9-22-06 Mid Mississippi Valley Tornado Outbreak
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.
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Nate-Gillson
- Tropical Storm
- Posts: 133
- Age: 39
- Joined: Sun Aug 22, 2004 8:27 pm
- Location: Cedar Rapids, Iowa
-
CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34002
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2011
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0508 PM CDT FRI SEP 22 2006
AREAS AFFECTED...ERN MO...SRN/CENTRAL...WRN KY AND SWRN IND
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 788...790...
VALID 222208Z - 230015Z
CLUSTER OF TORNADIC SUPERCELLS /SOME LIKELY SIGNIFICANT/ WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE EWD AROUND 40 KTS ACROSS MUCH OF THE SRN HALF OF WW
788 /SCENTRAL/SERN MO AND SRN IL/ AND ACROSS WRN KY AND EVENTUALLY
SWRN IND /WW 790/ OVER THE NEXT 2 HRS.
RECENT RADAR IMAGERY FROM STL AND PAH INDICATED SEVERAL STRONGLY
ROTATING SUPERCELLS. ENVIRONMENT OVER THE REGION REMAINS EXTREMELY
FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES /0-1 KM SRH UP TO 350 M2/S2/ WITH A FEW DMGG
TORNADOES POSSIBLE. MOST FAVORABLE LOCATION OF SIG TORNADO POTENTIAL
APPEARS TO BE OVER FAR WRN KY AND SRN IL WHERE STRONGEST LOW LEVEL
SHEAR /0-1 KM SRH AROUND 350 M2/S2 AND PRESSURE FALLS /2-3 MB/2 HR/
EXIST. AS SUPERCELLS CONTINUE TO MOVE FAIRLY RAPIDLY EWD THROUGH WRN
KY AND INTO SWRN IND/SERN IL...THEY WILL ENCOUNTER MORE STABLE
AIRMASS NORTH OF A WARM FRONT EXTENDING FROM NEAR MVN TO SOUTH OF
EVV TO NEAR BWG. THIS BOUNDARY SHOULD CONTINUE TO LIFT SLOWLY NWD
AND SUPPORT A DEVELOPING TORNADO THREAT INTO SERN IL/SWRN IND IN THE
NEXT FEW HRS AS LOW LEVEL JET INCREASES. HOWEVER THE SVR THREAT IS
ANTICIPATED TO REMAIN LIMITED INTO CENTRAL KY AND THE REST OF SRN
IND.
FURTHER NORTH...THERE APPEARS TO BE A LIMITED SHORT TERM THREAT OF
SVR WEATHER IN THE IMMEDIATE STL AREA/ECENTRAL MO...AS VIS SAT
IMAGERY SHOWS NO APPARENT TOWERING CU ALONG THE SFC CONFLUENCE
BOUNDARY EXTENDING ACROSS CENTRAL MO. HOWEVER ISOLATED SUPERCELLS
WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ALONG THE CONFLUENCE TROUGH OVER CENTRAL
IL. SOMEWHAT WEAKER LOW LEVEL SHEAR /0-1 KM SRH AROUND 250 M2/S2/
WILL STILL BE SUPPORTIVE OF TORNADIC POTENTIAL.
..CROSBIE.. 09/22/2006
ATTN...WFO...LMK...IND...PAH...ILX...MEG...LSX...SGF...
40278819 40318995 40149076 39479160 38279209 37049260
36619248 36619014 36678849 36698761 36808741 38518704
38608858
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0508 PM CDT FRI SEP 22 2006
AREAS AFFECTED...ERN MO...SRN/CENTRAL...WRN KY AND SWRN IND
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 788...790...
VALID 222208Z - 230015Z
CLUSTER OF TORNADIC SUPERCELLS /SOME LIKELY SIGNIFICANT/ WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE EWD AROUND 40 KTS ACROSS MUCH OF THE SRN HALF OF WW
788 /SCENTRAL/SERN MO AND SRN IL/ AND ACROSS WRN KY AND EVENTUALLY
SWRN IND /WW 790/ OVER THE NEXT 2 HRS.
RECENT RADAR IMAGERY FROM STL AND PAH INDICATED SEVERAL STRONGLY
ROTATING SUPERCELLS. ENVIRONMENT OVER THE REGION REMAINS EXTREMELY
FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES /0-1 KM SRH UP TO 350 M2/S2/ WITH A FEW DMGG
TORNADOES POSSIBLE. MOST FAVORABLE LOCATION OF SIG TORNADO POTENTIAL
APPEARS TO BE OVER FAR WRN KY AND SRN IL WHERE STRONGEST LOW LEVEL
SHEAR /0-1 KM SRH AROUND 350 M2/S2 AND PRESSURE FALLS /2-3 MB/2 HR/
EXIST. AS SUPERCELLS CONTINUE TO MOVE FAIRLY RAPIDLY EWD THROUGH WRN
KY AND INTO SWRN IND/SERN IL...THEY WILL ENCOUNTER MORE STABLE
AIRMASS NORTH OF A WARM FRONT EXTENDING FROM NEAR MVN TO SOUTH OF
EVV TO NEAR BWG. THIS BOUNDARY SHOULD CONTINUE TO LIFT SLOWLY NWD
AND SUPPORT A DEVELOPING TORNADO THREAT INTO SERN IL/SWRN IND IN THE
NEXT FEW HRS AS LOW LEVEL JET INCREASES. HOWEVER THE SVR THREAT IS
ANTICIPATED TO REMAIN LIMITED INTO CENTRAL KY AND THE REST OF SRN
IND.
FURTHER NORTH...THERE APPEARS TO BE A LIMITED SHORT TERM THREAT OF
SVR WEATHER IN THE IMMEDIATE STL AREA/ECENTRAL MO...AS VIS SAT
IMAGERY SHOWS NO APPARENT TOWERING CU ALONG THE SFC CONFLUENCE
BOUNDARY EXTENDING ACROSS CENTRAL MO. HOWEVER ISOLATED SUPERCELLS
WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ALONG THE CONFLUENCE TROUGH OVER CENTRAL
IL. SOMEWHAT WEAKER LOW LEVEL SHEAR /0-1 KM SRH AROUND 250 M2/S2/
WILL STILL BE SUPPORTIVE OF TORNADIC POTENTIAL.
..CROSBIE.. 09/22/2006
ATTN...WFO...LMK...IND...PAH...ILX...MEG...LSX...SGF...
40278819 40318995 40149076 39479160 38279209 37049260
36619248 36619014 36678849 36698761 36808741 38518704
38608858
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Look out, Chicagoland!
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
600 PM CDT FRI SEP 22 2006
ILC031-222345-
/O.CON.KLOT.TO.W.0035.000000T0000Z-060922T2345Z/
COOK IL-
600 PM CDT FRI SEP 22 2006
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 645 PM CDT FOR NORTHERN
COOK COUNTY...
AT 555 PM CDT...WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WITH STRONG ROTATION NEAR NILES...MOVING EAST
AT 30 MPH.
THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
SKOKIE...AND LINCOLNWOOD BY 600 PM...
WILMETTE HARBOR...WILMETTE...KENILWORTH BY 605 PM...
ROGERS PARK...AND EVANSTON BY 610 PM...
MONTROSE HARBOR BY 615 PM...
AT 555 PM CDT...A TORNADO WAS REPORTED BY THE PUBLIC NEAR PARK
RIDGE. ALSO...STATE POLICE REPORTED TRAFFIC STOPPED ON I-294 NEAR
OHARE AIRPORT DUE TO ZERO VISIBILITY...HAIL AND HIGH WINDS.
THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.
IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.
A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM FRIDAY EVENING FOR
NORTHEASTERN ILLINOIS.
LAT...LON 4207 8795 4193 8791 4195 8740 4222 8747
$$
KREIN/MERZLOCK
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
600 PM CDT FRI SEP 22 2006
ILC031-222345-
/O.CON.KLOT.TO.W.0035.000000T0000Z-060922T2345Z/
COOK IL-
600 PM CDT FRI SEP 22 2006
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 645 PM CDT FOR NORTHERN
COOK COUNTY...
AT 555 PM CDT...WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WITH STRONG ROTATION NEAR NILES...MOVING EAST
AT 30 MPH.
THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
SKOKIE...AND LINCOLNWOOD BY 600 PM...
WILMETTE HARBOR...WILMETTE...KENILWORTH BY 605 PM...
ROGERS PARK...AND EVANSTON BY 610 PM...
MONTROSE HARBOR BY 615 PM...
AT 555 PM CDT...A TORNADO WAS REPORTED BY THE PUBLIC NEAR PARK
RIDGE. ALSO...STATE POLICE REPORTED TRAFFIC STOPPED ON I-294 NEAR
OHARE AIRPORT DUE TO ZERO VISIBILITY...HAIL AND HIGH WINDS.
THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.
IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.
A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM FRIDAY EVENING FOR
NORTHEASTERN ILLINOIS.
LAT...LON 4207 8795 4193 8791 4195 8740 4222 8747
$$
KREIN/MERZLOCK
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CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34002
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
PDS 786 to end at 7pm CDT - needs to be replaced, possibly by another PDS.
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2013
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0558 PM CDT FRI SEP 22 2006
AREAS AFFECTED...ERN OK INTO AR
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY
VALID 222258Z - 230030Z
TORNADO WATCH 786 EXPIRES AT 00Z...BUT ANOTHER ONE WILL BE
NEEDED...MAINLY FOR AREAS N OF INTERSTATE 40. TORNADO WATCH 787
WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT THROUGH 02Z IN ECNTRL OK...NWRN AR AND PARTS
OF SWRN MO.
MESOANALYSIS SHOWS A DRYLINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR KSGF SWWD INTO
SCNTRL OK. THE DRYLINE HAS BEEN ESSENTIALLY INERT WITH MAIN
CONVECTIVE INITIATION OCCURRING WITH THE HORIZONTAL CONVECTIVE ROLLS
DEEPLY IN THE WARM SECTOR ACROSS NRN AR. THESE STORMS APPEAR TO BE
FAVORING NORTHERN EDGE OF A SFC THERMAL RIDGE AND ALONG A WARM FRONT
SITUATED ALONG THE AR/MO BORDER.
SHORT TERM MODELS SUGGEST THAT THE PRIMARY INITIATION ZONE SHOULD
REMAIN FROM ECNTRL OK NEWD INTO NRN AR. BUT...THERE MAY BE A
TENDENCY FOR BACKBUILDING STORMS INTO CNTRL AR AND ALONG THE DRYLINE
IN ERN/SRN OK AS THE NEXT UPSTREAM IMPULSE DIGS SEWD TOWARD THE
REGION LATER THIS EVENING.
TSTMS WILL BE EMBEDDED WITHIN A STRONGLY SHEARED AIR MASS WITH
STRONG LOW-LEVEL HELICITY...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE AR/MO BORDER AREA.
PRIND THAT AREAS FROM INTERSTATE 40 NWD WILL NEED ANOTHER WW BY 00Z.
S OF I-40...TSTM COVERAGE OUGHT TO REMAIN LIMITED.
..RACY.. 09/22/2006
ATTN...WFO...MEG...LZK...SHV...TSA...OUN...
34579595 36039440 36339187 36279028 35319037 34509122
34099244 33999443 34389598
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2013
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0558 PM CDT FRI SEP 22 2006
AREAS AFFECTED...ERN OK INTO AR
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY
VALID 222258Z - 230030Z
TORNADO WATCH 786 EXPIRES AT 00Z...BUT ANOTHER ONE WILL BE
NEEDED...MAINLY FOR AREAS N OF INTERSTATE 40. TORNADO WATCH 787
WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT THROUGH 02Z IN ECNTRL OK...NWRN AR AND PARTS
OF SWRN MO.
MESOANALYSIS SHOWS A DRYLINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR KSGF SWWD INTO
SCNTRL OK. THE DRYLINE HAS BEEN ESSENTIALLY INERT WITH MAIN
CONVECTIVE INITIATION OCCURRING WITH THE HORIZONTAL CONVECTIVE ROLLS
DEEPLY IN THE WARM SECTOR ACROSS NRN AR. THESE STORMS APPEAR TO BE
FAVORING NORTHERN EDGE OF A SFC THERMAL RIDGE AND ALONG A WARM FRONT
SITUATED ALONG THE AR/MO BORDER.
SHORT TERM MODELS SUGGEST THAT THE PRIMARY INITIATION ZONE SHOULD
REMAIN FROM ECNTRL OK NEWD INTO NRN AR. BUT...THERE MAY BE A
TENDENCY FOR BACKBUILDING STORMS INTO CNTRL AR AND ALONG THE DRYLINE
IN ERN/SRN OK AS THE NEXT UPSTREAM IMPULSE DIGS SEWD TOWARD THE
REGION LATER THIS EVENING.
TSTMS WILL BE EMBEDDED WITHIN A STRONGLY SHEARED AIR MASS WITH
STRONG LOW-LEVEL HELICITY...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE AR/MO BORDER AREA.
PRIND THAT AREAS FROM INTERSTATE 40 NWD WILL NEED ANOTHER WW BY 00Z.
S OF I-40...TSTM COVERAGE OUGHT TO REMAIN LIMITED.
..RACY.. 09/22/2006
ATTN...WFO...MEG...LZK...SHV...TSA...OUN...
34579595 36039440 36339187 36279028 35319037 34509122
34099244 33999443 34389598
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TORNADO WARNING TULSA OK - KTSA 610 PM CDT FRI SEP 22 2006 -
Nate-Gillson
- Tropical Storm
- Posts: 133
- Age: 39
- Joined: Sun Aug 22, 2004 8:27 pm
- Location: Cedar Rapids, Iowa
I just listened to KFVS. But broadcast is almost down. Can you confirm messages a complete town blown away ?
News from a village called La Motte, MO ???. One house between uprooted trees. Nearly no tree OK - but the houseowners obviously had look. Looks like a massive downburst
News from a village called La Motte, MO ???. One house between uprooted trees. Nearly no tree OK - but the houseowners obviously had look. Looks like a massive downburst
Last edited by Bunkertor on Fri Sep 22, 2006 6:40 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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-
Nate-Gillson
- Tropical Storm
- Posts: 133
- Age: 39
- Joined: Sun Aug 22, 2004 8:27 pm
- Location: Cedar Rapids, Iowa
-
Nate-Gillson
- Tropical Storm
- Posts: 133
- Age: 39
- Joined: Sun Aug 22, 2004 8:27 pm
- Location: Cedar Rapids, Iowa
-
CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34002
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
NEW WATCH - TOR 792 to replace PDS TOR 786
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 792
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
630 PM CDT FRI SEP 22 2006
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST ARKANSAS
THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL
NORTHWEST TENNESSEE
EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING FROM 630 PM
UNTIL 200 AM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 140 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
WALNUT RIDGE ARKANSAS TO 30 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BATESVILLE
ARKANSAS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES TORNADO
WATCH NUMBER 786. WATCH NUMBER 786 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER
630 PM CDT. CONTINUE...WW 787...WW 788...WW 789...WW 790...WW
791...
DISCUSSION...CLUSTERS OF SUPERCELLS WILL PERSIST THROUGH EARLY
TONIGHT ACROSS NRN AR/NW TN...ALONG THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES FROM
PREVIOUS CONVECTION. A FEED OF RICH LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE FROM THE S
AND SW /LOW 70 DEWPOINTS/ AND MODERATE INSTABILITY SHOULD MAINTAIN
INTENSE CONVECTION WILL INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. ALSO...VERTICAL
SHEAR REMAINS FAVORABLE FOR PERSISTENT SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL...AND DAMAGING GUSTS.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26035.
...THOMPSON
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 792
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
630 PM CDT FRI SEP 22 2006
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST ARKANSAS
THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL
NORTHWEST TENNESSEE
EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING FROM 630 PM
UNTIL 200 AM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 140 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
WALNUT RIDGE ARKANSAS TO 30 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BATESVILLE
ARKANSAS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES TORNADO
WATCH NUMBER 786. WATCH NUMBER 786 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER
630 PM CDT. CONTINUE...WW 787...WW 788...WW 789...WW 790...WW
791...
DISCUSSION...CLUSTERS OF SUPERCELLS WILL PERSIST THROUGH EARLY
TONIGHT ACROSS NRN AR/NW TN...ALONG THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES FROM
PREVIOUS CONVECTION. A FEED OF RICH LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE FROM THE S
AND SW /LOW 70 DEWPOINTS/ AND MODERATE INSTABILITY SHOULD MAINTAIN
INTENSE CONVECTION WILL INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. ALSO...VERTICAL
SHEAR REMAINS FAVORABLE FOR PERSISTENT SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL...AND DAMAGING GUSTS.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26035.
...THOMPSON
Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.
WOUS64 KWNS 222325
WOU2
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 792
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
630 PM CDT FRI SEP 22 2006
TORNADO WATCH 792 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 AM CDT FOR THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS
ARC005-009-021-023-031-049-055-063-065-067-071-075-089-093-101-
111-115-121-129-135-137-141-230700-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0792.060922T2330Z-060923T0700Z/
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAXTER BOONE CLAY
CLEBURNE CRAIGHEAD FULTON
GREENE INDEPENDENCE IZARD
JACKSON JOHNSON LAWRENCE
MARION MISSISSIPPI NEWTON
POINSETT POPE RANDOLPH
SEARCY SHARP STONE
VAN BUREN
MOC069-155-230700-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0792.060922T2330Z-060923T0700Z/
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DUNKLIN PEMISCOT
TNC017-033-045-053-075-079-095-097-113-131-167-183-230700-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0792.060922T2330Z-060923T0700Z/
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CARROLL CROCKETT DYER
GIBSON HAYWOOD HENRY
LAKE LAUDERDALE MADISON
OBION TIPTON WEAKLEY
ATTN...WFO...LZK...MEG...
Note: The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area. The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW2
WW 792 TORNADO AR MO TN 222330Z - 230700Z
AXIS..140 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
30NNE ARG/WALNUT RIDGE AR/ - 30SE BVX/BATESVILLE AR/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 120NM E/W /28NNE ARG - 44SSW ARG/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26035.
REPLACES WW 786..AR MO MS TN
LAT...LON 36508819 35408879 35409376 36509323
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU2.
Watch 792 Status Report Message has not been issued yet.
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 792
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
630 PM CDT FRI SEP 22 2006
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST ARKANSAS
THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL
NORTHWEST TENNESSEE
EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING FROM 630 PM
UNTIL 200 AM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 140 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
WALNUT RIDGE ARKANSAS TO 30 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BATESVILLE
ARKANSAS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES TORNADO
WATCH NUMBER 786. WATCH NUMBER 786 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER
630 PM CDT. CONTINUE...WW 787...WW 788...WW 789...WW 790...WW
791...
DISCUSSION...CLUSTERS OF SUPERCELLS WILL PERSIST THROUGH EARLY
TONIGHT ACROSS NRN AR/NW TN...ALONG THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES FROM
PREVIOUS CONVECTION. A FEED OF RICH LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE FROM THE S
AND SW /LOW 70 DEWPOINTS/ AND MODERATE INSTABILITY SHOULD MAINTAIN
INTENSE CONVECTION WILL INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. ALSO...VERTICAL
SHEAR REMAINS FAVORABLE FOR PERSISTENT SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL...AND DAMAGING GUSTS.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26035.
...THOMPSON
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 792
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
630 PM CDT FRI SEP 22 2006
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST ARKANSAS
THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL
NORTHWEST TENNESSEE
EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING FROM 630 PM
UNTIL 200 AM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 140 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
WALNUT RIDGE ARKANSAS TO 30 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BATESVILLE
ARKANSAS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES TORNADO
WATCH NUMBER 786. WATCH NUMBER 786 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER
630 PM CDT. CONTINUE...WW 787...WW 788...WW 789...WW 790...WW
791...
DISCUSSION...CLUSTERS OF SUPERCELLS WILL PERSIST THROUGH EARLY
TONIGHT ACROSS NRN AR/NW TN...ALONG THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES FROM
PREVIOUS CONVECTION. A FEED OF RICH LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE FROM THE S
AND SW /LOW 70 DEWPOINTS/ AND MODERATE INSTABILITY SHOULD MAINTAIN
INTENSE CONVECTION WILL INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. ALSO...VERTICAL
SHEAR REMAINS FAVORABLE FOR PERSISTENT SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL...AND DAMAGING GUSTS.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26035.
...THOMPSON
Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.
WOUS64 KWNS 222325
WOU2
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 792
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
630 PM CDT FRI SEP 22 2006
TORNADO WATCH 792 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 AM CDT FOR THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS
ARC005-009-021-023-031-049-055-063-065-067-071-075-089-093-101-
111-115-121-129-135-137-141-230700-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0792.060922T2330Z-060923T0700Z/
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAXTER BOONE CLAY
CLEBURNE CRAIGHEAD FULTON
GREENE INDEPENDENCE IZARD
JACKSON JOHNSON LAWRENCE
MARION MISSISSIPPI NEWTON
POINSETT POPE RANDOLPH
SEARCY SHARP STONE
VAN BUREN
MOC069-155-230700-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0792.060922T2330Z-060923T0700Z/
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DUNKLIN PEMISCOT
TNC017-033-045-053-075-079-095-097-113-131-167-183-230700-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0792.060922T2330Z-060923T0700Z/
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CARROLL CROCKETT DYER
GIBSON HAYWOOD HENRY
LAKE LAUDERDALE MADISON
OBION TIPTON WEAKLEY
ATTN...WFO...LZK...MEG...
Note: The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area. The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW2
WW 792 TORNADO AR MO TN 222330Z - 230700Z
AXIS..140 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
30NNE ARG/WALNUT RIDGE AR/ - 30SE BVX/BATESVILLE AR/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 120NM E/W /28NNE ARG - 44SSW ARG/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26035.
REPLACES WW 786..AR MO MS TN
LAT...LON 36508819 35408879 35409376 36509323
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU2.
Watch 792 Status Report Message has not been issued yet.
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CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34002
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2014
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0615 PM CDT FRI SEP 22 2006
AREAS AFFECTED...NERN MS AND NRN AL
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 789...
VALID 222315Z - 230015Z
TORNADO WATCH 789 EXPIRES AT 00Z...BUT MAY BE LOCALLY EXTENDED FOR A
LINGERING TORNADO THREAT FOR A COUPLE OF HOURS BY THE LOCAL WEATHER
FORECAST OFFICES.
CLUSTER OF STRONG-SEVERE TSTMS HAS BEEN WEAKENING ACROSS NRN AL
SINCE 2230Z WITH OTHER ISOLD SUPERCELLS MOVING NWD ALONG THE TN/AL
BORDER. THESE STORMS APPEAR TO BE THRIVING ALONG ERN EDGE OF THE
LLJ CORE THAT SHOULD BEGIN TO SHIFT WWD AS THE NEXT IMPULSE DIGS
SEWD INTO THE SRN PLAINS. UNTIL THEN...TSTMS CONTINUING ALONG THE
RETURNING MARINE/WARM FRONT ACROSS NCNTRL/NERN AL MAY PRODUCE
TORNADOES ALONG WITH DAMAGING WINDS.
GIVEN THE ANTICIPATED SHORT TIME FRAME OF THE LINGERING THREAT...A
NEW WW DOES NOT SEEM NECESSARY. BUT...A COUPLE OF HOURS EXTENSION
OF THE CURRENT WATCH WOULD BE A VIABLE OPTION.
..RACY.. 09/22/2006
ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...MEG...JAN...
34928917 34828741 34348623 33778624 33468708 33948969
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0615 PM CDT FRI SEP 22 2006
AREAS AFFECTED...NERN MS AND NRN AL
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 789...
VALID 222315Z - 230015Z
TORNADO WATCH 789 EXPIRES AT 00Z...BUT MAY BE LOCALLY EXTENDED FOR A
LINGERING TORNADO THREAT FOR A COUPLE OF HOURS BY THE LOCAL WEATHER
FORECAST OFFICES.
CLUSTER OF STRONG-SEVERE TSTMS HAS BEEN WEAKENING ACROSS NRN AL
SINCE 2230Z WITH OTHER ISOLD SUPERCELLS MOVING NWD ALONG THE TN/AL
BORDER. THESE STORMS APPEAR TO BE THRIVING ALONG ERN EDGE OF THE
LLJ CORE THAT SHOULD BEGIN TO SHIFT WWD AS THE NEXT IMPULSE DIGS
SEWD INTO THE SRN PLAINS. UNTIL THEN...TSTMS CONTINUING ALONG THE
RETURNING MARINE/WARM FRONT ACROSS NCNTRL/NERN AL MAY PRODUCE
TORNADOES ALONG WITH DAMAGING WINDS.
GIVEN THE ANTICIPATED SHORT TIME FRAME OF THE LINGERING THREAT...A
NEW WW DOES NOT SEEM NECESSARY. BUT...A COUPLE OF HOURS EXTENSION
OF THE CURRENT WATCH WOULD BE A VIABLE OPTION.
..RACY.. 09/22/2006
ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...MEG...JAN...
34928917 34828741 34348623 33778624 33468708 33948969
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