Hurricane Helene,Analysis,Sat Pics,Models Thread #2

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HurricaneHunter914
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#141 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Sun Sep 17, 2006 8:17 am

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/catl/wv-l.jpg

I'm kinda suprised she strengthened at all with all that dry air ahead of her.
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#142 Postby WeatherTracker » Sun Sep 17, 2006 8:20 am

HurricaneHunter914 wrote:http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/catl/wv-l.jpg

I'm kinda suprised she strengthened at all with all that dry air ahead of her.


she is trying her best...She was only 85mph at 5am and at 11am we could have a 100mph hurricane...that is a 15mph jump....that is pretty good with all of that dry air....
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#143 Postby jusforsean » Sun Sep 17, 2006 8:26 am

HurricaneHunter914 wrote:http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/catl/wv-l.jpg

I'm kinda suprised she strengthened at all with all that dry air ahead of her.

o.k., looking at that picture, I am wondering: Shes kinda out there on her own with no visable steering current I see Gordon above and a front off the east. Once she reached that area will she be drawn twords that space or will the front be gone and gordon be gone by then? What is currently steering her?
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#144 Postby wxwatcher91 » Sun Sep 17, 2006 8:31 am

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION..UPDATED LONG TERM HAZARD DISC..
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
527 AM EDT SUN SEP 17 2006

<snip>
OF POSSIBLY GREATER IMPORTANCE IN THE LONG TERM...HELENES TRACK...
ALREADY SIGN FM THE GFS THAT SOME OF HER INFLUENCE OF INCREASED
SWELL AND RIP CURRENT POTENTIAL TOWARD NEXT WEEKEND.
<snip>
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#145 Postby Sanibel » Sun Sep 17, 2006 8:39 am

Another donut like Gordon taking shape. Hasn't blown stack yet.

Moving above 20N before 50W.
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#146 Postby wxman57 » Sun Sep 17, 2006 8:44 am

I made a 12Z model plot. As usual, minus the BAM runs, LBAR, climo, and extrapolated tracks. Only the dynamic models are shown. The two tracks west of 60W (before recurve) are variations of the GFS. Good news is that the GFS has given up on an east coast threat and now recurves Helene east of Bermuda.

Oops! Had the wrong link in there.
Image
Last edited by wxman57 on Sun Sep 17, 2006 9:03 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#147 Postby cycloneye » Sun Sep 17, 2006 8:46 am

wxman57,now Helene is easy to track.You dont have to post the images with the L's or symbols. :)
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#148 Postby HURAKAN » Sun Sep 17, 2006 8:49 am

Image

Looking great!!! Luis, I think the center is right in the middle of the eye!!!
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#149 Postby Dean4Storms » Sun Sep 17, 2006 8:50 am

cycloneye wrote:wxman57,now Helene is easy to track.You dont have to post the images with the L's or symbols. :)



You know there's probably one out there though Luis!!

:lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol:
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#150 Postby HURAKAN » Sun Sep 17, 2006 8:54 am

17/1145 UTC 20.2N 48.2W T5.0/5.0 08L -- Atlantic Ocean

90 knots - 105 mph. Sounds right!!!
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#151 Postby Recurve » Sun Sep 17, 2006 9:01 am

WXMAN or mod -- Might want to edit that post above with the model plot link to have "url" instead of "img" tags.
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#152 Postby wxman57 » Sun Sep 17, 2006 9:04 am

cycloneye wrote:wxman57,now Helene is easy to track.You dont have to post the images with the L's or symbols. :)


Can you find the center now?
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#153 Postby wxman57 » Sun Sep 17, 2006 9:08 am

Recurve wrote:WXMAN or mod -- Might want to edit that post above with the model plot link to have "url" instead of "img" tags.


I did. Was in a hurry as I stepped away from my desk and I pasted the wrong link in there.
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#154 Postby WeatherTracker » Sun Sep 17, 2006 9:10 am

models from accuweather pro show some west movement in the next 24-36 hours....
Last edited by WeatherTracker on Sun Sep 17, 2006 9:30 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#155 Postby Evil Jeremy » Sun Sep 17, 2006 9:13 am

WeatherTracker wrote:Image

Latest Models From Accuweather Pro.


oh sh*t
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#156 Postby WeatherTracker » Sun Sep 17, 2006 9:13 am

oh sh*t


I know.... :lol: :lol:
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#157 Postby storms in NC » Sun Sep 17, 2006 9:18 am

http://iwave.rsmas.miami.edu/surf/images/tanal.1.gif
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#158 Postby WeatherTracker » Sun Sep 17, 2006 9:18 am

Image

stadium effect?
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#159 Postby Evil Jeremy » Sun Sep 17, 2006 9:20 am

its not heading west its not heading west its not heading west :eek:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/catl/loop-vis.html
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#160 Postby HURAKAN » Sun Sep 17, 2006 9:20 am

Image

I still don't see the need to panic!
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