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fci
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#21 Postby fci » Fri Oct 06, 2006 5:02 pm

SouthFloridawx wrote:I think it's moving southwest. :eek:


Y E S :eek: :eek: !! :eek: :eek: :eek: :eek: :x :grr: :eek:
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Rainband

#22 Postby Rainband » Fri Oct 06, 2006 7:34 pm

No :D
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cycloneye
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#23 Postby cycloneye » Fri Oct 06, 2006 7:38 pm

DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL992006) ON 20061007 0000 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
061007 0000 061007 1200 061008 0000 061008 1200

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 31.5N 69.0W 35.3N 67.7W 38.1N 65.9W 39.0N 62.8W
BAMM 31.5N 69.0W 34.2N 67.9W 36.1N 66.7W 36.7N 65.7W
A98E 31.5N 69.0W 33.5N 67.6W 35.8N 65.4W 36.6N 62.0W
LBAR 31.5N 69.0W 34.4N 67.4W 36.8N 65.2W 38.1N 61.3W
SHIP 25KTS 34KTS 45KTS 52KTS
DSHP 25KTS 34KTS 45KTS 52KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
061009 0000 061010 0000 061011 0000 061012 0000

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 39.3N 59.0W 38.4N 47.4W 33.6N 37.8W 27.9N 38.0W
BAMM 36.9N 65.2W 39.2N 63.5W 43.6N 56.2W 47.3N 39.7W
A98E 37.2N 58.6W 37.5N 49.6W 37.0N 40.5W 33.1N 35.9W
LBAR 38.1N 55.4W 36.0N 42.2W .0N .0W .0N .0W
SHIP 55KTS 61KTS 68KTS 59KTS
DSHP 55KTS 61KTS 68KTS 59KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 31.5N LONCUR = 69.0W DIRCUR = 30DEG SPDCUR = 10KT
LATM12 = 29.7N LONM12 = 70.1W DIRM12 = 35DEG SPDM12 = 10KT
LATM24 = 27.8N LONM24 = 71.6W
WNDCUR = 25KT RMAXWD = 60NM WNDM12 = 20KT
CENPRS = 1007MB OUTPRS = 1013MB OUTRAD = 300NM SDEPTH = M
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM
Interesting that the pressure has dropped to 1007 mbs and the winds are up a little,25kts.

It's moving 30 degrees to the Northeast at 10 kts.
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#24 Postby jaxfladude » Fri Oct 06, 2006 8:57 pm

2006: The Season of the Fish Storms...
Keeping on :fishing:
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#25 Postby Chacor » Sat Oct 07, 2006 4:34 am

A BROAD LOW PRESSURE AREA IS LOCATED ABOUT 230 MILES WEST OF
BERMUDA. ALTHOUGH UPPER-LEVEL WINDS DO NOT APPEAR TO
BE FAVORABLE FOR SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT... THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE
FOR THE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT DAY OR SO AS IT MOVES NORTHEASTWARD AT ABOUT 10 TO 15 MPH.
AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE
THE SYSTEM LATER TODAY...IF NECESSARY.

5:30 TWO.
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#26 Postby cycloneye » Sat Oct 07, 2006 7:50 am

DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL992006) ON 20061007 1200 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
061007 1200 061008 0000 061008 1200 061009 0000

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 34.7N 66.2W 37.7N 64.2W 38.9N 60.4W 39.0N 55.3W
A98E 34.7N 66.2W 37.4N 63.7W 38.5N 60.4W 38.2N 56.7W
LBAR 34.7N 66.2W 37.4N 63.6W 38.7N 59.5W 38.3N 53.4W

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
061009 1200 061010 1200 061011 1200 061012 1200

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 38.0N 49.0W 34.8N 37.8W 31.2N 34.6W 26.9N 37.0W
A98E 37.5N 52.0W 35.7N 45.1W 35.5N 38.8W 32.7N 34.6W
LBAR 37.1N 46.2W 35.5N 36.2W 32.0N 44.2W 29.9N 48.2W

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 34.7N LONCUR = 66.2W DIRCUR = 30DEG SPDCUR = 17KT
LATM12 = 31.6N LONM12 = 68.8W DIRM12 = 27DEG SPDM12 = 14KT
LATM24 = 29.7N LONM24 = 70.1W
WNDCUR = 30KT RMAXWD = 60NM WNDM12 = 25KT
CENPRS = 1007MB OUTPRS = 1014MB OUTRAD = 300NM SDEPTH = M
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM

$$

Winds up to 30kts but racing to the NE.
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#27 Postby cycloneye » Sat Oct 07, 2006 8:08 am

352
NOUS42 KNHC 071300
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0900 AM EDT SAT 07 OCT 2006
SUBJECT: TROPICAL STORM PLAN OF THE DAY (TSPOD)
VALID 08/1100Z TO 09/1100Z OCT 2006
TSPOD NUMBER.....06-130

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK.....NEGATIVE.
3. NOTE: THE INVEST SCHEDULED FOR 07/1800Z NEAR BERMUDA WAS
CANX BY NHC AT 07/1030Z.

No surprise.
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#28 Postby brunota2003 » Sat Oct 07, 2006 8:55 am

so recon was canked by the NHC...yet again...lol Like you, cycloneye, I'm not surprised either...I looked this morning and the convection was off to the NE of the low...it looked really extratropical, therefore no need to waste money on a flight...
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#29 Postby CrazyC83 » Sat Oct 07, 2006 9:21 am

I don't see any tropical development out of this low.
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#30 Postby cycloneye » Sat Oct 07, 2006 10:23 am

625
ABNT20 KNHC 071520
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT SAT OCT 7 2006

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE LOW PRESSURE AREA LOCATED ABOUT 175 MILES NORTHWEST OF BERMUDA
HAS NOT SHOWN ANY SIGNS OF ACQUIRING SUBTROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS...
AND THE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE AREA
TODAY HAS BEEN CANCELED. THE LOW IS MERGING WITH A NEARBY FRONTAL
BOUNDARY AND DEVELOPMENT INTO A SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE IS NOT
ANTICIPATED.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO HAVE
DIMINISHED AND FURTHER DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED.

TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN/BEVEN

:blowup:
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#31 Postby lester » Sat Oct 07, 2006 1:26 pm

bye 99L.... :cheesy:
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