Lane Recon Reports

[craptacular]

The recon plane is in the GOM / Bay of Campeche heading SW for Mexico. They are not scheduled to arrive at Lane for a few hours yet, but I figured I'd make the thread now. Anyone who is keeping track can feel free to post obs when they get there.

000
NOUS42 KNHC 141630
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1130 AM EDT THU 14 SEP 2006
SUBJECT: TROPICAL STORM PLAN OF THE DAY (TSPOD)
VALID 15/1100Z TO 16/1100Z SEP 2006
TSPOD NUMBER.....06-107

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK.....NEGATIVE.

II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. TROPICAL STORM LANE
FLIGHT ONE
A. 15/1800Z
B. AFXXX 0113E LANE
C. 15/1245Z
D. 19.5N 107.1W
E. 15/1700Z TO 15/2100Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
G. TEAL 70

2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK
ANTICIPATING A REQUIREMENT FOR 16/1800Z ON HURRICANE
LANE AT 21.4N 108.9W.

RJD


000
SXXX50 KNHC 151455
AF309 0113E LANE HDOB 12 KNHC
1445. 2427N 09419W 07316 0447 012 010 169 275 011 07796 0000000000
1446 2425N 09421W 07316 0448 010 009 171 259 009 07797 0000000000
1446. 2423N 09423W 07312 0448 003 010 171 253 010 07793 0000000000
1447 2421N 09424W 07316 0447 010 011 171 259 011 07797 0000000000
1447. 2419N 09426W 07317 0446 006 011 173 255 011 07796 0000000000
1448 2417N 09428W 07312 0445 004 011 173 261 011 07790 0000000000
1448. 2414N 09430W 07317 0445 006 012 171 265 012 07795 0000000000
1449 2412N 09432W 07314 0445 008 012 171 251 013 07793 0000000000
1449. 2410N 09434W 07314 0444 011 013 171 249 013 07792 0000000000
1450 2408N 09435W 07318 0444 008 012 169 253 012 07796 0000000000
1450. 2406N 09437W 07313 0443 009 012 167 255 012 07789 0000000000
1451 2403N 09439W 07318 0443 010 011 167 251 011 07795 0000000000
1451. 2401N 09441W 07312 0444 014 011 169 263 011 07790 0000000000
1452 2359N 09443W 07318 0445 019 010 171 263 011 07797 0000000000
1452. 2357N 09444W 07314 0445 021 009 167 263 010 07792 0000000000
1453 2355N 09446W 07316 0446 022 010 171 257 010 07795 0000000000
1453. 2353N 09448W 07316 0446 024 011 171 253 011 07796 0000000000
1454 2350N 09450W 07315 0447 028 011 171 247 011 07796 0000000000
1454. 2348N 09452W 07315 0447 034 011 171 245 011 07796 0000000000
1455 2346N 09454W 07317 0447 035 010 171 243 011 07797 0000000000

[cycloneye]

I have to go off-line for a couple of hours but I know that Thunder44 if he is here can post the obs and those fabulous google images.

[Thunder44]

I will post maps and obs more frequently when the plane gets there.

[craptacular]

Heads up! It looks like recon is just about to come off the west coast of Mexico (near Manzanillo), to the SE of Lane. I would expect them to descend soon. Wonder if they'll find a hurricane ...

000
SXXX50 KNHC 151649
AF309 0113E LANE HDOB 23 KNHC
1635. 1921N 10239W 07315 5222 152 020 155 165 021 07189 0000000000
1636 1921N 10242W 07315 5135 159 023 153 161 024 07276 0000000000
1636. 1921N 10245W 07315 5041 163 022 151 161 024 07370 0000000000
1637 1920N 10248W 07316 0005 167 019 151 161 019 07417 0000000000
1637. 1920N 10251W 07315 5036 165 017 153 159 018 07376 0000000000
1638 1920N 10254W 07315 5117 167 017 153 159 017 07294 0000000000
1638. 1920N 10256W 07315 5216 168 018 151 159 019 07195 0000000000
1639 1919N 10259W 07315 5323 166 018 151 157 019 07087 0000000000
1639. 1919N 10302W 07316 5543 168 019 153 157 020 06866 0000000000
1640 1919N 10305W 07315 5656 166 020 151 157 021 06753 0000000000
1640. 1919N 10308W 07315 6136 173 021 151 159 022 06271 0001000000
1641 1919N 10311W 07315 6386 166 023 151 157 023 06020 0001000000
1641. 1918N 10313W 07315 6333 164 024 151 155 025 06074 0001000000
1642 1918N 10316W 07315 6466 163 024 151 157 025 05940 0001000000
1642. 1918N 10319W 07315 5731 162 024 151 161 025 06677 0000000000
1643 1918N 10322W 07315 5361 161 025 151 167 025 07050 0000000000
1643. 1917N 10325W 07315 5283 156 022 149 165 023 07127 0000000000
1644 1917N 10328W 07315 5317 154 021 147 161 022 07093 0000000000
1644. 1917N 10331W 07316 5199 155 022 147 155 024 07212 0000000000
1645 1917N 10334W 07316 5296 157 026 151 159 026 07115 0000000000

[craptacular]

Looks like the descent has begun.

000
SXXX50 KNHC 151659
AF309 0113E LANE HDOB 24 KNHC
1645. 1916N 10336W 07315 5268 158 025 149 159 025 07142 0000000000
1646 1916N 10339W 07315 5188 162 028 147 153 029 07223 0000000000
1646. 1916N 10342W 07315 5143 161 026 147 153 028 07268 0000000000
1647 1915N 10345W 07315 5068 160 026 147 147 026 07343 0000000000
1647. 1915N 10348W 07316 0003 167 025 149 155 027 07415 0000000000
1648 1915N 10351W 07314 0047 171 026 147 163 027 07458 0000000000
1648. 1915N 10353W 07315 5267 166 027 149 155 028 07144 0000000000
1649 1914N 10356W 07316 5253 169 025 147 157 025 07158 0000000000
1649. 1914N 10359W 07315 5271 173 028 149 157 031 07139 0000000000
1650 1914N 10402W 07315 5704 165 031 145 155 032 06704 0000000000
1650. 1913N 10405W 07314 5788 153 033 139 139 035 06619 0000000000
1651 1913N 10408W 07319 5595 159 032 139 139 036 06818 0000000000
1651. 1913N 10410W 07317 5348 166 030 139 139 031 07063 0000000000
1652 1912N 10413W 07312 0050 157 029 141 141 029 07459 0000000000
1652. 1912N 10416W 07318 5001 157 024 141 141 025 07413 0000000000
1653 1912N 10419W 07312 0123 162 027 141 143 028 07532 0000000000
1653. 1911N 10422W 07220 0317 165 027 139 139 028 07634 0000000000
1654 1911N 10425W 06967 0160 161 025 123 123 027 07223 0000000000
1654. 1911N 10427W 06692 0162 158 023 105 105 025 06949 0000000000
1655 1910N 10430W 06402 0306 160 029 087 087 031 06802 0000000000

[Thunder44]

[craptacular]

Leveled off at ~10,000 feet.

000

SXXX50 KNHC 151709
AF309 0113E LANE HDOB 25 KNHC
1655. 1910N 10433W 06107 0327 161 030 071 071 031 06527 0000000000
1656 1910N 10435W 05828 0304 166 027 055 055 029 06224 0000000000
1656. 1910N 10438W 05540 0314 172 026 041 041 027 05945 0000000000
1657 1909N 10440W 05255 0293 190 028 027 027 031 05638 0000000000
1657. 1909N 10443W 04977 0271 187 028 013 013 029 05337 0000000000
1658 1909N 10445W 04684 0248 182 030 007 007 030 05020 0000000000
1658. 1909N 10447W 04386 0217 176 030 001 001 032 04690 0000000000
1659 1908N 10450W 04092 0214 178 032 016 016 033 04369 0000000000
1659. 1908N 10452W 03809 0197 180 030 036 036 031 04065 0000000000
1700 1908N 10454W 03530 0176 173 031 052 052 033 03765 0000000000
1700. 1908N 10456W 03245 0155 180 026 068 068 027 03459 0000000000
1701 1907N 10458W 03079 0143 184 033 070 070 036 03280 0000000000
1701. 1907N 10500W 03043 0138 193 033 072 072 034 03238 0000000000
1702 1907N 10502W 03054 0136 186 029 074 074 033 03247 0000000000
1702. 1907N 10503W 03046 0134 176 027 078 078 027 03238 0000000000
1703 1906N 10505W 03047 0135 187 032 086 086 032 03240 0000000000
1703. 1906N 10507W 03050 0134 184 032 086 084 032 03241 0000000000
1704 1906N 10509W 03048 0134 190 028 090 076 030 03240 0000000000
1704. 1906N 10511W 03047 0133 188 027 088 076 028 03238 0000000000
1705 1906N 10512W 03049 0134 187 028 088 080 029 03240 0000000000

[Thunder44]

[craptacular]

Heading NW towards center.

SXXX50 KNHC 151719
AF309 0113E LANE HDOB 26 KNHC
1705. 1905N 10514W 03049 0132 183 027 078 078 028 03238 0000000000
1706 1905N 10516W 03049 0130 195 029 070 070 030 03237 0000000000
1706. 1905N 10518W 03046 0132 192 030 070 070 031 03235 0000000000
1707 1906N 10519W 03049 0127 187 032 082 082 033 03233 0000000000
1707. 1908N 10521W 03048 0127 183 030 072 072 036 03232 0000000000
1708 1909N 10522W 03047 0127 195 025 066 066 026 03232 0000000100
1708. 1910N 10524W 03049 0125 199 026 076 076 026 03231 0000000100
1709 1911N 10525W 03047 0126 195 027 080 080 028 03231 0000000100
1709. 1913N 10527W 03050 0126 199 027 086 086 028 03233 0000000100
1710 1914N 10528W 03047 0125 203 028 088 088 029 03229 0000000000
1710. 1915N 10529W 03049 0124 204 032 090 090 033 03231 0000000000
1711 1916N 10531W 03047 0125 205 031 094 080 031 03229 0000000000
1711. 1918N 10532W 03049 0125 203 031 092 082 032 03231 0000000000
1712 1919N 10534W 03049 0124 201 031 088 084 031 03230 0000000000
1712. 1921N 10535W 03046 0124 205 032 086 086 033 03228 0000000000
1713 1923N 10536W 03049 0123 206 032 090 086 032 03230 0000000000
1713. 1924N 10537W 03047 0123 214 035 086 086 036 03228 0000000000
1714 1926N 10538W 03048 0121 216 036 086 086 036 03226 0000000000
1714. 1928N 10539W 03049 0119 214 036 086 086 037 03225 0000000000
1715 1929N 10540W 03048 0119 213 037 084 084 038 03224 0000000000

[craptacular]

For reference, if they stay at 3000m, the windspeed reduction to the surface is .80 outside of convection, .85 in convection, and .90 in an eyewall.

Flight level--------------Eyewall-----------Outer vortex (convection)-----Outer vortex (not in convection)
700hPa (3,000m)--------0.90------------------0.85------------------------------------0.80
850hPa (1,500m)--------0.80------------------0.80------------------------------------0.75
925hPa (750m)-----------0.75------------------0.75------------------------------------0.75
300m-------------------------0.80------------------0.80------------------------------------0.80

[Thunder44]

[craptacular]

URPN11 KNHC 151717
97779 17064 61191 05318 30400 19033 08088 /3137
RMK AF309 0113E LANE OB 07


The location is screwed up from the deocder (due to being over 100W), but ...
RECCO Observation
Storm Name: LANE (13L)
Mission Number: 01
Flight ID: AF309
Observation Number: 07
Time: 1706Z
Latitude: 19.1°N
Longitude: 05.3°W
Location: 1237 mi ENE of Praia, Cape Verde
Turbulence: Light occasional moderate
Flight condition: In & out of clouds
Pressure Altitude: 10000 feet
Flight level wind: S (190°) @ 38 mph
Temperature: 46°F
Dewpoint: 46°F
Weather: Rainshowers
700mb height: 10300 feet
Surface Wind: N/A
Remarks: None

[craptacular]

Dropsonde Observations
Storm Name: LANE (13L)
Mission Number: 01
Flight ID: AF309
Observation Number: 08
Time: 1700Z
Latitude: 19.1°N
Longitude: 105.3°W
Location: 49 mi W of Manzanillo, Mexico
Surface: 1009 mb; Temp: 78°F; Dewpt: 78°F; SSW (210°) @ 26 mph
1000mb height: 262 ft; Temp: 77°F; Dewpt: 77°F; SSW (210°) @ 28 mph
925mb height: 2503 ft; Temp: 70°F; Dewpt: 70°F; SSW (210°) @ 32 mph
850mb height: 4902 ft; Temp: 63°F; Dewpt: 63°F; SW (215°) @ 31 mph
700mb height: 10299 ft; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 48°F; S (185°) @ 39 mph
500mb height: Unavailable
400mb height: Unavailable
300mb height: Unavailable
250mb height: Unavailable
200mb height: Unavailable
SPL 1915N10533W 1711 MBL WND 21025 AEV 20604 DLM WND 20526
009740 WL150 21024 075 =

1009mb winds: SSW (210°) @ 26 mph
929mb winds: SSW (205°) @ 32 mph
850mb winds: SW (215°) @ 31 mph
811mb winds: S (190°) @ 30 mph
773mb winds: SSW (200°) @ 32 mph
697mb winds: S (185°) @ 39 mph
#VALUE!

[craptacular]

58kts at FL so far.

SXXX50 KNHC 151729
AF309 0113E LANE HDOB 27 KNHC
1715. 1931N 10541W 03048 0117 213 039 086 086 039 03222 0000000000
1716 1933N 10542W 03049 0115 214 039 086 086 040 03221 0000000000
1716. 1934N 10542W 03048 0113 213 041 086 086 041 03218 0000000000
1717 1936N 10543W 03049 0112 210 040 088 088 041 03218 0000000000
1717. 1938N 10544W 03046 0109 208 042 094 090 042 03212 0000000000
1718 1939N 10545W 03050 0108 204 042 096 080 043 03215 0000000000
1718. 1941N 10546W 03048 0106 199 045 108 064 046 03211 0000000000
1719 1943N 10547W 03046 0104 203 048 110 062 048 03208 0000000000
1719. 1945N 10548W 03050 0102 201 051 110 066 052 03209 0000000000
1720 1947N 10549W 03046 0098 196 054 108 074 056 03201 0000000000
1720. 1948N 10550W 03046 0094 195 057 094 092 057 03197 0000000000
1721 1950N 10551W 03053 0089 189 056 082 082 058 03199 0000000000
1721. 1952N 10553W 03047 0085 196 052 086 086 055 03190 0000000000
1722 1954N 10554W 03047 0080 201 045 100 100 045 03184 0000000000
1722. 1955N 10555W 03048 0076 201 046 104 104 047 03181 0000000000
1723 1957N 10556W 03049 0070 200 048 106 106 049 03177 0000000000
1723. 1959N 10558W 03049 0065 200 049 112 110 051 03171 0000000000
1724 2000N 10559W 03046 0055 203 046 120 114 048 03157 0000000000
1724. 2001N 10600W 03045 0045 205 049 118 112 050 03147 0000000000
1725 2003N 10602W 03055 0032 203 050 102 102 051 03143 0000000000

[Thunder44]

[craptacular]

First VDM shortly.

SXXX50 KNHC 151739
AF309 0113E LANE HDOB 28 KNHC
1725. 2004N 10603W 03043 0020 204 039 122 122 044 03119 0000000000
1726 2005N 10605W 03051 0012 195 030 122 122 032 03120 0000000000
1726. 2006N 10607W 03048 0006 187 018 132 116 023 03111 0000000000
1727 2006N 10608W 03046 0004 195 007 138 112 011 03107 0000000000
1727. 2007N 10610W 03047 0006 032 004 136 114 007 03110 0000000000
1728 2007N 10612W 03050 0017 021 012 128 128 013 03124 0000000000
1728. 2008N 10613W 03048 0018 039 020 112 112 025 03124 0000000000
1729 2010N 10615W 03044 0022 043 034 094 094 037 03123 0000000100
1729. 2011N 10616W 03050 0037 038 038 086 086 040 03144 0000000100
1730 2012N 10617W 03052 0043 044 040 092 092 041 03152 0000000000
1730. 2013N 10619W 03046 0051 050 041 100 100 042 03153 0000000000
1731 2015N 10620W 03048 0055 060 042 090 090 043 03160 0000000000
1731. 2016N 10621W 03048 0061 068 044 094 094 047 03165 0000000000
1732 2017N 10623W 03051 0068 069 046 088 088 049 03175 0000000000
1732. 2019N 10624W 03047 0070 063 046 076 076 048 03174 0000000100
1733 2020N 10626W 03051 0073 058 041 074 074 042 03182 0000000100
1733. 2021N 10627W 03046 0075 060 043 078 078 045 03177 0000000000
1734 2023N 10628W 03048 0076 050 043 076 076 046 03181 0000000100
1734. 2024N 10630W 03044 0077 058 042 078 078 045 03178 0000000000
1735 2025N 10631W 03048 0082 061 039 084 084 040 03187 0000000000

[craptacular]

Dropsonde Observations
Storm Name: LANE (13L)
Mission Number: 01
Flight ID: AF309
Observation Number: 10
Time: 1700Z
Latitude: 20.1°N
Longitude: 106.1°W
Location: 120 mi WNW of Manzanillo, Mexico
Surface: 991 mb; Temp: 82°F; Dewpt: 80°F; SSE (150°) @ 56 mph
#VALUE!
925mb height: 2014 ft; Temp: 76°F; Dewpt: 74°F; S (170°) @ 55 mph
850mb height: 4442 ft; Temp: 69°F; Dewpt: 66°F; S (185°) @ 52 mph
700mb height: 9905 ft; Temp: 54°F; Dewpt: 54°F; SSW (200°) @ 41 mph
500mb height: Unavailable
400mb height: Unavailable
300mb height: Unavailable
250mb height: Unavailable
200mb height: Unavailable
MXWNDBND SPL 2012N10606W 1729 MBL WND 16050 AEV 20604 DLM W
ND 18044 991722 WL150 15557 075 =

991mb winds: SSE (150°) @ 56 mph
982mb winds: SSE (155°) @ 70 mph
971mb winds: SSE (160°) @ 55 mph
850mb winds: S (185°) @ 52 mph
698mb winds: SSW (200°) @ 41 mph
#VALUE!

[Thunder44]

[craptacular]

989 mb ... closed wall, well-defined banding

URPN12 KNHC 151747
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 15/17:27:00Z
B. 20 deg 06 min N
106 deg 10 min W
C. 700 mb 3015 m
D. 60 kt
E. 123 deg 012 nm
F. 190 deg 058 kt
G. 132 deg 024 nm
H. 989 mb
I. 9 C/ 3042 m
J. 14 C/ 3049 m
K. 11 C/ NA
L. CLOSED WALL
M. C9
N. 12345/ 7
O. 0.02 / 1 nm
P. AF309 0113E LANE OB 09
MAX FL WIND 58 KT E QUAD 17:20:30 Z
WELL DEFINED BANDING ON RADAR

[craptacular]

SXXX50 KNHC 151749
AF309 0113E LANE HDOB 29 KNHC
1735. 2026N 10632W 03049 0085 068 032 092 092 035 03190 0000000000
1736 2028N 10634W 03052 0087 080 036 096 096 038 03195 0000000000
1736. 2029N 10635W 03047 0090 079 037 102 102 038 03194 0000000000
1737 2031N 10637W 03047 0093 075 036 100 100 037 03197 0000000000
1737. 2032N 10638W 03047 0093 079 038 106 102 040 03197 0000000000
1738 2033N 10640W 03048 0098 080 033 100 100 037 03203 0000000000
1738. 2035N 10641W 03048 0099 080 024 110 102 025 03205 0000000000
1739 2036N 10642W 03048 0100 075 026 110 098 028 03205 0000000000
1739. 2037N 10644W 03048 0102 096 027 108 094 028 03206 0000000000
1740 2039N 10645W 03049 0103 101 029 102 094 030 03209 0000000000
1740. 2040N 10647W 03049 0104 102 032 102 096 032 03210 0000000000
1741 2042N 10648W 03046 0105 102 031 102 102 032 03208 0000000000
1741. 2043N 10650W 03048 0106 101 028 100 100 028 03211 0000000000
1742 2045N 10651W 03049 0106 102 028 100 100 030 03213 0000000000
1742. 2046N 10653W 03048 0107 099 027 100 100 028 03212 0000000000
1743 2047N 10654W 03049 0108 099 026 098 098 027 03214 0000000000
1743. 2049N 10656W 03048 0108 097 026 098 098 027 03213 0000000000
1744 2050N 10657W 03048 0110 092 024 098 094 026 03214 0000000000
1744. 2051N 10658W 03048 0110 087 023 094 094 023 03215 0000000000
1745 2053N 10700W 03047 0111 088 021 094 094 022 03214 0000000000