SE Texas weather thread - Strong storms Sun/Mon

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jasons2k
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#361 Postby jasons2k » Thu Oct 12, 2006 1:03 pm

yep, those two storms show a pretty good hook signature. I was a litte surprised the warning didn't go out a bit sooner.
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#362 Postby Stratosphere747 » Thu Oct 12, 2006 1:06 pm

Just registered a 54mph gust on my anemometer just outside of Angleton.
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#363 Postby jasons2k » Thu Oct 12, 2006 1:08 pm

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#364 Postby Stratosphere747 » Thu Oct 12, 2006 1:12 pm

About as intense of a storm I've seen in quite awhile....
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#365 Postby jasons2k » Thu Oct 12, 2006 1:14 pm

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#366 Postby Stratosphere747 » Thu Oct 12, 2006 1:15 pm

No confirmed sightings yet.....

111 PM CDT THU OCT 12 2006

TXC039-121830-
/O.CON.KHGX.TO.W.0032.000000T0000Z-061012T1830Z/
BRAZORIA TX-
111 PM CDT THU OCT 12 2006

...A TORNADO WARNING CONTINUES FOR BRAZORIA COUNTY UNTIL 130 PM
CDT...

AT 106 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO JUST EAST OF ANGLETON...MOVING
EAST AT 35 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
DANBURY...
EAST AND SOUTHEAST BRAZORIA COUNTY...
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#367 Postby KatDaddy » Thu Oct 12, 2006 1:23 pm

That a very intense cell Stratosphere747. Must be blasting wind and rain
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#368 Postby Stratosphere747 » Thu Oct 12, 2006 1:25 pm

KatDaddy wrote:That a very intense cell Stratosphere747. Must be blasting wind and rain


It sure is Katdaddy...

Received almost an 2 inches in the last hour, with a gust of 54. Looks like the most severe part of the storm is just to the NE of me, near Danbury.
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#369 Postby jasons2k » Thu Oct 12, 2006 2:12 pm

Houston is right in the middle of the watch box. But I wonder if the storms now pushing offshore will cut-off any severe development to the north.
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#370 Postby vbhoutex » Thu Oct 12, 2006 2:22 pm

jschlitz wrote:Houston is right in the middle of the watch box. But I wonder if the storms now pushing offshore will cut-off any severe development to the north.


Don't forget that until the front gets here everything will be moving pretty much along it to the NE so there is a lot of potential for incoming from the SW still. But as you allude the storms moving offshore now will cut off some of the development, at least to the E/SE of the metro area, I would think.
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#371 Postby Mathias » Thu Oct 12, 2006 2:49 pm

Might want to amend the title of this thread to say “weak to non-existent front expected 10/12/2006”; the Houston NWS has the high for this Friday at 77, with a large upward trend towards warmth with a culmination of 92 on Tuesday. Is anyone ready for Summer 3, in Houston?
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#372 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Thu Oct 12, 2006 2:51 pm

What a disappointing front this is going to be...

even last year at this point I had already hit the 40s one morning.

We have watched the forecast high go from 66 to 79 and the low from 44 to 58 all the in the period of a few days. How depressing.. :roll:

I guess the only good news is that October 2004 was Houston's warmest on record and that same year ended up featuring the Chrismtas snowstorm. So there is hope yet..
Last edited by Extremeweatherguy on Thu Oct 12, 2006 3:00 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#373 Postby JenBayles » Thu Oct 12, 2006 2:58 pm

Pissing down here under the Bear Creek Dome. No wind, no thunder, but a straight, strong curtain of rain. I'm thinking in the 1"/hour range. Hope it doesn't last too long like that or I'll be floatin' the canoe again. :roll:
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#374 Postby JenBayles » Thu Oct 12, 2006 3:06 pm

Here's some pics my 14-year-old niece took of damage from the tornado NW of Houston a couple days ago. It happened two blocks away from my sister's house. They were unscathed - just a bunch of mostly unidentifiable debris and plant material in the pool and all over the yard.

http://albums.photo.epson.com/j/AlbumIn ... 2325049&pw
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#375 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Thu Oct 12, 2006 3:13 pm

JenBayles wrote:Here's some pics my 14-year-old niece took of damage from the tornado NW of Houston a couple days ago. It happened two blocks away from my sister's house. They were unscathed - just a bunch of mostly unidentifiable debris and plant material in the pool and all over the yard.

http://albums.photo.epson.com/j/AlbumIn ... 2325049&pw
Was this ever confirmed to be a tornado officially? I thought it was just straight line wind damage from the bowing squall line.
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#376 Postby JenBayles » Thu Oct 12, 2006 3:18 pm

You know, I'm really not sure myself Extreme. Good question though - anyone else hear any more about it?
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#377 Postby KatDaddy » Thu Oct 12, 2006 3:31 pm

The is coming down in downtown Houston
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#378 Postby Yankeegirl » Thu Oct 12, 2006 3:47 pm

Well we have had nothing here in Bear Creek... Jenn, I think the dome is over me now!!
Is there more supposed to form once the front gets closer or what? I just got back from Walmart, and my daughter is watching Noggin.... Help!!
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#379 Postby JenBayles » Thu Oct 12, 2006 3:48 pm

Whew! It only lasted 15 to 20 minutes until the BC Dome capped it. Looking at radar though, another nice little 'blob' is heading our way. :cheesy:
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#380 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Thu Oct 12, 2006 3:51 pm

Image

PRE-FRONTAL ENVIRONMENT FROM NEAR/JUST EAST OF THE TEXAS HILL
COUNTRY THROUGH MID/UPPER TEXAS COASTAL AREAS REMAINS FAVORABLY
SHEARED BENEATH MODERATE TO STRONG WESTERLY MID/UPPER FLOW.
AND...INSTABILITY HAS BECOME MAXIMIZED IN PEAK DAYTIME HEATING WITH
MIXED LAYER CAPE OF 1000-2000 J/KG. ADDITIONALLY... INHIBITION IS
NOW MINIMAL...WHICH WILL ALLOW CONTINUING VIGOROUS CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT AT LEAST ANOTHER FEW HOURS.

GIVEN LACK OF STRONGER FORCING...RISK FOR AN ORGANIZED CONVECTIVE
CLUSTER SEEMS RELATIVELY LOW...EXCEPT PERHAPS WHERE INSTABILITY IS A
BIT WEAKER IN ZONE OF DEVELOPING STRONGER WARM ADVECTION ALONG FRONT
ADVANCING THROUGH CENTRAL/SOUTHERN LOUISIANA. HOWEVER...THE THREAT
FOR AN ISOLATED SUPERCELL WILL PERSIST IN AND NEAR SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WATCH 824...AHEAD OF FRONT...THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF
THE AFTERNOON. COLD FRONT APPEARS LIKELY TO ADVANCE SOUTH OF LAKE
CHARLES...AND INTO UPPER TEXAS COASTAL AREAS...IN AND AROUND
HOUSTON...BY 13/00Z.


http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ ... ar_big.gif
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