Hurricane Isaac - Cat. 1

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jusforsean
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#361 Postby jusforsean » Thu Sep 28, 2006 12:07 pm

Issac, I step away from the board for one morning and poof we have Issac
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#362 Postby Praxus » Thu Sep 28, 2006 12:17 pm

Sweet another exciting storm to track. Will it recurve today...or tomorrow !!!!

edit - really hope no one mssed the sarcasm here lol
Last edited by Praxus on Thu Sep 28, 2006 4:49 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#363 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Thu Sep 28, 2006 12:19 pm

Praxus wrote:Sweet another exciting storm to track. Will it recurve today...or tomorrow !!!!


Was Recurvign before birth!
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#364 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Sep 28, 2006 12:30 pm

Image

By the way, the title of the thread is wrong, it always happens to me. It's not Issac, it's Isaac.
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#365 Postby WmE » Thu Sep 28, 2006 3:08 pm

930


WHXX01 KWBC 281853

CHGHUR


DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO TPC/NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES.

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NORTH ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

TROPICAL STORM ISAAC (AL092006) ON 20060928 1800 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
060928 1800 060929 0600 060929 1800 060930 0600

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 28.6N 54.7W 29.4N 55.4W 29.9N 56.2W 30.5N 57.3W
BAMM 28.6N 54.7W 29.0N 55.6W 29.4N 56.9W 29.9N 58.1W
A98E 28.6N 54.7W 29.7N 55.4W 30.5N 56.0W 31.1N 56.6W
LBAR 28.6N 54.7W 29.4N 55.2W 30.2N 56.2W 30.8N 57.6W
SHIP 40KTS 42KTS 42KTS 43KTS
DSHP 40KTS 42KTS 42KTS 43KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
060930 1800 061001 1800 061002 1800 061003 1800

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 31.2N 58.5W 33.4N 59.9W 38.9N 58.4W 48.2N 51.2W
BAMM 30.4N 59.5W 32.5N 61.6W 38.2N 60.8W 46.8N 55.6W
A98E 31.7N 57.6W 31.8N 60.0W 33.5N 59.8W 45.3N 51.9W
LBAR 31.1N 58.8W 33.4N 61.8W 36.9N 60.0W 39.9N 55.3W
SHIP 45KTS 50KTS 56KTS 51KTS
DSHP 45KTS 50KTS 56KTS 51KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 28.6N LONCUR = 54.7W DIRCUR = 330DEG SPDCUR = 7KT
LATM12 = 27.4N LONM12 = 54.0W DIRM12 = 321DEG SPDM12 = 7KT
LATM24 = 26.1N LONM24 = 52.6W
WNDCUR = 40KT RMAXWD = 35NM WNDM12 = 35KT
CENPRS = 1006MB OUTPRS = 1017MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 100NM RD34SE = 75NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM

$$

40kts
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#366 Postby Sanibel » Thu Sep 28, 2006 3:12 pm

Issac is showing you the Atlantic is shot for 2006.
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#367 Postby Thunder44 » Thu Sep 28, 2006 3:24 pm

The convection looks meager this afternoon.
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#368 Postby cycloneye » Thu Sep 28, 2006 3:35 pm

Thunder44 wrote:The convection looks meager this afternoon.


But they increased the winds up to 45 mph at 5 PM.
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#369 Postby Thunder44 » Thu Sep 28, 2006 3:42 pm

cycloneye wrote:
Thunder44 wrote:The convection looks meager this afternoon.


But they increased the winds up to 45 mph at 5 PM.


I just read the discussion. TPC is basing it on a reanalysis of the QS pass from this morning, which showed winds 40kt to 45kts.
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#370 Postby wxman57 » Thu Sep 28, 2006 3:46 pm

Thunder44 wrote:
cycloneye wrote:
Thunder44 wrote:The convection looks meager this afternoon.


But they increased the winds up to 45 mph at 5 PM.


I just read the discussion. TPC is basing it on a reanalysis of the QS pass from this morning, which showed winds 40kt to 45kts.


it took me about 3 seconds to analyze this morning's QS pass and see the purple 40kt barbs. How much reanalysis can you do on these images? ;-)

I think that the NHC should be commended for their imaginative use of the words "skeletal" and "dessicated" in their discussions today. I've never seen such long discussions for such a non-threatening system.
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#371 Postby Thunder44 » Thu Sep 28, 2006 3:55 pm

wxman57 wrote:
Thunder44 wrote:
cycloneye wrote:
Thunder44 wrote:The convection looks meager this afternoon.


But they increased the winds up to 45 mph at 5 PM.


I just read the discussion. TPC is basing it on a reanalysis of the QS pass from this morning, which showed winds 40kt to 45kts.


it took me about 3 seconds to analyze this morning's QS pass and see the purple 40kt barbs. How much reanalysis can you do on these images? ;-)

I think that the NHC should be commended for their imaginative use of the words "skeletal" and "dessicated" in their discussions today. I've never seen such long discussions for such a non-threatening system.


Yes, I thought I saw those 40kt to 45kt barbs too.
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#372 Postby cycloneye » Thu Sep 28, 2006 7:43 pm

TROPICAL STORM ISAAC (AL092006) ON 20060929 0000 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
060929 0000 060929 1200 060930 0000 060930 1200

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 29.1N 55.0W 30.0N 55.8W 30.6N 56.7W 31.2N 57.8W
BAMM 29.1N 55.0W 29.7N 56.1W 30.4N 57.2W 31.0N 58.4W
A98E 29.1N 55.0W 30.0N 55.6W 30.8N 56.2W 31.5N 56.9W
LBAR 29.1N 55.0W 30.1N 55.6W 30.9N 56.4W 31.4N 57.7W
SHIP 40KTS 40KTS 40KTS 41KTS
DSHP 40KTS 40KTS 40KTS 41KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
061001 0000 061002 0000 061003 0000 061004 0000

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 31.9N 59.0W 34.8N 60.1W 42.3N 58.1W 51.0N 49.0W
BAMM 31.9N 59.8W 35.5N 61.5W 43.3N 59.7W 49.4N 53.6W
A98E 32.3N 57.7W 33.5N 59.7W 38.1N 57.0W 46.9N 45.4W
LBAR 31.9N 58.6W 34.5N 61.6W 39.1N 59.0W 48.7N 42.8W
SHIP 44KTS 51KTS 58KTS 56KTS
DSHP 44KTS 51KTS 58KTS 56KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 29.1N LONCUR = 55.0W DIRCUR = 330DEG SPDCUR = 6KT
LATM12 = 27.9N LONM12 = 54.4W DIRM12 = 333DEG SPDM12 = 7KT
LATM24 = 26.8N LONM24 = 53.4W
WNDCUR = 40KT RMAXWD = 35NM WNDM12 = 40KT
CENPRS = 1006MB OUTPRS = 1018MB OUTRAD = 160NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 120NM RD34SE = 120NM RD34SW = 45NM RD34NW = 60NM
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#373 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Sep 29, 2006 9:06 am

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL ISAAC ADVERTENCIA NUMERO 4
NWS TCP/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL AL042006
1100 AM AST JUEVES 28 DE AGOSTO DE 2006

...DEBBY UN POBRE CICLON TROPICAL...

A LAS 1100 AM AST...0900Z...EL CENTRO DE LA TORMENTA TROPICAL ISAAC
ESTABA LOCALIZADO DE ACUERDO CON LAS IMAGENES DEL SATELITE CERCA DE
LA LATITUD 28.2 NORTE...LONGITUD 54.7 OESTE O COMO A 665
MILLAS...1070 KILOMETROS...AL ESTE SURESTE DE BERMUDA.

ISAAC SE ESTA MOVIENDO HACIA EL NOROESTE A CERCA DE 8 MPH Y SE
ESPERA CONTINUE EN ESTE MOVIMIENTO GENERAL DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24
HORAS.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN EN CERCA DE 40 MPH...65
KILOMETROS POR HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE PRONOSTICA ALGUN
FORTALECIMIENTO DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 1008 MILIBARAS...29.77
PULGADAS.

REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 1100 AM AST...28.2 NORTE...54.7 OESTE.
MOVIMIENTO HACIA...EL NOROESTE A CERCA DE 8 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS
SOSTENIDOS...40 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1008 MILIBARAS.

LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA SERA EMITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE
HURACANES A LAS 500 PM AST.

PRONOSTICADOR BLAKE/STEWART
________________________________________________________

According to what I know names aren't translated and Isaac in Spanish isn't Debby but Isaac. Just one more oops!!!
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#374 Postby TheEuropean » Fri Sep 29, 2006 10:53 am

Looks like an eye:

Image

I know it's not a true eye, but looks a bit like Epsilon ;-)
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#375 Postby cycloneye » Fri Sep 29, 2006 1:20 pm

29/1745 UTC 29.7N 56.5W T3.0/3.0 ISAAC -- Atlantic Ocean

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/positions.html

Chart of intensity
:darrow: :darrow: :darrow: :darrow:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/CI-chart.html

A little more stronger this afternoon.
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#376 Postby cycloneye » Fri Sep 29, 2006 2:00 pm

TROPICAL STORM ISAAC (AL092006) ON 20060929 1800 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
060929 1800 060930 0600 060930 1800 061001 0600

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
A98E 29.6N 56.6W 30.1N 57.7W 30.7N 58.6W 31.9N 59.3W
LBAR 29.6N 56.6W 30.2N 57.4W 30.9N 58.6W 31.5N 59.1W
SHIP 50KTS 55KTS 58KTS 60KTS
DSHP 50KTS 55KTS 58KTS 60KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
061001 1800 061002 1800 061003 1800 061004 1800

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
A98E 33.8N 59.3W 40.7N 54.3W 48.7N 37.3W 39.3N 20.7W
LBAR 32.4N 59.6W 34.8N 59.4W 42.1N 53.3W 52.8N 36.1W
SHIP 61KTS 66KTS 63KTS 56KTS
DSHP 61KTS 66KTS 63KTS 56KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 29.6N LONCUR = 56.6W DIRCUR = 295DEG SPDCUR = 6KT
LATM12 = 29.0N LONM12 = 55.3W DIRM12 = 289DEG SPDM12 = 5KT
LATM24 = 28.6N LONM24 = 54.7W
WNDCUR = 50KT RMAXWD = 35NM WNDM12 = 40KT
CENPRS = 1000MB OUTPRS = 1017MB OUTRAD = 175NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 100NM RD34SE = 90NM RD34SW = 60NM RD34NW = 60NM
Models iniciate at 50 kts.Will Isaac surprises us and become a hurricane for a brief time?
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#377 Postby JonathanBelles » Fri Sep 29, 2006 2:16 pm

i hope he will be a hurricane
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#378 Postby Evil Jeremy » Fri Sep 29, 2006 2:23 pm

he already looks like one!
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#379 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Sep 29, 2006 2:41 pm

Image

Looking really good!!!
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#380 Postby AnnularCane » Fri Sep 29, 2006 2:42 pm

Is this the same Isaac that I saw yesterday?
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