Not the strongest EL Nino I have ever seen...

[hurricanetrack]

Looking at today's NCODA SST anomaly map, the EL Nino does not look all that fierce as compared to some in the past. Looking at the Atlantic Basin, it has quite a few areas of well above normal temps. It will be interesting to see how this very map looks in say, 6 weeks, but even the SOI has come up at least 14 points in the last few weeks. Perhaps this is pretty much it. El Nino is named that for a reason- and it may just peak around Christmas and then dwindle away from there. I have no evidence to support that, but the term El Nino, or so I thought, was related to this phenomenon happening (peaking?) around the Christmas period- thus the name and its associated religious connection.

[Aslkahuna]

Originally, the term El Niño referred to the warming of the waters off Peru which most often occurred around Christmas hence the name.

Steve

[HurricaneBill]

When did the term La Nina first come along?

[AussieMark]

if u look at the subsurface tho it is getting potent

2006

2004

2002

1997

1994

1991

[hurricanetrack]

However, look at the cooler deep water coming up from the west pac. Not much warm water downstream- so to speak. So once we get through winter, we might see a reversal- that cool pool will be interesting to watch and see how it evolves. I forgot about this link- very nice.

[Duffy]

However, look at the cooler deep water coming up from the west pac. Not much warm water downstream- so to speak. So once we get through winter, we might see a reversal- that cool pool will be interesting to watch and see how it evolves. I forgot about this link- very nice.

Are you implying a possible LA Nina for next year? (Which may indicate a more active Hurricane Season for the Atlantic)

[Cyclenall]

However, look at the cooler deep water coming up from the west pac. Not much warm water downstream- so to speak. So once we get through winter, we might see a reversal- that cool pool will be interesting to watch and see how it evolves. I forgot about this link- very nice.

Are you implying a possible LA Nina for next year? (Which may indicate a more active Hurricane Season for the Atlantic)

See my post in the "Talking Tropics" radio show thread for more information on a possible La Nina for the 2007 Atlantic Hurricane Season.