Wed Sep 13, 2006 9:50 pm

we got our first major! and it's a fish...it's a good night


:woo: :woo: :Partytime: :fantastic:
Last edited by CronkPSU on Wed Sep 13, 2006 9:56 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#309 Postby Sanibel » Wed Sep 13, 2006 9:55 pm

Near annular with sharp eye. But warm-tops! 2006 continues to amaze.
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#310 Postby skysummit » Wed Sep 13, 2006 10:11 pm

Yea....near annular! I couldn't believe him when I saw it earlier tonight. I thought "is Gordon going annular???" Too bad his cloud tops aren't that cold.
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#311 Postby Zardoz » Wed Sep 13, 2006 10:14 pm

Sanibel wrote:Near annular with sharp eye. But warm-tops! 2006 continues to amaze.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/loop-rb.html

Neat little storm, indeed.
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#312 Postby AnnularCane » Wed Sep 13, 2006 10:51 pm

Annular or not, he is gorgeous, with a gorgeous eye. That is good enough for me. :wink:
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#313 Postby Epsilon_Fan » Wed Sep 13, 2006 10:52 pm

Image

annular canes rule! :)
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#314 Postby PTrackerLA » Wed Sep 13, 2006 10:57 pm

Finally a major out there and thankfully it's a fish! Who would have thought we'd be seeing our first real eye of the season this late? Let's make sure Helen behaves now...
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#315 Postby quandary » Wed Sep 13, 2006 11:28 pm

With no banding features and that huge eye this storm looks seriously tiny. Or maybe that's just how things have become distorted after Florence... Helene looks to be large too.
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#316 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Thu Sep 14, 2006 2:48 am

The cloud tops have cooled over the last few hours. With some reds forming on the western quad. I think 110-115 knots!

UW - CIMSS
ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE
ADT - Version 7.1
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm

----- Current Analysis -----
Date : 14 SEP 2006 Time : 071500 UTC
Lat : 28:22:56 N Lon : 56:41:02 W


CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
6.3 / 939.0mb/122.2kt


6hr-Avg T# 3hr-Avg T# Adj T# Raw T#
6.2 6.2 6.3 6.3

Latitude bias adjustment to MSLP : -1.2mb

Estimated radius of max. wind based on IR : 33 km

Center Temp : +16.7C Cloud Region Temp : -60.5C

Scene Type : EYE

Positioning Method : RING/SPIRAL COMBINATION

Ocean Basin : ATLANTIC
Dvorak CI > MSLP Conversion Used : ATLANTIC

Tno/CI Rules : Constraint Limits : NO LIMIT
Weakening Flag : ON
Rapid Dissipation Flag : OFF
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O Town
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#317 Postby O Town » Thu Sep 14, 2006 6:00 am

Wow. Mr. Mini Gordon is looking so handsome this morning. I think he is peaking out right about now.

Image
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#318 Postby Weatherfreak14 » Thu Sep 14, 2006 7:02 am

WOW. Our first major. Glad to see it is a fish.
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#319 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Sep 14, 2006 8:40 am

Image

GREAT STORM!!!
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jhamps10

#320 Postby jhamps10 » Thu Sep 14, 2006 9:15 am

he seems to be looking EVEN better now than he did last night. I really am suprised that it is only 120 right now. looks like a cat 4 to me.
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