Invest 90L West Atlantic,Sat Pics,Comments and Models

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
caribepr
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1794
Joined: Fri Sep 05, 2003 10:43 pm
Location: Culebra, PR 18.33 65.33

#201 Postby caribepr » Thu Oct 12, 2006 11:06 am

Hey Frank, you only get one more revision chance!!!! After that you have to scrub the decks :D
0 likes   
Top
Frank2
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4061
Joined: Mon Jul 25, 2005 12:47 pm

#202 Postby Frank2 » Thu Oct 12, 2006 11:37 am

I'm good at scrubing...
0 likes   
Top
Sanibel
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 10375
Joined: Mon Aug 30, 2004 11:06 pm
Location: Offshore SW Florida

#203 Postby Sanibel » Thu Oct 12, 2006 11:53 am

Sheared open wave is the best I can get from that.

EPAC by Mexico appears to be organizing a system, making Caribbean less likely.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
wxman57
Moderator-Pro Met
Moderator-Pro Met
Posts: 23010
Age: 67
Joined: Sat Jun 21, 2003 8:06 pm
Location: Houston, TX (southwest)

#204 Postby wxman57 » Thu Oct 12, 2006 11:59 am

Looks like a weakening wave now as its axis passes the "hot spot" east of the upper trof. Chances of development are very low in the Caribbean. However, there's a chance that moisture will be entrained by the upper low to the north (as the GFS suggests). If that happens, then some type of subtropical storm could form north of the Caribbean as the GFS indicates. No threat to land, though, once the current storms move north of the Caribbean.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
deltadog03
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 3580
Joined: Tue Jul 05, 2005 6:16 pm
Location: Macon, GA

#205 Postby deltadog03 » Thu Oct 12, 2006 12:27 pm

adios amigo!!!! Face it we are done.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Thunder44
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5922
Age: 44
Joined: Mon Jun 09, 2003 7:53 pm
Location: New York City

#206 Postby Thunder44 » Thu Oct 12, 2006 1:13 pm

Well this one fell apart fast.
0 likes   
Top
Rainband

#207 Postby Rainband » Thu Oct 12, 2006 1:15 pm

deltadog03 wrote:adios amigo!!!! Face it we are done.
No complaints here :D
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 146119
Age: 69
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#208 Postby cycloneye » Thu Oct 12, 2006 1:57 pm

12/1745 UTC 22.4N 64.9W TOO WEAK 90L -- Atlantic Ocean

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/positions.html

Hasta la vista baby. :blowup:
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
User avatar
caribepr
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1794
Joined: Fri Sep 05, 2003 10:43 pm
Location: Culebra, PR 18.33 65.33

#209 Postby caribepr » Thu Oct 12, 2006 2:04 pm

Sounds good to me! The sat still looks like a wall soon upon us though ;)

http://www.orbit.nesdis.noaa.gov/smcd/o ... SOUFIR.GIF
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 146119
Age: 69
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#210 Postby cycloneye » Thu Oct 12, 2006 2:33 pm

http://tcweb.fnmoc.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_home.cgi

NRL now has a new center at 22.3n-65.3w.In other words well north of Culebra,Vieques and Puerto Rico where the 65w longitud is.caribepr,msbee we can get less rain than anticipated by the NWS in San Juan from this if the main area of rain moves well north.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
User avatar
msbee
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3037
Joined: Wed Jun 11, 2003 10:11 am
Location: St. Maarten

#211 Postby msbee » Thu Oct 12, 2006 2:39 pm

cycloneye wrote:12/1745 UTC 22.4N 64.9W TOO WEAK 90L -- Atlantic Ocean


http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/positions.html

Hasta la vista baby. :blowup:


Too weak!
Oh, how I like the sound of that!
Lots of gray skies and wind here but little rain!
what a bag of hot wind 90L is ..that's all!
:lol:
0 likes   
Top
Jimsot
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 157
Age: 77
Joined: Sat Sep 09, 2006 1:31 pm
Location: Upstate SC

#212 Postby Jimsot » Thu Oct 12, 2006 3:01 pm

msbee wrote:
cycloneye wrote:12/1745 UTC 22.4N 64.9W TOO WEAK 90L -- Atlantic Ocean


http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/positions.html

Hasta la vista baby. :blowup:


Too weak!
Oh, how I like the sound of that!
Lots of gray skies and wind here but little rain!
what a bag of hot wind 90L is ..that's all!
:lol:
msbee

I am just north of you at SANDY HILL BAY on ANGUILLA we happily got and inch and three quarters of rain, also my utility room beneath the pool deck flooded AGAIN ( a few inches) I have to figure a way to keep rain out of there!

I signed up not to long ago on this board (for the tropical stuff). We have been living on Anguila since last July.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Canelaw99
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2128
Age: 49
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 8:27 am
Location: Homestead, FL

#213 Postby Canelaw99 » Thu Oct 12, 2006 3:07 pm

Yahoo! I'd be more than happy for this little wave to just die out...I leave Sunday for a 7 day Western Carib. cruise and I don't need something coming through giving us rain or worse LOL....
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
SouthFloridawx
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8346
Age: 46
Joined: Tue Jul 26, 2005 1:16 am
Location: Sarasota, FL
Contact:
Contact SouthFloridawx

#214 Postby SouthFloridawx » Thu Oct 12, 2006 3:26 pm

This wave will have to be watched farther down the road as it hooks up with an what will be old frontal boundary. I never expected much out of this right now.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
caribepr
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1794
Joined: Fri Sep 05, 2003 10:43 pm
Location: Culebra, PR 18.33 65.33

#215 Postby caribepr » Thu Oct 12, 2006 3:41 pm

Welcome, Jimsot! Hope your liking Anguilla, and glad your first year here has been a calm one. The sun is out weakly right now here and there is NO breeze.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
msbee
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3037
Joined: Wed Jun 11, 2003 10:11 am
Location: St. Maarten

#216 Postby msbee » Thu Oct 12, 2006 3:43 pm

hi Jimsot
welcome aboard to Storm2k, neighbor!
This board is invaluable during hurricane season.
We are getitng some rain here now but not much.
So far you have received a lot more rain than we have.


Luis and MJ, it looks like you guys in PR and Culebra are lucking out from this system..
Is there still a flood watch issued for you?

Barbara
0 likes   
Too many hurricanes to remember
Top
Stormcenter
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 6685
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 11:27 am
Location: Houston, TX

#217 Postby Stormcenter » Thu Oct 12, 2006 4:23 pm

SouthFloridawx wrote:This wave will have to be watched farther down the road as it hooks up with an what will be old frontal boundary. I never expected much out of this right now.


Where do you mean by down the road? This may never make it to the "road".
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
dixiebreeze
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5140
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 5:07 pm
Location: crystal river, fla.

#218 Postby dixiebreeze » Thu Oct 12, 2006 4:35 pm

Looks like we can stick a fork in 90L :roll:
0 likes   
Top
chadtm80

#219 Postby chadtm80 » Thu Oct 12, 2006 4:36 pm

Welcome to storm2k Jimsot :-)
0 likes   
Top
Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 38110
Age: 37
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:
Contact Brent

#220 Postby Brent » Thu Oct 12, 2006 4:36 pm

dixiebreeze wrote:Looks like we can stick a fork in 90L :roll:


Yeah, how boring. :(
0 likes   
#neversummer
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: alan1961, Datsaintsfan09, TomballEd, weatherSnoop, wwizard and 104 guests