Bgator wrote:I think andrew was first forecasted to curve out to sea...
Never.
There isn't a single discussion that forecast a recurve. They didn't pinpoint South Dade county until about 36hrs prior to landfall, but they pretty much knew that Andrew was not going to be "a fish". Of course, they couldn't know that Andrew would landfall as a category 5.
Keep in mind though that when Andrew made his initial turn towards the NW he was already west of 60W. When the strong high then captured Andrew and sent him west, he was already fairly close to the US.