Hurricane Helene,Analysis,Sat Pics,Models Thread #2

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#41 Postby Bgator » Sat Sep 16, 2006 11:14 pm

I see it does that little stair step near 60 W, or tahsthat it looks like so far...It head NW at 90hrs, but its does that in the 18Z model to...
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#42 Postby cycloneye » Sat Sep 16, 2006 11:16 pm

00z GFS Loop at 120 Hours
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#43 Postby Lowpressure » Sat Sep 16, 2006 11:16 pm

I think we may see a classic stair step scenario setting up.
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#44 Postby HDGator » Sat Sep 16, 2006 11:16 pm

Opal storm wrote:
HDGator wrote:
cycloneye wrote:00z GFS Loop at 90 Hours


Still trending the wrong direction.
Notice that cold front it has emerging off the EC,that front will protect the U.S.


Notice that the trough isn't digging as far south as in the 18z run.
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#45 Postby HurricaneBelle » Sat Sep 16, 2006 11:18 pm



And notice the system following behind at 13N 35W....interesting.
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#46 Postby JonathanBelles » Sat Sep 16, 2006 11:18 pm

looks like the cold front disipates
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#47 Postby pgoss11 » Sat Sep 16, 2006 11:19 pm

Do you think Helene will be too far south for the trough to pick her up On 120 hr GFS
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#48 Postby Lowpressure » Sat Sep 16, 2006 11:20 pm

pgoss11 wrote:Do you think Helene will be too far south for the trough to pick her up On 120 hr GFS


It appears that way combined with the fact the weakness is not as substantial as models projected.
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#49 Postby ROCK » Sat Sep 16, 2006 11:21 pm

HDGator wrote:
Opal storm wrote:
HDGator wrote:
cycloneye wrote:00z GFS Loop at 90 Hours


Still trending the wrong direction.
Notice that cold front it has emerging off the EC,that front will protect the U.S.


Notice that the trough isn't digging as far south as in the 18z run.



no its not.. With high pressure building in behind it...I expect even further west as the GFS keeps rolling in....interesting days ahead we have here.
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#50 Postby pgoss11 » Sat Sep 16, 2006 11:21 pm

Wow that's unfortunate
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#51 Postby cycloneye » Sat Sep 16, 2006 11:24 pm

00z GFS Loop at 144 Hours
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#52 Postby Scorpion » Sat Sep 16, 2006 11:27 pm

Pretty disturbing scenario. Strengthening and headed west towards Florida.
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#53 Postby Bgator » Sat Sep 16, 2006 11:28 pm

It has a pretty big high over it nearing the bahamas...Next trof in mid west at that point...
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#54 Postby HurricaneBelle » Sat Sep 16, 2006 11:29 pm

Scorpion wrote:Pretty disturbing scenario. Strengthening and headed west towards Florida.

With apologies to Paul McCartney, she could be Helene Wheels.
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#55 Postby Scorpion » Sat Sep 16, 2006 11:29 pm

Seems pretty Floyd-like to me.
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#56 Postby Praxus » Sat Sep 16, 2006 11:31 pm

HurricaneBelle wrote:


And notice the system following behind at 13N 35W....interesting.


Yep looks like we may have something else to consider soon, although it looks like its headed due north at the last few frames.
Last edited by Praxus on Sat Sep 16, 2006 11:32 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#57 Postby cycloneye » Sat Sep 16, 2006 11:32 pm

00z GFS Loop at 156 Hours
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#58 Postby Bgator » Sat Sep 16, 2006 11:32 pm

WOAH....1028MB high coming off east coast...thast pretty dang strong...I realize that this is very far out though...THings will change...
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#59 Postby Thunder44 » Sat Sep 16, 2006 11:33 pm

Trof in Midwest digging and beginning to tilt negative.
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#60 Postby JonathanBelles » Sat Sep 16, 2006 11:34 pm

when will this be closest to florida? btw i dont see a turn in that forecast yet.
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