CPAC -- Invest 96C

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Cyclenall
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CPAC -- Invest 96C

#1 Postby Cyclenall » Wed Sep 27, 2006 3:27 pm

96C.Invest is up on the NRL for the Central Pacific ocean:

Link: http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html

CPHC wrote:1000 AM HST WED SEP 27 2006

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

Showers and thunderstorms about 950 miles southeast of Hilo have weakened over the past six hours. However, the latest quikscat pass does show low level troughing in the region. The area will be monitored for any development.
Elsewhere, no tropical cyclones are expected through Friday morning.
Last edited by Cyclenall on Wed Sep 27, 2006 3:31 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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WmE
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#2 Postby WmE » Wed Sep 27, 2006 3:30 pm

Well, maybe we have another TD dying after a few advisories. 8-)
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#3 Postby Cyclenall » Wed Sep 27, 2006 3:35 pm

WmE wrote:Well, maybe we have another TD dying after a few advisories. 8-)

Can you say boring? TD3-C crossed over to the Wpac and weakened into a low which now looks better then it ever has :lol: .
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#4 Postby WindRunner » Wed Sep 27, 2006 10:12 pm

If a fourth system were to form in the CPAC, it would be the first time since 1982 that the basin has had 4 homegrown systems. That year, all four were named.


It does appear unlikely that 96C will make #4, though, as SHIPS, which has been very bullish on CPAC systems (with the exception of Ioke) is barely bringing it to TS strength.

DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO TPC/NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES.

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER CENTRAL PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

DISTURBANCE INVEST (CP962006) ON 20060928 0000 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
060928 0000 060928 1200 060929 0000 060929 1200

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 10.4N 144.9W 11.3N 146.9W 12.2N 148.2W 13.1N 149.1W
BAMM 10.4N 144.9W 11.3N 147.4W 12.2N 149.0W 13.0N 150.2W
LBAR 10.4N 144.9W 10.9N 146.7W 11.6N 148.6W 12.5N 150.3W
SHIP 20KTS 28KTS 35KTS 36KTS
DSHP 20KTS 28KTS 35KTS 36KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
060930 0000 061001 0000 061002 0000 061003 0000

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 13.9N 149.7W 14.5N 151.0W 14.7N 153.2W 14.9N 155.3W
BAMM 13.6N 151.3W 14.3N 154.0W 15.2N 157.7W 16.7N 161.4W
LBAR 13.6N 151.7W 15.1N 154.0W 15.6N 156.6W 14.3N 159.5W
SHIP 36KTS 28KTS 20KTS 0KTS
DSHP 36KTS 28KTS 20KTS 0KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 10.4N LONCUR = 144.9W DIRCUR = 270DEG SPDCUR = 10KT
LATM12 = 10.3N LONM12 = 143.0W DIRM12 = 273DEG SPDM12 = 9KT
LATM24 = 10.1N LONM24 = 140.8W
WNDCUR = 20KT RMAXWD = 70NM WNDM12 = 20KT
CENPRS = 1009MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = S
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM
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